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Grits 'n Gravy

@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social

Full-time porch napper, howl enthusiast, and biscuit connoisseur. Barking my truth.

created November 14, 2024

150 followers 430 following 2,285 posts

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Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

They need an AI that can fellate Trump for them.

5/9/2025, 2:42:51 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Goodthink at its finest.

4/9/2025, 4:58:42 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Someone thinks he understands sarcasm.

3/9/2025, 6:16:42 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

"Look sending troops into cities with Black, Democratic mayors, in violation of posse comitatus, and ignoring red cities with much higher crime rates isn't a political thing. Not at all political."

3/9/2025, 4:03:13 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Yeah, credit where it's due. The likeliest outcomes is more than 1,000 pink slips, so they went ahead and took that risk.

3/9/2025, 3:59:32 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

*accidentally posts "Nate Silver was right!" on main*

3/9/2025, 3:57:01 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Those poor fishermen. 😟

3/9/2025, 1:26:43 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

To the moon, one supposes.

3/9/2025, 12:22:57 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

It even destroys conscience in people who had one.

2/9/2025, 4:27:49 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Just imagine if they covered police shootings that way. Juxtapose every headline with the number of people shot that day, weekend, or week by police.

2/9/2025, 3:31:09 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

* killed in self-defense.

2/9/2025, 3:28:33 PM | 6 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

IIRC, a "missionary" tried to visit an uncontacted group on some island, and he was shot dead with an arrow before hitting the beach. Perfectly legit FAFO in my opinion.

2/9/2025, 3:27:42 PM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Now I have a powerful urge to try a taste of Malört.

2/9/2025, 3:26:06 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Total immunity prompts the question, "Or what?" So OK, it's illegal. What if he keeps doing it? * The answer is, "Better watch out that the Republican legislature doesn't impeach your ass!"

2/9/2025, 1:54:31 PM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

The softball there is that we can even disagree what constitute the "works of Satan."

2/9/2025, 1:52:58 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

FWIW I received the "feedback" that I need to stop talking about politics at work, and was put on a pip....

2/9/2025, 1:52:12 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Lupita Nihongo (@otsumamiboy.bsky.social) reposted

If you say 'heteronormative' or 'unhoused person' or 'food insecurity' you're basically talking gibberish and nobody can understand you but if you say you can see inflammation in children at the airport and that vaccines lower IQ or that germs are a myth you get to fire all the scientists.

31/8/2025, 3:46:31 PM | 14472 2858 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Clean up the wet spot.

31/8/2025, 3:19:49 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I hate that kind of chatter because I have real trouble picking one voice out of the hubbub -- specifically, the person who's talking to me.

31/8/2025, 3:18:27 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

* We get that most people won’t recognize genocide as such if it doesn’t involve gas chambers. We also know that they’re wrong.

31/8/2025, 12:39:47 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

TIL that being against genocide is “self-righteous anger.”

31/8/2025, 12:39:47 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Can confirm. Had a girlfriend explain the difference between gender and sex to me in 1994. So it not only existed, but WA’s recognized as distinct from sex, at least in college feminist circles.

31/8/2025, 12:27:41 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Tilting at windmills, but in a golf cart. The man HATES windmills.

30/8/2025, 3:55:38 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

You understand what "terminating research" means, right? It means we KNOW not to listen to him--but the ones we WOULD listen to have been silenced.

30/8/2025, 3:54:43 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

"Ungrateful" here is code for "uppity."

30/8/2025, 3:47:00 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I hear one of them said, "We're going to wipe out this fascist regime like I wipe out the homeless in California!"

30/8/2025, 1:39:41 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Hands are wringing


29/8/2025, 10:33:27 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

You know that joke about, “it’s not that you’re lying to me: it’s the disrespect“? In Stephen Miller‘s case, it amuses the hell out of him, knowing that you know he’s lying to you. He takes pleasure in knowing that you are well aware of the disrespect.

29/8/2025, 10:31:20 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

How do we know they can’t win on principle? It would be nice to see them try at least.

