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Laurent Guy

@laurentguy.bsky.social

Data scientist, market analyst, foreign policy realist, avid history consumer.

created December 15, 2023

2,512 followers 369 following 2,805 posts

view profile on Bluesky

Posts

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Next: Trump’s gonna rename the country to something else.

5/9/2025, 11:12:21 PM | 11 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Seems crazy. And evil. But lots of $$$ for private incarcerators.

5/9/2025, 9:06:07 PM | 106 5 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social)

This looks like a massive clusterfuck www.theguardian.com/us-news/live...

5/9/2025, 7:44:19 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

It seems the disappointing missile accuracy has to be due to one of two factors: inaccuracy in the positioning system (due to GPS jamming) or ineffectiveness in the guidance avionics (resulting from rushed engineering, insufficient testing).

5/9/2025, 5:54:59 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

It seems the disappointing missile accuracy has to be due to one of two factors: inaccuracy in the positioning system (due to GPS jamming) or ineffectiveness in the guidance avionics (resulting from rushed engineering, insufficient testing).

5/9/2025, 5:54:17 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Why don’t all the blue states including Illinois band together into one single alliance?

5/9/2025, 5:19:42 PM | 48 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Elizabeth Cronise McLaughlin (@ecmclaughlin.bsky.social) reposted

This is the most incompetent, unprofessional, embarrassing thing I have ever seen from an administration official in my entire life— worse, dare I say it, than Hegseth’s signal chat fiasco. Posting a notes apology on the official DOJ account? Are you joking?

5/9/2025, 1:46:28 AM | 359 129 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt.bsky.social) reposted

In another nod to Putin, Trump administration officials inform European diplomats that the US will no longer fund programs that train and equip militaries in eastern European countries that would be on the frontline of any conflict with Russia. www.ft.com/content/0157...

5/9/2025, 1:46:31 AM | 493 279 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Do the Democrats WANT to lose?

5/9/2025, 1:42:52 AM | 14 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s always amazing how comfortable Republicans are with lying.

4/9/2025, 9:12:19 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Basically, the 2nd Amendment applies to Republicans, not Democrats.

4/9/2025, 9:10:41 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

He doesn’t have it on paper, but he’s doing it in practice.

4/9/2025, 7:55:48 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Cutting to the chase, the 2nd Amendment applies to Republicans, not Democrats.

4/9/2025, 7:30:44 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

They’re idiots, right?

4/9/2025, 1:56:56 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social)

Just your garden variety sociopath. No wonder Trump’s really bonded with him.

4/9/2025, 1:55:46 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Halcyon + Martian (@halcyonplusmartian.bsky.social) reposted

I sincerely pity any sane Floridians and their children—and the rest of us since Florida is a major travel hub.

4/9/2025, 1:49:08 AM | 59 15 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social)

Ironic is too weak a word here.

4/9/2025, 1:50:24 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social)

CA, IL and NY need to counter this by automatically imposing countervailing treble damages on the TX-based plaintiffs: www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...

4/9/2025, 1:49:00 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social)

This is reason to hope a little: Putin and Xi sound just as dumb as our run-of-the-mill bro billionaires.

4/9/2025, 1:45:24 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Eric Umansky (@ericumansky.bsky.social) reposted

You know that boat the administration blew up? A former law enforcement official told the NYT the boat seemed to be carrying not drugs but *’migrants * www.nytimes.com/2025/09/03/u...

In the former official’s opinion, it was more likely that the vessel was carrying migrants on a human smuggling run. It would be impossible to know for sure, however, given that any evidence of drug smuggling was destroyed in the attack.
4/9/2025, 12:32:32 AM | 5428 2425 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Marisa Kabas (@marisakabas.bsky.social) reposted

bari will inspire a whole new generation of women who strive to be pieces of shit and i think that’s beautiful

4/9/2025, 1:13:09 AM | 985 106 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Profolus (@profolus.com) reposted

KONSYSE: Does raising taxes on the wealthy cause them to leave? Fresh evidence offers a surprising perspective.

4/9/2025, 1:15:02 AM | 9 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Daniel Radosh (@radosh.bsky.social) reposted

Is there a word for killing people in order to send a political message?

4/9/2025, 1:15:19 AM | 30 9 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Fight the urge, brother.

3/9/2025, 1:22:39 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

On current course, he’s realizing this vision.

2/9/2025, 10:54:03 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Looks like just a big Boston Whaler type vessel. Pathetic to resort to an antiship missile for that puny a target.

2/9/2025, 10:52:26 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Jeffries seems to have an unfixable urge to find common ground on which to capitulate to Trump.

2/9/2025, 7:20:14 PM | 17 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Grotesque if true.

2/9/2025, 1:58:38 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

The Israel government, in concert with the American government, SAYS it wants to clear every last Palestinian out of Gaza. Why is it so hard to call this ethnic cleansing?

