Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Combination of 4 different shades of brown.
Arsenal supporter, father of autistic adult, committed Democrat, New Yorker
236 followers 210 following 457 posts
view profile on Bluesky Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Combination of 4 different shades of brown.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
You suck at math
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social)
Bud Light ... I guess I get it even though I think it's gross that people react this way. But what did Cracker Barrel do to enrage the fascists? This one I don't understand at all.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
At age 10, when Mom is out, Berta orders pizza and lets us stay up as late as we want. Then in teen years, we know where he keeps his stash and can dig in after he passes out on the couch.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
What I don't understand is why our guys are always linked to broke-ass clubs on the continent rather than flush clubs in the Prem. If it's a strong player preference, we can't control, but if the club doesn't want to "strengthen a rival," IMO that's a big mistake.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
No TRUE Scotsman has ever lost an election by following a popularist strategy
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Both the lack of alt text and the misplaced apostrophe show that Mamdani is fallible. For those not from here: there are several Hamptons -- it's a plural rather than a possessive.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Even more than immigration, did millions of people wake up one morning and spontaneously, independently, decide: I really care about who plays girls' high school sports It's an "issue" b/c the fascists made it an issue through repetition & we need to do the same rather than just react.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
But that's exactly the problem with popularism, and it's why Stancil is right & Yglesias is wrong. You can't just see which issues are important & adopt moderate positions on these. Leaders can influence which issues are important , and this is where Biden & Harris failed, despite popular positions
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Looks delicious, great work!
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I'll try. Let's consider Biden's domestic agenda & the policies he pushed: Infrastructure Abortion rights $35 insulin Student debt forgiveness These are are really popular positions, upwards of 70% in issue polls. How did this work out for him and then Harris?
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Holy shit that was quite a read
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Was it that exact list? It was an epic undertaking on your part
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Several years ago, @7amkickoff.com did an epic thread (at the old place) documenting how he made every sandwich on a list with homemade bread. Might have been this list, I'm not sure Anyway, for me it's either a Cubano or Chicago Italian Beef
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Colonel Bruce Hampton & the Aquarium Rescue Unit would have been an appropriate opening act ... if not for the tragedy
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
That's basically what I thought the rules were. So unless Starmer is going to dissolve, and why the hell would he, voting intentions are not very meaningful now. But yeah the ratio on that is hilarious
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Legit question from an American: Since the last general election was just over a year ago, what does it even mean to be "voting Reform" right now?
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Personally, I love The Rest is History, but I'm not sure whether that one would check one of your undesirable boxes.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
The best fact about CT is that the highest point in the state isn't even a mountain peak. You pass by the "highest point" marker on the way to the peak -- which is about 500 feet higher, and in MA
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I hate to say this, because Webb, PGMOL, and this idea are all terrible -- but to an extent I think THIS IS what the fans have asked for When I look at the high percentage of my feed, for any game, that's about ref decisions -- this is classic stated preference vs revealed preference IMO
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
This is awful for a league game where home games need to be balanced over the schedule, but this is exactly what the League Cup should be doing, since location is determined by coin flip. Ditch 2 leg semis, play quarters, semis, & finals at 7 different locations. Suddenly it's interesting
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
How do you count the hideous Villa/West Ham/Burnley color combo? Those would seem like good days for the white kit.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
He's just workshopping what the line is going to be when we have one army in Nuuk and a second in Calgary
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social)
Farthest I have been: North: Reykjavic, Iceland East: Vienna, Austria South: Juquei, SP state, Brazil West: Oil City, Washington, USA I guess this demonstrates which direction I need to travel next š
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
To be fair, Cannon Beach is one of the most amazing places I have been
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Bottle Rocket Rushmore Royal Tennenbaums Fantastic Mr. Fox Isle of Dogs Grand Budapest Hotel The Life Aquatic Darjeeling Limited Was once possibly my favorite filmmaker, but I agree it has become stale
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
When there were only 9 Anderson movies, I loved most & very much enjoyed debating the ranking. But I never finished the French Dispatch. Or maybe I did? The fact that I can't remember kind of tells the whole story.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Cedric!!!
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Is Ethan's contract really 4 years? Some are reporting it as 5 years bsky.app/profile/afcm...
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
That makes a lot more sense
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Who the hell was Mario? I'm completely drawing a blank.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Doug Ford doesn't look like he came to the interview straight from a crack house, nor does he appear to have been up all night partying with hookers. So he's perhaps an improvement compared with the rest of the family?
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Wait for Preston Brooks caning Charles Sumner v2.0. Whoever does it (Mills? Fine? Mullin?) will be instantly hailed as a hero, and Trump's DOJ will refuse to even investigate.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Cedric remontada?
