It's so funny when people claim Reform are the next government but the Greens can't possibly win. They aren't taking votes from Labour. The people who vote for them are the ones who have realised Labour no longer represent them and wouldn't vote for them anyway.
I think we'd all be better off once people finally realise that Labour aren't on the left any more.
Ellie Chowns achieved the 5th biggest constituency swing ever – from the Conservatives. It's not just Labour voters who are jumping ship.
Was it through ex conservatives voters though or through attracting those who wouldn't have voted for any other party? It's an important distinction because Labour seem to be going for the Conservative voters when the real wins are to be made from people who wouldn't vote for any right wing party.
I ran the numbers. Assuming the most pessimistic scenario that the drop in turnout was all accounted for by CON voters not showing up (i.e. other parties' losses all went Green), and without accounting for turnover, the number of Tories who flipped Green was 1608 more than Ellie's majority.
ok, well maybe they'll get 10 to 15% then, probably lower if Corbyn/Sultana party starts. Reform are above 30% in some polls now. If Labour/Tories/LD stay around 15-20% or lower, that will likely mean a majority govt for Reform.
If you haven't learned how laughable polls are by now you never will. Polls just before Brexit got the outcome completely wrong why do you think a poll 3 years before an election is at all accurate?
ok. Well maybe Greens will be up above 40% by then and Labour will be below 1%. have to see how Zack's eco-populism cuts through with the Greens electoral coalition, and what comes of Corbyn/Sultana's party.
Corbyn's party already shat all over their base that is unlikely that they are gonna get any real votes. Their first action was courting conservatives, anti feminist, anti abortionist and anti queers. They can go to the bin of obscurity alongside labour.
I voted Labour last time round, to oust the Con-Serve-Yourselves. However, Labour have disappointed. It seems likely that Reform will form a majority in the next parliament, but I'm not sure I want Labour (with their Reform copycat agenda), as the next biggest party!! I'll likely go Green!
Labour could step aside
Maybe Labour could try sucking less
would definitely help.