Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
The first rule of gun safety is make sure you don't know what you're shooting at or what's behind it
Liberal, Montanan. Subscribe to Paine-Wollstonecraft-Douglass-George thought, Bolivar-Juarez-Nkomo-Zelenskyy praxis
14,744 followers 7,814 following 36,337 posts
view profile on Bluesky Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
The first rule of gun safety is make sure you don't know what you're shooting at or what's behind it
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
I really like that I can post year old @liberalcurrents.com articles on Bluesky and be confident that within an hour they'll get more engagement than hot of the presses articles posted by real journalists on in the Bad Place
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
It is more important than the Pope to conservative Catholics, more important than free trade is to conservative capitalists, and more important than individual liberty is to conservative libertarians. Hierarchy is the master key to all of it
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
The real answer is that you *never* open with what you're going to defund. You talk about what you'll fund instead, and you slip the defunding into the bill to do it. Think about ICE and Medicaid - Trump didn't see 'we're defunding Medicaid' he said 'we're funding ICE'!
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
It may well be unsustainable if weather parties start to shift
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
It is more important than the Pope to conservative Catholics, more important than free trade is to conservative capitalists, and more important than individual liberty is to conservative libertarians. Hierarchy is the master key to all of it
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Almaty is still the biggest but it's too far towards the edge I think so they took their natural gas money and moved the capital to the middle
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
It is the most precious value to conservatives
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
Ooh we have one for this
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Capital of Kazakhstan (I was looking up Eurasian steppe cities to compare to high plains ones)
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
Fun geography fact of the day (Astana is a little lower but comparable)
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
I’m all for retirements at his age but I hope some more conservative Dems follow his example. Nadler was more solid than most
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Doubt it - he was the first national Dem to endorse Mamdani
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Some groups are innately dangerous to life and liberty
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
lol it’s true they understood latitude pretty well and the Gulf and Jet streams hardly at all so…
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
I will outsource my answer to the venerable Frederick Douglass
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah I think that’s makes a lot of sense
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Check and check
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
I think if you’re trying to slow China down you’re wasting your time. If you don’t wanna get outpaced, speed up! #1 priority is to start poaching Chinese phDs
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Bismarck and Astana are about the same elevation (wanna guess which is further north? I probably would have guessed wrong)
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Surely the country actively at war with us is the enemy that needs our attention!
Prestidigitator John 🇵🇸🇺🇦🇨🇦 (@tomscud.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
fortunately Emanuel’s constituency is like ten people. Unfortunately those ten people are all media executives.
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
It seems like Eastern Montana is more like a steppe (3000 some feet) while eg Iowa is more like a typical Plain (like the N European Plain)
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
Is there a climate/topography difference between the American High Plains and the Eurasian Steppe or is the terminology of plain/steppe just customary?
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
The answer to Chins growing (relatively non-belligerently I would add) is to invest in the U.S.; it’s not the acute threat Russia is
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes. Russians are Civilized Whites and many Americans are waiting for them to come around to our side in a race war against the Chinese and Muslims
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Can’t burn bridges with the Great White Hope
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Sure but Iran is a tiny threat by comparison and China a very uncertain one
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Sure China is our bigger *rival* in the long term but day to day we have a lot to offer eachother and their rejection of the status quo world order is not half as dramatic as Russia’s
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
(It’s because Russians are white Christians btw)
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
That dragon should be a bear. Why is it so impossible to say clearly “Russia is our most acute enemy”. Why is it always China, or, even more ludicrously, Iran?
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
(I initially thought the pic was from Minority Report which is in fact what you needed - see the future of contagion evidence!)
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Even China, which is pretty good at central planning, couldn’t do it forever
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah in three hours you spend commuting you could easily cover seven hours of school instruction
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah a lot of the complaints about ‘essential businesses’ come down to ‘central planning economies is hard’
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
I would 100% homeschool rather than this
Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) reposted
OTD in 1939 Nazi Germany staged the Gleiwitz incident. After accusing Poland of ethnic cleansing against his countrymen, Hitler staged a false flag to justify invasion & genocide. Imagine such bullshit being tolerated today....
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Right the situation was just too fast moving
Doctor Memory (@blank.org) reposted reply parent
This was also a case of complete disconnect between elite discourse and boots-on-the-ground realities. _I_ understand that the AMA isn't directly controlling my local education and parks departments, but I'm a _politics nerd_. "Going to protests is fine, but no school sorry" landed with a thud.
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Sure conservatives could weaponize anything but I think this made a lot of normal people incredulous about the whole thing; they felt like they had followed a bunch of mostly meaningless rules for months
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Same with going from “mask aren’t worth buying” to “you must wear masks”. The evidence was simply very limited and so the best hypotheses were changing faster than people were used to
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
The one thing here that really hurt us was the loosening up of outdoor gatherings around the George Floyd protests. The thing is our understanding of outdoor safety was improving by that point, but coming so soon after the closure of playgrounds etc gave even normal people some whiplash
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
I’ve wishcast a lot worse
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Only one group deserves gunfire just for walking onto private residential property and it’s not 11 year olds
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Here Curt I’ve got two genomes for you - both show a mix of Eastern European and South Asian markers. If I don’t tell you which one is from Newark and which is Bratislava can you guess who does better on IQ tests?