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
This dude has obviously never made a meringue
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Pretty sure that violates the second law of thermodynamics www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuxb...
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I remain unconvinced that "from winning/losing positions" analysis is useful at all. Subject to small sample size quirks It definitely felt that we lacked the spark to turn a 1-1 on 70' into a win. Mostly b/c injuries. But which team scored first in that 1-1 seems irrelevant.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
The old econ models didn't include burrito taxis
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Drove me up the wall these past few years. Your Big Mac costs a dollar more b/c the guy making it has more bargaining power and IS DOING BETTER! As a self-proclaimed leftist, isn't that a good outcome? Apparently not for many.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
For sure, Stancil is 100% right about media/social media amplification. But unless you keep a weekly spreadsheet of expenses, you'll remember the 1 staple that went from $2 to $3.50 rather than the 29 items that stayed the same. And that starts social media narrative; it's not pure manipulation
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, that's why I say his larger point is correct. But when he says it's about media messaging rather than authentic, nonlinear, emotional reactions, it's insulting. I just paid $7.49 for 13oz coffee at trader Joe's. Will it impact me? No. Did it cause a reaction? Yes.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
You mean Oxlade-Chamberlain, right? (Sorry, a bit of a deep cut there)
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
You are correct about so much of this, but do you even understand the concept of nonlinearity? Perceptions are nonlinear! Humans are terrible at computing averages, we remember outliers. You should try to understand this and stop being such a pedantic dickhead even if broader point is correct.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
New ethical dilemma: if you could go back in time and smother baby Satoshi, would you do it?
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
The first 2028 Dem contender that promises to either seize the Qatar jet, or blow it up with a cruise missile, has my vote.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
But isn't the answer: it has nothing to do with aesthetics, it's just whatever kit becomes associated with a bad loss?
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Your pic of the thermometer is by far the most amazing aspect of your weekend. Congrats!
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
All good.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
That's an inappropriate response. I was just asking for clarification. No need to be a fucking asshole
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Not sure what you mean by "weren't acutely aware." Will never forget seeing all the pawn shops the first time I drove into AC 30 years ago with a bankroll of $100 from my grad student stipend. Didn't go back for another 5 years but I remained acutely aware.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
He didn't use the quotes the first time he mentioned Kamala but did the second time. Once I noticed that, I can't unsee it. So painful.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Plenty of ways you can criticize Stancil But you brought up Raytheon, AIPAC, and crypto. Topics that he basically never talks about! I could just as easily accuse you of stanning Arby's and Blackpink. Because, looking through your feed, you don't denounce them.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
This is an extremely dumb argument
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Since this is Blue Sky, be prepared for some folks to be really mad about you watching that show. I'm chill, we all need something to have on in the background
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Bugs, plus Better Call Saul, that's on my list for the near future
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Tampa Tulsa El paso
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Also 36 No to: Memphis Honolulu OKC San Antonio Sacramento Louisville Kansas City Albuquerque Minneapolis St. Paul...
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
"Blue Sky" by the Allman Brothers. Dickey Betts was a terrible person, but he managed some of the most beautiful solos that you can basically sing note for note with your friends
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Not the kitchen staff or the groundskeepers, the staff that worked AT THE SPA!!
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Are favorability ratings for parties EVER predictive? To me, this is as useless as asking about approval of congress. There are a million reasons one might disapprove -- if you don't tease out WHY, it seems like a useless exercise.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
But there was a reason why they chose this path. It was for the blue passports. They wanted old school UK passports rather than the newfangled, ugly EU passports.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Hmm, that's not my impression, but many year have passed, so who knows if I'm remembering corectly. I would like to see someone analyze this rigorously -- seems like the numbers should be easy to obtain with the right API.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Interesting, thanks for sharing! Would love to see someone stretch that out over like 3 seasons and incorporate the minutes data. Hopefully the transfer business this summer helps with that and it's not just Arteta being stubborn.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Good analysis. My annoyance with MA, besides the loathed League Cup, is how late he makes his subs. For Saka, Rice, Ode, coming off at 65 rather than 83 minutes seems like it should help long term. Has anyone analyzed whether his subs are actually late compared with other managers?
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm happy for England and for Chloe, but in general I don't think the penalty taker should be able to put in their own rebound. Too much advantage & penalizes the keeper who just made a great play.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Try CTRL + Shift + T That should restore your tabs from the previous session
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
There's a pretty stark US-UK divergence in the switch to this platform. Probably b/c the US is further along the road to Twitter-enabled fascism. Besides the club, lots of UK folks with good politics have remained at the bad place. Credit to those who have switched.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
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Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
If people are really saying that, God help us all Even people who don't like xG are familiar with the concept of a purple patch. In every sport, we see guys who are pretty good for their whole careers, with one outlier season. You don't need xG to understand that phenomenon.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Counterpoint: you're not excited enough
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
His infamous quote about "on the younger side" was in New York magazine in 2002, a year before the birthday message
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes, this bsky.app/profile/sobe...