1/9/2025, 10:10:49 PM | 12 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

The explicit purpose of the bombing and the starving is to get the people of Gaza to leave. It is the enshrined official and proudly stated policy of the Israeli and America governments. Why is it so hard to call this ethnic cleansing?

1/9/2025, 7:36:23 PM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Very sad

1/9/2025, 7:03:05 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

And Europe has to retaliate for Russian acts of asymmetric warfare, like GPS jamming of airliners.

1/9/2025, 1:55:04 PM | 22 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Europe should retaliate 10x.

1/9/2025, 12:55:14 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Israelis at all levels of government and the IDF are saying any Palestinians that stay will be killed. When all members of an ethnic group are expelled from an area, that’s ethnic cleansing.

1/9/2025, 1:24:20 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

What is the forced displacement, under threat of extermination, of an ethnic group from a geography where it’s lived for generations? What’s the word for that? The word that comes after “ethnic”: CL**NS*NG.

1/9/2025, 12:59:15 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

What is the forced displacement, under threat of extermination, of an ethnic group from a geography where it’s lived for generations? What’s the word for that?

1/9/2025, 12:55:01 AM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

And Big Tech is happy to comply with government censorship requests.

1/9/2025, 12:52:45 AM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

But if most experts back a particular point of view, isn’t it no longer cherry picking but just the consensus expert view?

31/8/2025, 10:41:01 PM | 9 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Without tariffs, the sun would cease to shine, and all life in our galaxy would end.

31/8/2025, 10:38:04 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

It matters for justice if we call it a tragic accident of war or deliberate ethnic cleansing.

31/8/2025, 10:24:04 PM | 7 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Trump will do what you’d expect Putin to want him to do: sell out Taiwan, and also leave NATO.

31/8/2025, 10:19:50 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s obvious ethnic cleansing. Why not accept that?

31/8/2025, 10:12:20 PM | 6 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Not pissing away. Deliberately helping Putin by pushing India back into Russia’s arms.

31/8/2025, 10:05:54 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Trump is doing what Putin wants.

31/8/2025, 9:57:38 PM | 16 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Nobody in Gaza, or anywhere else, believes they’re being sent anywhere nice, brother. If they leave, it’s to escape death.

31/8/2025, 7:08:06 PM | 6 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Also, the definition of ethnic cleansing does not require the intended death of the people being displaced. That would be straightforward genocide. Simply means that a particular ethnic group is being expelled from a long-standing area of habitation.

31/8/2025, 7:06:46 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

In Gaza, it’s “we will kill every last one of you who doesn’t leave, and give a small check to those who do”. It’s ethnic cleansing all right.

31/8/2025, 6:59:54 PM | 8 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

“We will kill every single last person who doesn’t leave” sounds genocide-ish, though.

31/8/2025, 6:57:30 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Ethnic cleansing. The check is for PR purposes.

31/8/2025, 6:42:32 PM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social)

Look for the Supreme Court to validate a new law-making process: the president issues an executive order, then the Supreme Court says effectively it has the power of law. This applies to Republican presidents only obviously.

31/8/2025, 3:49:08 PM | 6 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture jamelle (@jamellebouie.net) reposted

not just that he has no constitutional authority, there isn't even any particular legal or institutional mechanism by which the president can make anyone treat this as anything other than a weird advisory opinion.

31/8/2025, 1:12:17 PM | 14182 2998 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Look for the Supreme Court to validate a new law-making process: the president issues an executive order, then the Supreme Court says effectively it has the power of law. This applies to Republican presidents only obviously.

31/8/2025, 3:48:22 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

The law doesn’t matter. What matters is that the security apparatus of America will back Trump.

31/8/2025, 1:19:02 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

That’s been Trump’s objective: he works to help Putin.

31/8/2025, 12:54:04 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture We're Skroob (@pseudonymble.bsky.social) reposted

"The Trump administration has provided no evidence for its allegations of “mortgage fraud” against Lisa Cook and an individual can have multiple 'principal residences', as President Trump himself has."

30/8/2025, 6:19:24 PM | 61 19 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

And when have we heard MAGA types express gratitude towards America? All we hear from them is anger and attacks.

30/8/2025, 4:07:02 PM | 6 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Jeffrey Dahmer pushed the boundaries of cuisine.

30/8/2025, 4:05:36 PM | 30 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Jeffrey Dahmer pushed the boundaries of hospitality.

30/8/2025, 4:04:25 PM | 6 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Trump did this because he’s trying to boost Russia’s influence: he is deliberately pushing India back into Russia’s arms.

30/8/2025, 1:25:48 PM | 50 7 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

You have to consider that Trump drove India into Russia’s arms because he fundamentally wants to help Russia.

30/8/2025, 12:45:36 PM | 5 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Trousers?

29/8/2025, 3:02:39 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Why not shoot them down?

29/8/2025, 2:10:19 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Promoting a hypothetical “rebuilding of the traditional Republican Party” is just blowing smoke to obscure the complete and unchanging fanaticism of the real Republican Party we have in America.