29/8/2025, 10:27:56 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

This latest example comes from the guy who started out making a website for people to rate the fuckability of women at Harvard.

29/8/2025, 8:57:57 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

No need to get insulted. But if you have a province banning books, then you have a fascism problem. I don't think it really matters how small a minority [you think] they are.

29/8/2025, 8:54:57 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

If even Canada is trending fascist, It really does seem to be a global phenomenon. This would seem like Bob Altemeyer’s time to shine. What the hell it’s going on? Can those researchers into right-wing authoritarianism tell us?

29/8/2025, 7:14:04 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Prisonculture (@prisonculture.bsky.social) reposted

Black and brown people must always be grateful and white people do not. They only have righteous grievances.

29/8/2025, 3:31:18 PM | 189 36 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Yeah they never say that when the deceased was white. Only black people "should have complied with a lawful order."

28/8/2025, 10:10:50 PM | 7 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Can we get her back? I’ll gladly trade 100 ICE goons for her.

28/8/2025, 1:57:09 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social)

Lord love a beaverduck.

27/8/2025, 10:46:34 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Claire Willett (@clairewillett.bsky.social) reposted

IT DOESN’T IT DOESN’T DO THAT AT ALL IT REFRAMES PREVENTABLE DEATHS AS INEVITABLE AND VICTIMS AS WILLING MARTYRS WHO ARE ACTUALLY BETTER OFF DEAD NOW IT IS A DIABOLICAL THING TO SAY IF YOU ARE IN A POSITION TO STOP THIS SHIT AND REFUSING TO DO IT

27/8/2025, 7:41:44 PM | 2728 680 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture jamelle (@jamellebouie.net) reposted

one that annoys me is that what these people think is cutting edge new political thinking is just warmed over slaveholder ideology

27/8/2025, 1:13:24 PM | 5289 1138 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I stopped listening after a few minutes, but it sounded like they were also proposing to repeal the 14th Amendment. I didn't listen long enough to hear whether their issue was with birthright citizenship, or the banning of slavery.

27/8/2025, 6:15:21 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

So basically we have our very own Gaza in the works, except our Hispanic population hasn't been moved into ghettos.

27/8/2025, 5:41:55 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

TIL that I've been a rebel all my life!

27/8/2025, 5:13:52 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social)

100% this. Having been a right-winger prior to 2003, I could honestly say that the right left me as much as I left it. The bits I agreed with them on are all long abandoned.

27/8/2025, 3:58:13 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I honestly think it's a plus that Dear Leader is literally the dumbest man alive. It reassures the others that being white is literally the ONLY qualification necessary, and that the dumbest white man is the equal of the smartest black man.

26/8/2025, 8:58:35 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

According to research like Bob Altemeyer, authoritarians can be made as well. But I agree that this shit was born that way.

26/8/2025, 4:39:37 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

They since opened the Harvard Square Homeless Shelter in a church basement, which provides space for 24 of the estimated 500-600 unhoused people in Cambridge on any given night.

26/8/2025, 3:17:28 PM | 0 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social)

I'm glad "warming centers" exist. Back when I was in college, I remember reading about Harvard blocking access to steam grates because the unhoused would huddle around them trying to get warm.

26/8/2025, 3:17:28 PM | 0 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Nobody said your name. You self-identified. Who are we to doubt your self-knowledge?

26/8/2025, 2:02:00 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

The irony being that even if we grant that "not all white people," the ones who take offense and flip out, like you're doing, are definitely not the exception. "Not all white people," but you for sure.

26/8/2025, 1:21:02 AM | 6 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

This is the kind of shit that led directly to the aristocracy forcing King John to sign the Magna Carta.

25/8/2025, 9:25:27 PM | 1 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Or misspelling potatoe.

25/8/2025, 7:16:13 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I'd only offer one caveat: fat guys can't easily help it. With plump thighs it's hard to bring one's knees together without a hydraulic jack.

25/8/2025, 6:52:12 PM | 8 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

White people don't have to prove anything. That's what makes them "supreme."