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Because it's TOTALLY IRRESPONSIBLE to just dump an investigation's raw files. You smear the guilty & the innocent equally, but which group is which? "Release the files" is INSANE. Good reasons why grand juries are secret & special counsels take months to carefully write final reports.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
A question: how is this different from the Durham investigation? Are the parameters of this new investigation different, or is it too vague at this point to tell? On the surface, it seems like they already tried this and failed.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I have also taken my laptop to a Chipotle when I've had an hour or two and nowhere else to go. It's not a bad environment, and I can see why Tom Paine was productive there.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
What a story. She's right that they can't send her back to Iran -- instead she'll get sent to South Sudan. And while I oppose the concept of removal to third countries, if there's one person who deserves that fate, this is that person.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Culver's is better than either In-N-Out or Whataburger -- it only suffers b/c way fewer people visit Wisconsin. Come at me.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
This AC phenomenon is so strange. NOBODY suggests that Brits should be forced to have holidays in Blackpool rather than Marbella, or have stag weekends in Leeds instead of Tallinn. But those cheap Ryanair flights contribute far more to global warming than AC would.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't know the exact definition of this stat, but from the names on the list, and not on the list (no City players, only Odegaard for AFC), this seems to reflect team playing style more than anything else. Within-team comparisons more informative than between-team comparisons.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Fans have unrealistic expectations about a transfer? Say it ain't so!
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Exactly this IMO, if we get Giroud 2.0 from this guy I'll take it, since the rest of the squad is so much better than in Giroud's day.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Thanks. Off the top of your head, do you know how many games that was?
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social)
@adam.cannonstats.com Before today, what was Palmer's recent record scoring from open play? A friend on a group chat just called him England's best player, and I want to remind everyone of the cold streak.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
"Bad Moon Rising" is most appropriate when you're on a long road trip & haven't stopped for a few hours. šµšµ "There's a bathroom on the right." šµšµ
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Anecdotal, but i think the Arsenal community on this site is more thoughtful, contains fewer teenagers, and has less obvious engagement farming than the other site. Noticably less support for #5 as well.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I get that you're being generous to the counter argument, but IMO "don't help CFC" is the weakest reason for people to get upset We can't force EVERY CLUB IN THE WORLD to not help CFC Only one year ago Villa & CFC mutually inflated prices to help each other out -- we can't control this
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I hope they get relegated after their childishness towards Gary Neville. Of course Neville sucks, but only someone with the emotional maturity of a six year old bans a commentator for criticizing the club. That road leads to the most anodyne commentary you can imagine.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
You don't want to have a fling with a guy who has 1 follower? 1 follower! He's practically famous.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
This is a factor that I do not understand at all. I'm in the US and came of age when Get Evidence Quickly was emphasized. Therefore I'm not confident about justice, one way or the other.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, maybe the club had nothing to do with it. But if the police thought they had a strong case in July, then they probably had a strong case several months ago and should have acted then IMO, sporting consequences be damned.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Middle part was an excellent treatment of difficult topic. But I was surprised you never addressed the timing? They were ready to bring a case on 4 July but wouldn't have been ready in, say, February? It almost suggests coordination with the club, which would be even more gross.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Just finished reading The Barn by Wright Thompson, and this totally tracks. Title of the book refers to the place where Emmett Till was murdered, but the book is largely a history of that region with the murder as an anchor. Highly recommend.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
It's a shame that article is crap, because the real story of Hedy Lamar is amazing. I thought these guys did a great job of summarizing it within the larger story of Qualcomm. And they gave credit to the original sources they were drawing from. www.acquired.fm/episodes/qua...
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Entirely the fault of Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, and Chuck Schumer DC should have become a state on January 21, 2021, but those 3 wanted to return to "normalcy" and were unwilling to play hardball. And here we are.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
We saw under Biden that the benefit of passing very popular legislation was zero, so our starting assumption has to be that the price of passing unpopular legislation is also zero
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
Also, according to reporting at the time, CaƱa was also the one who recommended Runny Runnarson. So he ain't batting 1.000
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
The first 2028 Dem contender who reminds ICE agents of the statute of limitations and tells them that it would be a shame to miss their kids' graduations due to incarceration has my vote. Following orders doesn't excuse you from crimes.
Eric Sobie (@sobesafc.bsky.social) reply parent
I like your analyses of minutes by our players. You've provided some measured takes about guys who got falsely accused But when it comes to the mayor of a city that's 793 miles away from where you live -- nobody fucking asked you