28/8/2025, 12:45:33 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Clay Ranck (@clayranck.bsky.social) reposted

wtf is this nonsense? He thinks he can understand kid’s “mitochondrial challenges” just by looking at them? This is an insane person.

Acyn @Acyn X.com RFK JR: I'm looking at kids as I walk through the airports today...and I see these kids that are just overburdened with mitochondrial challenges, inflammation-you can tell from their faces, movements, and lack of social connection TEXAS
27/8/2025, 10:56:45 PM | 20755 4865 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Liz (or Lizzie) Kim 김혜성 💫 (@liz.sheshed.rocks) reposted

The sit in by veterans in Washington D.C. protesting Trump’s military take over is growing!! Jay Carrey, the army veteran who was arrested for burning the flag has been released and is there! These veterans will continue their sit in until the National Guard leaves DC!! 💪

27/8/2025, 12:12:31 AM | 1255 558 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Corey Frayer (@csfrayer.bsky.social) reposted

Here's what the third day of elementary school looked like in Mount Pleasant, Washington DC.

27/8/2025, 8:22:22 PM | 5367 2634 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Radley Balko (@radleybalko.bsky.social) reposted

We’re being governed by monsters. Just absolute monsters.

27/8/2025, 11:57:37 PM | 2459 798 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Denmark needs to screen all Americans before letting them enter Greenland.

27/8/2025, 7:56:42 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Grotesque self-abatement.

26/8/2025, 5:54:44 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s like Trump wants to push India into the arms of Russia and China. This is helping Putin.

26/8/2025, 4:02:31 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

But, incidentally, this is another example of a Republican accusation which is really a confession.

26/8/2025, 2:16:20 PM | 52 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

I wouldn’t put it past the Trumpy DOJ to try for a change in venue, to Alabama.

26/8/2025, 2:12:57 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

No

26/8/2025, 12:48:17 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

And bleeding helps you fight bullet wounds?

26/8/2025, 12:28:05 PM | 7 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

He calls her the crook? He makes a total mockery of fact-based governance.

26/8/2025, 12:27:28 PM | 35 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Garland, Schumer, Jeffries, …. So many quasi-Quislings.

26/8/2025, 1:14:35 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

We are well past the “concerning” stage, Max.

25/8/2025, 7:14:14 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Jefferies and Schumer are quasi-quislings at this point.

25/8/2025, 6:45:52 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Our very own home growth, Special Action Units! There was a German word for those.

25/8/2025, 4:54:14 PM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

For the first time they can go outside and see the sun! Hallelujah!

25/8/2025, 3:32:08 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Maybe he means the confederate flag? Or the Russian flag?

25/8/2025, 3:30:56 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Unless Trump means the confederate flag?

25/8/2025, 3:30:14 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Also, the President does not make laws?

25/8/2025, 3:29:48 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Maybe it applies to the confederate flag?

25/8/2025, 3:21:48 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Does that apply as well to burning the confederate flag?

25/8/2025, 3:15:21 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Dean Baker (@deanbaker13.bsky.social) reposted

awful story, but getting to be standard practice in Donald Trump's America theintercept.com/2025/08/22/g...

25/8/2025, 12:01:30 AM | 43 13 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Hideki Tojo was hung.

24/8/2025, 5:01:19 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Washington Post or New York Post?

24/8/2025, 5:00:41 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Ha ha

24/8/2025, 3:28:46 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Some targets for sure, but not realtime moving ones.

24/8/2025, 2:46:06 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Yeah, that’s exactly what we did in World War II: we negotiated Hitler into blowing his brains out, and Toto into hanging from a short rope.

24/8/2025, 2:44:26 PM | 15 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Yeah, we negotiated Hitler into killing himself, and Tojo to hang from a rope.

24/8/2025, 2:37:29 PM | 10 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

You have to hand it to Trump: he’s been consistently successful in helping Russia maintain and spread its influence, whether in Ukraine, India or China.

24/8/2025, 1:27:49 PM | 8 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Another thing: Ukraine depends on US targeting help. What’s to stop pro-Putin Trump from threatening to stop intelligence-sharing with Ukraine if Ukraine uses the Flamingo deep into Russia? That’s what the US has done with ATACMs. And Europe cannot provide this kind of targeting help to Ukraine.

24/8/2025, 12:57:57 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

The situation is not sliding of its own independent volition.

23/8/2025, 11:01:11 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Remarkable precocity and wisdom?

23/8/2025, 5:15:15 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

It just seems self-defeating, that’s all. Sure, the MAGA fanatics will view it as a sign of strength. But for many in the middle, it will be a turn off.

23/8/2025, 4:25:21 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Sickening

23/8/2025, 3:28:13 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

Why would ICE arrest an American citizen?

23/8/2025, 3:25:24 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Laurent Guy (@laurentguy.bsky.social) reply parent

If Ukraine can produce 200 a month, why can’t France, Germany, and the UK combined produce another thousand per month?

23/8/2025, 1:30:06 PM | 13 0 | View on Bluesky | view