25/8/2025, 6:48:54 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Cars around my college in 1989 had signs in the windows that said "No radio." One car had the glass all out of one window, and a sheet of plastic taped in its place, with a sign that said "No more radio."

25/8/2025, 6:43:40 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social)

LeVar Burton's move to Reading Rainbow really was life-changing. He's like the Mr. Rogers of books now.

25/8/2025, 6:35:14 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Ming-gus.

25/8/2025, 6:32:53 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I hope your hypothetical is dead wrong, but I agree that before the worst is over we're going to discover plenty of atrocities. I'll restrain myself from imagining out loud because I'm already too horrified. One thing we can be sure of: the victims will be primarily Hispanic.

25/8/2025, 6:31:10 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

In the hypothetical Nuremberg trials after this is all over, most people won't even stand trial. But the people who knew better, or should have, and had a duty of care to act, can and should be charged with some sort of dereliction, at the very least.

25/8/2025, 6:18:27 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I would call people like Schumer and Jeffries either fascists or Vichy collaborators. It's their job to "protect and defend the constitution" and they're not only doing nothing about the fascists in power, but they're actively collaborating with them.

25/8/2025, 6:18:27 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Also the most outrageous aspects of Nazi rule were imposed gradually and then normalized, so what would have outraged them if done all at once became routine. They also blamed the worst excesses on "bad apples." Mayer's interviewees considered themselves decent, law-abiding, apolitical folks.

25/8/2025, 6:05:48 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Well, I think back to Milton Mayer's book, "They Thought They Were Free." Basically if you asked Germans what it was like living under fascist totalitarianism, they'd think you were nuts. For most of them, life rolled along pretty much the same as it always had; they would say things weren't so bad.

25/8/2025, 6:05:48 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

One problem with harm reduction is that even under good circumstances, it does nothing about the ratcheting effect. The less harmful ruler does less harm, but seldom reverses the wrongs done by their predecessors. And that's the optimistic scenario.

25/8/2025, 5:54:25 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Frankly revolutions suck ass, and when the dust settles we're as likely to be ruled by Ayatollahs from Tennessee as anything else. There's nothing about revolution that makes positive outcomes more likely than awful ones.

25/8/2025, 5:52:32 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Way too many people are literally fascist. Maybe 1/3 of the country? Or maybe closer to half? I don't know, and regardless it's way too large a minority. But most of us just wish this MFer would die already, and hope that things will go back to "normal" when he does. We don't want a revolution.

25/8/2025, 5:52:32 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

It's the difference between what we'd prefer to be, what we're willing to put up with, and what sacrifices we're willing to make to redress our grievances.

25/8/2025, 5:52:32 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I don't think most people are fascist--I just think most people aren't anti-fascist enough to take action. A fascist takeover sucks... in principle. And in practice, at least somewhat. But most people's daily lives are basically unaffected. So their choice is the status quo or massive inconvenience.

25/8/2025, 5:52:32 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

It has pretty solid appeal to travelers who want at least some vague approximation of "home cooked" food, some drinks and snacks for the trip, maybe a book on tape to listen to, and little toys for the kids and tchotchkes for the relatives. It was a regular stop on my family trips.

25/8/2025, 5:47:13 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

An electable politician at least gives people the illusion of being heard.

25/8/2025, 5:41:26 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

She didn't even cultivate the illusion of caring about the plight of the Palestinians. Party leadership as a whole decided not to platform even pro-Harris Palestinian voices; the attendees ignored protesters outside as if they were homeless pickpockets; and Harris pulled her "I am speaking" stunt.

25/8/2025, 5:41:26 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Sounds like cake season!

25/8/2025, 3:55:26 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I don't believe for a second that Jeffries is intentionally acting as an agent of the Republicans in general and Trump in particular. But I do ask myself what he would do differently if that were the case.

25/8/2025, 3:54:50 PM | 5 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Has someone checked on him? He can't raise his elbows above shoulder height. If he's fallen down, he probably can't get up.

