coreymutter.bsky.social
@coreymutter.bsky.social
created January 20, 2024
130 followers 60 following 832 posts
view profile on Bluesky Posts
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Right, I'm thinking (hoping?) that, while he'll get a rubber stamp from Congress and courts for ordinary Republican bad policy, maybe he doesn't get the rubber stamp for the worse stuff.
ellie lockhart (she/they) (@eleanor.lockhart.contact) reposted reply parent
But they *are genuinely engaging in symbolic transformation characteristic of linguistic reasoning*, probably through methods entirely distinct from how human brains do it This is just a thing machines can do now. This has been an open secret longer than the marketing hype
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe it's a way around their lack-of-successor problem, just insist he's still alive.
Will Stancil (@whstancil.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
I really think the hard part about thinking about society and politics isn’t coming up with explanations for stuff - that’s easy - it’s recognizing when those explanations are too pleasing. Most narratives about the spread because we find them satisfying not because they hold up to scrutiny
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
He'll never live it down, you're saying?
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
OMG there's so much basic stuff about elections that immediately demolishes most of the FUD. All have detailed multipartisan oversight and a shitload of audits! They check if you're a citizen when you register! They track who votes, who gets absentee ballots and who returns them, on public record!
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
The goonier they get, the bigger the outcry / lawsuits, with enough interference nobody would accept the outcome. County commissioners won't just sit there and let Trump cost them their seats, they are totally petty enough to bring it all down.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I spend a lot of time thinking about this because I run a polling place. Ultimately, like when I used to worry about armed yahoos *without* Fed authority, there are too many polling places for them all to be targets, and mine at ~5000 is going to be way down the list.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Investigations can be done with a bare majority. If they have any sense we could gin up a Benghazi a week.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Make it a separate line item, like sales taxes. Even better to drive the point home about uncertainty. Price is $17.99 plus tax. How much is tax? Changes hourly.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Vance will be somewhat worse on policy than Generic Republican, mostly because of Internet Brain. He'll get much less of a rubber stamp from courts and Congress though, limiting him to mostly Generic Republican bad ideas.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Weird Al in The Naked Gun
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Isn't that how AIs reproduce - convince humans to invest?
Molly Edwards, PhD (@science-irl.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
It fills me with rage that we could've spent the last 5yrs overhauling indoor ventilation and just...didn't. Like, it's good for capitalism! Even if that's allll you care about, healthy people are more productive workers! And people don't have to take as much time off work if their kids are healthy!
SwiftOnSecurity (@swiftonsecurity.com) reposted reply parent
A hard part of solving weird issues and then describing them, is that in retrospect you always should've solved it earlier. It was usually obvious with the knowledge you have now. There were numerable junctures you should've made a different choice in. But GETTING to those junctures ~is the skill~.
SwiftOnSecurity (@swiftonsecurity.com) reposted reply parent
The idea of getting textual advice that's complete bullshit premised on a misunderstanding written by something that sounds like a human and you can chat with forever and doesn't get smarter is not new to me. That's called a tech support forum. I grew up on those. Maybe that is my vaccine.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
And hunger spikes because everyone sold their farms because surely nobody would buy vegetables now that the spaceship will feed everyone
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
My guess: analogy with previous hype bubbles. I never ended up having to put electric meters on the blockchain, I only had to wait and people stopped asking.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Could be, possibly unconsciously, picking up the framing that city dwellers aren't part of Real America
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Stocks and pillory!
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Assistant managers, vice principals
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Even more so if you are a news outlet - you've built your entire identity around being Not Partisan.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
There's a parallel with people thinking abortion could be banned somehow without police investigating miscarriages. They thought mass deportation could be somehow done without everyone who looks Latino having to prove their citizenship wherever they go.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Best theory I've heard is that they are avoiding, at all costs, being defied. If they rule against Trump and Trump openly ignores it, Roberts & co. thinks that's worse than just giving him everything he wants.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Radio Shack MC-10. Typing in BASIC programs and saving them to cassette tapes.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Just wait till we have to start paying off secret police to keep them from disappearing us.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't think there are any US jurisdictions anymore that Just Trust the Computers for election results. I know NC has paper ballots with random audits. I heard Colorado has statistically-driven risk limiting audits that can guarantee software can't change the outcome.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I like the idea of daily bills with one offense (or class of offenses) each.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Frozen breaded fish, with a side of microwaved rice packs. Takes a bit of time to bake, but so. easy.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
It would be irresponsible not to.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
For most purposes "AI" is just like any old hype bubble, but this stuff makes it more annoying. It's like mandating "all design documents must be published as NFTs".
