In theory you can have issues with a candidate who would do better on the final count getting knocked out earlier, and thus a voter could be strategic by preferencing higher the person who is likely to get more preferences.
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An example of this was Fannie Bay in the NT 2024, when Labor would have won a clear Labor vs CLP count, but they came third and the Greens came second. Labor preference flows to the Greens were weaker, so the CLP won. A voter who most cared about not electing a Lib should've put Labor above Greens.
jul 10, 2025, 2:25 am • 1 0 • view
But in practice it's very hard to judge who is likely to benefit from such an imbalance, particularly in an election like this.
jul 10, 2025, 2:25 am • 0 0 • view
The best advice to deal with this problem is 'number every box', or at least if there are 2 standout progressives make sure all the progressives give them both a number.
jul 10, 2025, 2:26 am • 0 0 • view