25/8/2025, 3:53:56 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

And lest I be unclear, one of the things I'm explicitly including is Biden's failure to prosecute the shit out of Trump, possibly including the decision to Gitmo his ass. You don't peacefully transfer power to der FĂŒhrer.

25/8/2025, 3:53:08 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

You might be right. And if so, canceling the election or restricting the franchise would only be the final straw. Its roots go back much further, and include significant failures by every living president, including Clinton, Obama, on oh my God including Biden. None of them took this seriously.

25/8/2025, 3:51:05 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

In a do-over, my Constitution would include not only ranked-choice voting, an absolute cap on total wealth of any entity, and restrictions on money in politics, but it would do its damndest to make parties illegal.

25/8/2025, 3:49:05 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Also the phrase "the party system" is kind of offensive in and of itself. The existence of parties is arguably unconstitutional. It's an organization that directs the legislators, judges, and executives, non-bindingly but still powerfully, to act in concert, contrary to Constitutional separation.

25/8/2025, 3:49:05 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Because if the political process has broken down that completely, the only option left is basically revolution. It's certainly not voting blue (no matter who!), if the newly-elected will simply proclaim THEIR hands likewise tied.

25/8/2025, 3:46:09 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Indeed it's both a funny and an offensive notion that the office holders' hands are tied by the lack of Constitutional options, while it's our fault in our hovels and hamlets for not rising up and ousting the tyrant. We have more tools than Jeffries? Besides muskets?

25/8/2025, 3:46:09 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Protecting and defending the constitution is everyone's job. There are limited tools provided in the constitution for addressing a complete failure to follow the Constitution--e.g., to impeach a corrupt President--but that's no excuse for inaction.

25/8/2025, 3:46:09 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

The line between "populism" and "grievance politics" is basically nonexistent here. All the way back to Goldwater, the pitch has been that "real" Americans -- meaning white ones -- have been betrayed by "elites," meaning desegregationists. Trump hasn't changed the message except to target Hispanics.

25/8/2025, 3:13:48 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I'm still waiting for you to translate your flippant assertion that ordinary voters can somehow take this party, which is cooperating fully with the fascists now, and convert it into a party that will resist, overthrow, and bring to justice the fascists, and now not 60 years from now. Still waiting.

25/8/2025, 3:12:08 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Do you really believe that rank-and-file Democrat voters have the power to replicate a change that was purposely cultivated by party elites in order to exploit white supremacy for political gain? Can you connect the dots for me?

25/8/2025, 3:06:27 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

The populism of the GOP has roots back before I was born: it grew out of the Southern strategy and the backlash to the Civil Rights Act. Goldwater exposed it; Nixon capitalized on it; and Reagan gave it a genteel face. It goes back 60 years, and had massive support at the top.

25/8/2025, 3:03:49 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I think that’s partly true, but I think it’s also a fantasy to say “the Democratic Party is just all us democrats!” Not all voices are equal. Donors and existing leadership have enormously disproportionate say. There is a machine in place that serves to resist any change toward the left or populism.

25/8/2025, 2:38:37 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Julia M. Rohrer (@dingdingpeng.the100.ci) reposted

Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life? Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social) Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf... Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...

Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients into Clear Quantities Abstract Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear models, but is more challenging for more complex models with, for example, categorical variables, interactions, non-linearities, and hierarchical structures. Here, we introduce an alternative approach to making sense of statistical models. The central idea is to abstract away from the mechanics of estimation, and to treat models as “counterfactual prediction machines,” which are subsequently queried to estimate quantities and conduct tests that matter substantively. This workflow is model-agnostic; it can be applied in a consistent fashion to draw causal or descriptive inference from a wide range of models. We illustrate how to implement this workflow with the marginaleffects package, which supports over 100 different classes of models in R and Python, and present two worked examples. These examples show how the workflow can be applied across designs (e.g., observational study, randomized experiment) to answer different research questions (e.g., associations, causal effects, effect heterogeneity) while facing various challenges (e.g., controlling for confounders in a flexible manner, modelling ordinal outcomes, and interpreting non-linear models). Figure illustrating model predictions. On the X-axis the predictor, annual gross income in Euro. On the Y-axis the outcome, predicted life satisfaction. A solid line marks the curve of predictions on which individual data points are marked as model-implied outcomes at incomes of interest. Comparing two such predictions gives us a comparison. We can also fit a tangent to the line of predictions, which illustrates the slope at any given point of the curve. A figure illustrating various ways to include age as a predictor in a model. On the x-axis age (predictor), on the y-axis the outcome (model-implied importance of friends, including confidence intervals). Illustrated are 1. age as a categorical predictor, resultings in the predictions bouncing around a lot with wide confidence intervals 2. age as a linear predictor, which forces a straight line through the data points that has a very tight confidence band and 3. age splines, which lies somewhere in between as it smoothly follows the data but has more uncertainty than the straight line.
25/8/2025, 11:49:03 AM | 849 258 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Jeffries is going HARD against Mamdani. He isn’t holding anything back. All with quiet “bless your heart” energy.

