ChrisBastianBKL
@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social
Retired Transportation Planner @mtainfo.bsky.social DNC National Finance Committee Brooklyn Democratic County Committee Election Data Analyst/Modeler World Traveler, Political Junkie, Mac Geek.
created December 19, 2023
233 followers 234 following 727 posts
view profile on Bluesky Posts
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
No it’s not. Popular with the base? Sure. But those aren’t the votes we need. Popular with unengaged voters in marginal Republican districts? No. DC politics as usual. Also, pointless. Senate will never vote to convict.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Kennedy Center awards don’t come cheap.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Sadly, that’s the internet, not the train speed…..
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
But kudos to the Tampa Bay player doing somersaults each time before throwing the ball in…
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
The @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social scavenger hunt started at 2 PM. I finished (approx #125) at 5 PM. The first person to finish arrived at the checkpoint at 3:50. I have questions…..
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
He doesn’t have one. It’s rent-stabilized.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
…who ended up at the back of the line because the staging area was across the street…
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I can state that it’s technically in the wrong location
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
"Someone could become a millionaire..." would apply to ANY Powerball or Megamillions drawing.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Weekends have a lighter frequency and lower ridership, so fewer congestion delays.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Fortunately she has a strong stable of candidates in 26 (nb: Rob Sand is a personal friend)
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I do this run twice a week and it’s at least 20 min
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
Privilege Dialoguing Othering Triggering Systems of oppression Critical theory Cultural appropriation The unhoused Food insecurity Housing insecurity Birthing person Pregnant people Chest feeding Cisgender Latinx BIPOC Incarcerated people Involuntary confinement www.thirdway.org/memo/was-it-...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
“Mikie Sherrill has a nine-point lead over former state assemblyman and Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli among likely voters in New Jersey, according to the latest Rutgers-Eagleton Poll.” eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu/wp-content/u...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
US maps (unlike some European ones) have never shown stops for street-based routes. However two block stop spacing has been a general standard for almost all US transit systems.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I can do without the "opinion"
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Bongino not up to the job? Or just not trustworthy enough?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Animals (esp. the cat) that are ignoring you?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
The old softy…..
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Complications from Passenger Facility Charge supporting AirTrain operations and repairs; not eligible for non-airport transit services.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Nah. More likely one of those waffle makers.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
But does the motel offer a breakfast buffet?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Order early for good seats…..
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
"Many Democrats left House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' annual California fundraising event last week convinced Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear is running for president" I could have told you that last month when I saw him at the States Forum conference. www.axios.com/2025/08/13/b...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I haven’t talked to all of them, so I can’t rank them yet. Also depends on how well they’ll work with Rob Sand (a friend) who’s our candidate for Governor.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
If he’s a serious candidate, he’ll be calling me. JD Scholten and Zach Wahls already have.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I’ve supported Brown before but I need to be convinced he can win after losing last year.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Is it possible to get all the district forecasts in table form? Easier to quickly identify the most competitive races.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Two questions: 1. Why are you a better choice than the other three Democratic candidates? 2. How will you actually defeat Ernst?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
For the third straight day the NWS has issued an air quality alert in NYC (projected level 100-150) and the actual rates have been half that amount
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Pretty much.....
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
My election postmortem: michaeljudge.substack.com/p/chris-bast...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Again, WE'RE NOT TALING ABOUT TRUMP BASE VOTERS.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
You just did what Biden did: address feelings with macro statistics. It doesn't work. However incorrect voter perceptions may be, you have to start by acknowledging and empathizing with their angst and then move to address it. To paraphrase Rumsfeld, you go to the election with the voters you have.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
They were unhappy with their personal financial situation, blamed Biden for it, and either sat out the race or voted for Trump because their recollection was that things were better financially during his first term.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
You misunderstand; I don't care about Trump's base. I care about the 10% of politically disengaged voters in the middle. They went for Biden in 2020 and didn't (voted Trump or didn't vote) in 2024. We need to win them back by addressing what they care about. Including the price of eggs.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes, it WAS the price of eggs (and mortgages and other life expenses) in large part. And President Biden (white, male Christian) would have lost by a larger margin if he'd stayed the candidate. Being disdainful of what voters care about is a great way to keep losing elections.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
It starts with a competent candidate. Biden (i met with him twice) was much like Carter: great on policy and lousy on politics. He was unable to empathize with the concerns (rational or not) of voters about the cost of living and immigration, which gave Trump an entry point to play on their fears.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't "spin wheels" or engage in "wishful thinking". I spend years collecting and crunching candidate and election data, meeting with candidates and observing them in the field. As for "two out of two" women candidates, I'll point out that Clinton got MORE votes than Trump in 2016.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes, we do. Reaching for racism/sexism as an answer is convenient because it absolves Biden and Harris of any responsibility for the loss.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
You however are not an “average” Democratic voter (if for no reason other than you’re discussing politics on a social meeting site). We need to appeal to disaffected non base voters who supported us in 2020 but not in 2024.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Dems need to focus on worrying about what the voters are worrying about.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
In which case you're saying Democrats can only select white male (preferably Christian) candidates if they have a hope of winning in the future. I'm not prepared to accept that.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