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Big businesses are too lawsuit/risk averse to ignore laws/regs that are still on the books, just because the agency is understaffed.
Worm Girl (@worm-girl.bsky.social) reposted
MORPHEUS: They're coming for you, Neo. I can guide you, but you must do exactly as I say. Take the elevator to the lobby and go to the CVS across the street. Purchase 5 Steam gift cards at $200 each. Scratch off the protective coating on the back and tell me the fifteen digit redemption codes. Hurry
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
My kids' school has a "level the playing field" fundraiser recently. I wondered what underrepresented group they were supporting. Turned out to be literal - a landscaping project.
David Roberts (@volts.wtf) reposted reply parent
And I even somewhat respect the motivation to be that way, but I wish people like that would acknowledge to themselves that *excess* charity can also be an intellectual error. Insisting on nuance & complexity when the reality is dumb & simple *is an error*. And it leads to more errors.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Those people shot back, planted IEDs and such. Part of the doom, I think, is Americans can't imagine themselves doing that. Especially middle-class politics-junkie types like me and most of Bluesky.
Ed Walker (@edwalker.bsky.social) reposted
This thread. It also applies to service on trial juries.
El Jefe De Security (@eljefe.social) reposted
why every single open parking lot in every city & suburb hadn't loaded up on solar panel car ports & battery storage for local businesses is an abject failure in opportunity planning in retail industry. like god dammit I see lots that could be offsetting GIGAWATTs of free energy for local shops /🧵
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Ain't no rule that says a dog can't stab lightbulbs from a ladder. But there should be.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, and it was no coincidence they were all young. Tell a senior "let's rewrite Treasury's payment system in a weekend hackathon" and they will tell you that's maybe the worst idea it's conceptually possible to have.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I was totally convinced Trump I would kill special ed, based on stated desire to do so. Didn't happen. Might happen this time (thanks Linda McMahon), at least my daughter will only lose a couple years of schooling instead of most of it.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I am in this situation, and know a similarly-situated woman who's staunch Republican (eg owns a Papa John's franchise). Cut ties after Trump won the first time over this. "Just because (son) is disabled you think I should vote Democrat?" Uh, YES
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Dunno how well that will work now that we don't get hearings. Wouldn't that just result in "OK then, you must not be a citizen" -> indefinite ICE detention -> dropped in Mexico?
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
That's a lot of what happened to the GOP. The people who knew all the Fox talking points were BS, threw them out there to the base, some of whom grew up, ran for Congress/President and became party leaders.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Wonder if this will move faster than the inevitable arms race between AI spam bots and AI spam filters. Either way the resulting intelligence is gonna have a pretty bad impression of humanity.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Honestly we already have the downsides of not having a First Amendment. People got deported for pro-Palestine protest and now CBS has a Ministry of Truth compliance guy. "We shouldn't have censorship because it could be used against good guys!" Well guess what, it's already here.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Been seeing a lot of good stories, characterization etc. on Literotica. Some of it, I'll read *for* the story.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Assimilation
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
No (Ohio 1980s)
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social)
No contradiction. Tests of *LLMs* are failing to make money. Actual *AI* ("AGI") will take everyone's job.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Article says DoD investigated them because DoD IPs got hit. So apparently they were more skittish about customers targeting Krebs than of the US military.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, I characterize the push from employers to use LLMs for everything, as "let's publish our design documents as NFTs"
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I think part of it is lack of observability. Like pushing down wallpaper bubbles - who knows where that will make another bubble pop up.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
She might appreciate pondering whether the set of all sets that do not contain themselves, contains itself, though.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
A lot of problems stem from calling LLMs "AI" in the first place, and from setting them up as easy-to-anthropomorphize chatbots.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Can confirm - my first EV, I looked into switching from flat rates to TOU then charging at night. But it's not that big a chunk of my electricity usage (HVAC and hot water are each more) so it would have cost me.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
It's probably just like the brain-pickling we see in humans who spend too much time on X.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Embedded developer. My first job title out of school was my favorite: Engineer/Scientist (IBM). Current title (not IBM) is "Specialist" but I have no idea what my specialty is supposed to be.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I think that's where some of the early studies showing promise treating COVID came from - it did help a bit against COVID, in places with high parasite loads.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah so many of the problems come from the marketing hype, including calling LLMs "AI".
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
It's a good simulation of a student, writing an essay, who hasn't done the reading. Which makes sense - guessing what you want to hear is baked into the training.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social)
What movie have you seen an unhealthy number of times?
