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the abbot of unreason (an archaeologist) @merovingians.bsky.social

Dan Goldman loses to one of the randos that held him under 60 in what I expect from next year's environment.

sep 1, 2025, 11:44 pm • 12 0

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sasha @silverknyaz.bsky.social

Yuh-Line Niou is not exactly a random she was an NY assemblywoman tyvm

sep 1, 2025, 11:45 pm • 3 0 • view
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the abbot of unreason (an archaeologist) @merovingians.bsky.social

no I mean his last primary. not 2022

sep 1, 2025, 11:46 pm • 1 0 • view
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sasha @silverknyaz.bsky.social

I mean you're kidding yourself if you think he loses to one of those randos before Niou or any serious candidate

sep 1, 2025, 11:47 pm • 0 0 • view
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sasha @silverknyaz.bsky.social

Niou keeps sephiroth posting in his direction, I'm fairly certain that's happening

sep 1, 2025, 11:47 pm • 1 0 • view
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the abbot of unreason (an archaeologist) @merovingians.bsky.social

that's not what i'm saying, Sasha. I'd love to see Niou give it another shot without Mondaire Jones crashing in

sep 1, 2025, 11:48 pm • 5 0 • view
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sasha @silverknyaz.bsky.social

i mean you said 'expecting', but i get it, fair enough

sep 1, 2025, 11:52 pm • 0 0 • view
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the abbot of unreason (an archaeologist) @merovingians.bsky.social

that was also about the *environment* and how it could benefit mid, even outspent challengers

sep 1, 2025, 11:53 pm • 1 0 • view
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sasha @silverknyaz.bsky.social

i think it's highly contextual and depends on the candidates. Generic Funded Incumbent D is not losing to Random Generic No Money Challenger D, like, 9 times out of 10 we don't even have that many challengers right now in total

sep 1, 2025, 11:54 pm • 2 0 • view
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the abbot of unreason (an archaeologist) @merovingians.bsky.social

apparently candidate filing hasn't even officially opened in Oregon right now?

sep 2, 2025, 12:06 am • 5 0 • view
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sasha @silverknyaz.bsky.social

i'm looking through the list (nationally) and it's more than I thought but fewer than you'd want, and a lot of them are totally unserious randos

sep 2, 2025, 12:07 am • 1 0 • view
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sasha @silverknyaz.bsky.social

something's happening in Massachusetts, though - Neal, Moulton, and Lynch are probably all on the chopping block

sep 2, 2025, 12:08 am • 1 0 • view