Probabilities. Calculated risks. The US intends to win WWIII first. No use in funding research that won't complete before China invades Taiwan.
Replies
Then there's the russians screaming at them about what they'll do.
aug 28, 2025, 9:54 pm • 0 0 • view
The problem in believing this is that it makes ww3 inevitable. This mindset would explain at least partially why military elites won't push back on trump's actions.
aug 28, 2025, 9:58 pm • 0 0 • view
Well China isn't stopping either, is it.
aug 28, 2025, 10:00 pm • 0 0 • view
It doesn't mean WWIII is inevitable. But to deter war one must prepare for war. To not prepare is to lose.
aug 28, 2025, 10:03 pm • 1 0 • view
That's prisoners dilemma for you.
aug 28, 2025, 10:05 pm • 1 0 • view
As long as there's no obvious weakness to exploit, cooperation is the rational play.
aug 28, 2025, 10:12 pm • 0 0 • view
Not a bit. You see, I believe in humans, not countries. So I'm not even sure if it is a war that is worth actually fighting. Trying to deter - absolutely. Fighting - I'm not so sure.
aug 28, 2025, 10:04 pm • 0 0 • view
Your weakness will be China's opportunity. Weakness is the problem. It provokes aggression.
aug 28, 2025, 10:06 pm • 0 0 • view
>Weakness is the problem That's only if we are stuck in this tribalist mentality. Humanity as a whole might not make it if instead of spending resources on survival we spend them on wars. But I understand that it takes 2 to tango, so unless everyone accepts this - no one will. Coordination problem.
aug 28, 2025, 10:11 pm • 0 0 • view
Weakness invites aggression. Welcome to the jungle.
aug 28, 2025, 10:13 pm • 0 0 • view
Rules of the game determine possible range of the outcomes. Playing jungle game on a planet with limited resources does not suggest good outcomes. We need a better game, but I know, we don’t get to pick it
aug 28, 2025, 10:28 pm • 0 0 • view
Note how the US keeps cooperating eventhough russia keeps betraying them. Because if they start betraying eachother the outcome could be much worse. russia effectively broke the game. And they're stuck playing betrayal.
aug 28, 2025, 10:33 pm • 0 0 • view
Confrontation is required but no one wants to do it. Because they fear the consequences. Meanwhile russia continues due to a lack of consequence.
aug 28, 2025, 10:36 pm • 0 0 • view
As soon as we allowed nuclear brinkmsnship to run cover for unprovoked invasions, we gave away the game. Now russia gets to pick us off one by one.
aug 28, 2025, 10:38 pm • 0 0 • view
This is where I strongly disagree. I think russia got all the consequences possible and then some. Economy, population collapse is not a joke.
aug 28, 2025, 10:39 pm • 0 0 • view
no, don't get me wrong. I totally get the game. But I would also say: in a world of great power competition, it was all but inevitable, sooner or later.
aug 28, 2025, 10:37 pm • 0 0 • view