The United States (Democratic and Republican administrations) has never recognized the ICC’s jurisdiction.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Will Sarah Palin be keeping an eye out?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
45 years ago I spent 8 hours on a SQ flight on the tarmac at Dubai waiting for a monsoon passing through the Indian Ocean.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
What I can also see is that they left out a power supply. I’m not aware that DMU vehicles are the preferred choice at this point
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I forgot it was the NFL office building; I attended meetings there to plan for the Meadowlands Super Bpwl.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
OTOH, when I go to the Digital ID line (JFK & LGA with Delta), I bypass even the shorter preCheck queue and don't have to present either an ID or a boarding pass. www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
nb: the NYT video only covers the ROW portion owned by the LIRR. The northern portion of IBX would operate on ROW owned by CSX Transportation. (I was the MTA Project Manager for the initial IBX feasibility study)
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
If Bondi follows up with prosecutions which all fail because Trump is insane, what happens? If Bondi refuses to prosecute because Trump is insane, what happens?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Will they be claiming that the existing map is unfair to Republicans?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
“Two weeks” always worked for Trump.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
Did someone fail to notify Tulsi that President now have presumed immunity for their actions? politicalwire.com/2025/07/18/g...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
If Attorney General Bondi can't find Trump's phone number to discuss an Administration policy without relying on social media, perhaps check Jeffrey Epstein's black book?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Its not a fiction as much as its the history of different prior operating companies with different Union contracts.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
The City owns the subway system and the streets and can take back the operation any time its willing to cough up the $10 Billion in annual operating expenses, as well as the $47 Billion in capital program funds
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Should there be only one seat for NYC counties?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I understand he only served coffee…
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
And when all the other candidates ignore his proposal?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
How do you feel about tearing down a supermarket to build a parking lot? youtu.be/OOIjcUwiuso?...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
“Weaving…”
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I assume it is not made with sapphires…
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
DSA can apply all the pressure they want. Hochul and the legislature are up for re-election next year and DSA won’t be providing the votes they need to win. www.cityandstateny.com/politics/202...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Trumpy you’re going a hell of a job…
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Add to which, Musk isn't going to be either a Ross Perot or Cornell West. He's not eligible to run for President so the Party (if successful) wouldn't focus on him.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't see Musk attempting to carve a new political coalition out of both MAGA Republicans and disaffected Democrats. I see him attempting to poach enough MAGA voters to win a handful of loyal-to-him House and Senate members based on the argument that Trump and the House betrayed the MAGA movement
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Doesn't he have to make a confession first?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
@sarahlongwell25.bsky.social Good discussion yesterday in Philly.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
@statesforum.bsky.social too bad the “building stuff” roundtable was canceled.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
Why do people never say “we have bigger fish to sauté in a lemon butter garlic sauce”?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
Jim Walden ran as an Independent to offer an alternative to a prospective Adams or Cuomo nominee tainted by corruption. Now he's prepared to support either as long as there's a capitalist running? www.nytimes.com/2025/07/07/n...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Cityticket fares will apply.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Wasn’t NYC planning East River bathing pavilions?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
It would certainly be petty for Elon Musk to kick Trump off Twitter/X again, right?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Would "to sucker you in to giving him money" be an adequate response?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes, but Texans are free from woke Nanny State Government intrusion so…..
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't think he intends to run himself ala Perot or Nader. I think he wants to elect House and Senate members to block legislation he doesn't like, ala the People's Party of the 1880s.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
Paris St. Germain, down TWO players because of Red Cards, scores in the 10th minute of 6 minutes of overtime to defeat Bayern Munchen and advance to the SemifInals of the @fifaclubworldcup.bsky.social . And some people think soccer is boring.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
My wife (tax attorney) doesn’t think most people will notice.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
The line to get into the park isn’t moving and extends the length of Hicks St, 45 minutes before the show starts.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
All the way down to Middaugh St
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
The “lottery access only” fireworks viewing areas in Brooklyn Bridge Park are almost empty 90 minutes before the show.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I wouldn’t assume that “middle management” was being invited.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
I’d hate to think Mayor Adams’s was hosting guests he wants support from in his re-election campaign.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
He’s very sorry and it won’t happen again?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Based on a NYC Prjmary result?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
The Brooklyn Eagle reports that the Brooklyn Heights Promenade will be reserved for Eric Adams and his friends, while half of the neighborhood will be locked down with police checkpoints. brooklyneagle.com/wp-content/u...
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
It doesn't work for housing density.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Ideas are good, but don’t read the results of a heavily Democratic Primary into a national model.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social)
@nydailynews.com “In New York, the largest police union’s contract expires this year. Mamdani should publicly and privately pursue a strong contract. He should also apologize for some prior remarks.” Mamdani won’t be Mayor until NEXT year. Adams will negotiate the police contract.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Mark Robinson is waiting in the wings…..
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes, but that’s in metric…..
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Texas is a problem because covering, say, a 2 pt margin means funding close to 400,000 votes. Iowa’s a lot easier.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
The question is: what’s the third State? Iowa? Nebraska? Texas? Ohio?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Idiots never do…..
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
But do you love to eat it every day?
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
You will never get 60 votes in the Senate.
ChrisBastianBKL (@chrisbastianbkl.bsky.social) reply parent
Didn’t get his Pardon request in?