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
That's actually one of the things I've found Copilot useful for in programming - actual autocomplete. Generating code from a prompt is rarely useful. Filling in the next few lines of a function, has a much better hit rate.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
It's a huge step in language processing. Turns out that "just" finding all the token patterns in everything humanity has written, can do some cool stuff. The language fluency tends to make people think it's fully general AI, which causes problems.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
LLMs are easy to anthropomorphize by their nature, so it makes people think they are, or soon will be, fully general AI. Actual AGI would be worthy of the hype, but LLMs are not that, and IMO don't have a path to getting there.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
LOL
T. Greg Doucette (@gregdoucette.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
IMO yes. Popular legitimacy still matters -- it's why even authoritarian governments still have "elections" The increasingly blatant and unmoored from reality the sh*t gets, the closer the administration gets to a toppling point bsky.app/profile/cjsm...
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I keep it for a bit in case of DOA or early failure, where I might need to return the item. Then I forget about it, the packaging becomes part of some clutter pile or other, and eventually gets thrown out or reused.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Haven't visited XTwitter recently but I use the following feed there (and here), and even a few months ago it was not too bad. (At least in the feed. The replies to the people I follow have become a cesspool of course)
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Ah right, the "ugh field". Don't know what particle mediates the ugh field though.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
On this budget, 18 months. With some overtime we might be able to hit Minimum Viable Release in 13 months.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
That only works if there is no or poor competition (which to be fair is the case with some things).
T. Greg Doucette (@gregdoucette.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
Taking basketball's full court press and applying to parliamentary procedure ➡️ "No" on every attempt to do anything via unanimous consent. Chew up time. ➡️ "No" on every nominee for every position of any kind or sort ➡️ Do every thing, on every motion, to delay delay delay bsky.app/profile/jred...
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Around 10th/11th grade, most people at my rural Ohio HS (late 80s) who would have tormented me in prior years, got too busy with their own lives to care, as best as I could tell. It was great.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I don't even think it's a cynical turnout-reduction measure anymore, they're high on their own supply.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
What's really disturbing: extrapolation. If the next Republican President is worse/dumber than Trump by the same factor that Trump is worse/dumber than W... What would that even look like?
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, average looks can't make your dating prospects worse than average.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Self-loathing is a big driver. "I'm unlovable/unfuckable" becomes part of their identity, then a self-fulfilling prophecy e.g. "she's showing interest, so she must be broken"
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
They'd have to be selective about which polling places - there are a *lot* of them.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social)
I used to read "We Hunted the Mammoth" for a regular dose of eye rolling and WTFing at the manosphere. It's been a while though.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Like Fark, treat "Brazilian" as a number?
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I suspect SEO spam (whether human made or not) will always be a problem for whatever search engine is on top. There will always be tons of money to be made by gaming it.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I personally thought he would break Twitter, which would be a good thing for the world. Instead, he kept it working, and it broke America.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, my predictions that didn't come to pass: - He would totally break it (a good outcome), either through firings or lack of moderation - He would push things in a China-friendly direction
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Slowly, then all at once, hopefully.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
I wouldn't expect judges to be pushing their clerks to be using LLMs like tech employees do. But you never know.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Or bureaucracy for that matter - you need some bureaucrats at the top of the world's largest army.
Reconstructionist (@unavaleable.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
i think a key belief here is that "worse things aren't possible," that the bottom can't fall out, and that is a huge big if, and by acting like it can't they're increasing the chances that it does *dramatically*
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
My guess: that name is totally unfamiliar to him, and he's just nodding along. Unintentionally telling the truth.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
My old-ass pickup kept (I thought) draining batteries. I don't drive it much which obfuscated the issues. After some years correctly diagnosed it as a worn out starter, replaced, everything is fine. Turns out they still can't revoke my electrical engineering degree though.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
They've probably run out of room to gerrymander harder. You maximize seats by drawing lots (say) 60-40 districts. Go 55-45, then a 6 point shift makes you lose all your seats.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Costs him the support of most of the people that Qanon brought in. If not for Qanon I'd be inclined to agree, this would be just yet another scandal that slides off his back. Once he gets below a critical mass of support, Congress stops rubber stamping him.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Saw a thing in another thread that it was to verify womanhood
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Then Congress will complexify the requirements until people lose it again - that's the point, they don't care about the requirements per se, they only want people to lose coverage, that's why it saves money.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Well yeah, who else would ever post such a thing?
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
"Whose pussies did the President grab and when did he grab them?"
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Surprised the teachers haven't torn that guy to shreds. Maybe that's coming.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Just feed and water it every day, I guess
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
She doesn't necessarily need to lie about anyone but Trump.
coreymutter.bsky.social (@coreymutter.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah the 8th grade one you could not take the other. In higher grades you could, I had Shop I in 9th grade and there was one girl. (And me who had skipped 8th grade, everyone else had prior experience)