25/8/2025, 1:16:01 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

It was pitch perfect, actually. He went Uncle Ruckus on Mamdani without going full Uncle Ruckus, which makes the racists uncomfortable. “I tried to talk about NYC and its needs, but he decided to fuck off to Africa to go dance in the jungle or whatever” is what white people heard.

25/8/2025, 1:11:15 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Jeffries speaks fluent racist, that’s for sure. He’s almost a Chapelle sketch.

25/8/2025, 1:08:08 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

The only response to that weasely asshole is to press him on the real question: where’s your endorsement then? Where’s your “vote blue no matter who” now? This “we haven’t withheld it” is bullshit. Where is it then? Did it get lost in the mail? Did your dog eat it? He’s such a POS.

25/8/2025, 12:51:24 PM | 6 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

“Oh, you DID endorse him! I can’t imagine how I missed that!”

25/8/2025, 8:04:37 AM | 8 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Now you’ve seen that the party itself was saying that in bad faith. They don’t believe it; they just say it to make us shut up and accept whatever dogshit candidate they choose to offer us.

25/8/2025, 8:03:42 AM | 26 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

You don’t give any more of a shit for the Hispanic people they’re rounding up than you do for the Palestinians Biden helped exterminate. There tokens TO YOU, because you use them to play shell games with human rights.

24/8/2025, 12:02:38 AM | 6 2 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

We’re simultaneously too insignificant to bother with and single-handedly responsible for Trump’s election.

24/8/2025, 12:00:08 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

I’m talking about you. You’ve demonstrated that you’re willing to sacrifice the civil rights of trans people. You’re who I meant.

23/8/2025, 2:42:32 PM | 45 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent


you’re just happy to throw trans people under the bus because you never cared about them in the first place. You never believed that civil rights were for everyone, and you never cared when someone ELSE had their rights stripped away, as long as it wasn’t you.

23/8/2025, 2:41:40 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Remember all the people who heard us warning about Biden, who told us to hold our noses, “vote blue no matter who,” and then “push him left” after the election? Where were they when the time came to “push him left”? That’s how we know that you’re not sacrificing trans people for any “greater good”

23/8/2025, 2:41:40 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Transphobes are fascists. They just disagree which people to send to the camps.

23/8/2025, 2:37:51 PM | 43 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

Why do the “vote blue no matter who” creeps come out of the woodwork to defend bigots and other pieces of garbage, but never to hound the democrats who won’t endorse Mamdani—who is in fact the blue candidate for mayor of NYC.

23/8/2025, 2:35:37 PM | 7 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social)

Once the tyrant notices you, he will hound you to the depths of Hell. It doesn't matter what you did, and it doesn't matter what you do. The only respite from the tyrant is that most people are beneath his notice.

23/8/2025, 1:25:08 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

The Nuremberg laws, but for Hispanic people.

22/8/2025, 9:37:27 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Grits 'n Gravy (@gritsmcbarkin.bsky.social) reply parent

"Hi! My name is Nigel, I'm 37, I live in Chiswick, and I'm just very, so very, into 'teen stepsister feet'."

22/8/2025, 4:58:00 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view