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
Even if he got it right, the Roma people stand as a pretty big barrier to his race science, since you’d struggle to find ways they differ genetically or phenotypically from other groups that don’t suffer that level of marginalization-induced ‘low performance’
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
That’s where the fascism comes in I suppose - the civilization gains expression only through the state
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Dugin supports the war, leading me to conclude he doesn’t believe his own bullshit
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
If you take the Duginist view that Ukrainians and Russians constitute one East Slavic or Eurasian civilization, this war is the the biggest tragedy of the 21st century because its decimating the future of both
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reposted
At some point we've got to decide if lethality means 'psychopath who can do a lot of push ups' or if lethality actually means "the capacity to cause death or serious harm or damage [to enemy soldiers]"
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe they had some terrible water polo performance and that to them was like losing Iraq
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Orban is just feeding off Hungary being bad at soccer
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
See also transphobia: the right will insist trans acceptance was foisted on us be the ‘elites’ (a Republican former Olympian and the writers of a Netflix show) and ignore the roles of the Musks, Rowlings, and Ivanshvili’s in orchestrating the backlash
Church of Civic Duty (@alexflexnelson.bsky.social) reposted
“You’re a special little both with superior genetics the pre-destined you for greatness to rule a world of NPCs” Does seem to be a large part of what’s been driving the SV tech exec and vc political shift
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes, the social media incentive pushes a good analysis (Newsom is a bad and inauthentic candidate) into the extreme (I will never vote for him vs JD Vance)
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
What happened in both cases was that the primary selected the candidate who appealed most to Black primary voters. I don’t think Newsom is that guy but the Never-Newsoms better find out who is
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
“The worlds richest man” bit is important here. Nativism is not a pure populist upwelling of völkisch spirit, it’s directed from above by some of the richest people in the world
Uckema - New Mount Laurels Strongest Solider (@uckema.com) reposted reply parent
I need the American figures of history style painting with George Wallace handing a batoon to Andrew Cuomo
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
He believed in the electorate and once that included Black people he believed in them
Uckema - New Mount Laurels Strongest Solider (@uckema.com) reposted reply parent
Uh that litterally happened lol and he appointed a lot of black judges. You can’t shitpost because history is full of them
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
George Wallace is a great example of a politician believing in absolutely nothing but the next gig
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Newsom is a bad candidate who should not be the nominee, but there’s coalition politics best practices and one of them is acting winnable
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Normal demographics who insist they will never vote for you aren’t worth pursuing, is the thing. Never-Newsom voters are being treated quite normally
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Also Taiwan will sure as hell be striking the mainland and in such a conflict differentiating our strikes from theirs will not be easy
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Sometime terrible people make great art but more often they make extremely mediocre art
Fourth Crown War FPV Drone Operator 🇺🇦🇱🇹🇵🇸 (@dov.bsky.social) reposted
Developing a theory that Labour literally does not understand the implications of their own migration policy and think it's essentially just a little computer game where the object is to beat Reform, but nothing about their decisions actually affects people's lives.
cesarferraro.bsky.social (@cesarferraro.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
If this war were about Crimea and Donbas, this war would never have happened, since, as you say, Putin already controlled Crimea and he controlled half of Donbass. Putin did not start the biggest war in Europe since 1945 because of some coal mines in Western Donbas.
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
If you could ensure they wouldn’t be used on civilian aircraft I think distributing anti air missiles in Gaza would be good and right
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
59. JRPG with all bug characters bsky.app/profile/db-u...
Ksenisto🇺🇦 (@ksenisto.bsky.social) reposted
Written 3 months ago... nothing has changed since that time except that more Ukrainians have died #ukrainianview
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
You can do the ‘son of Mario grandson of Andrea’ bit or you can be Everyman from Queens but I don’t think you can credibly do both
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
It’s like if Godzilla picked you off the street and your first instinct was to square up
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
Every animal will try to fight if you catch it I suppose, but few seem so confident that they can win regardless of the odds as a praying mantis
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Orban simply hasn’t delivered economically and at some point culture war issues can’t make up for that
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
I can believe they would have that in mind but Venezuela is 10x the size of Panama
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
I just filled out my MT property tax refund which is based on this and I had to affirm my primary residence but I think the only penalty for lying was you had to pay the rebate back +12% interest
Andre Kenji de Sousa (@andkenbrbr.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
Trump, the antiwar President(The Cartel de los Soles is the only known terrorist organization that never claimed or was attributed a single terrorist attack).
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Establishing all these new counties is also how we got absurdities like Choteau and Deer Lodge not being in Choteau and Deer Lodge counties
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
This was a perfectly sufficient number of counties
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Petroleum, Wheatland and Wibaux make no sense at all
chbarts (@chbarts.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
I agree: Petroleum County has 496 people. Disestablish it and consolidate it with Fergus County again.
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
I read a really interesting book about the Republic of Letters and like, in the background of the whole narrative was you knowledge that the French Revolution was going to break out and be fueled by almost the complete opposite kind of information environment
Adam Gurri (@adamgurri.liberalcurrents.com) reposted
OK at the risk of making too much of this: one thing I like to say is that the scientific revolution and the republic of letters was a small island (large relative to history mind you) in a larger ocean that was, as an information environment, absolute shit
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Our new non-woke navy upon seeing naval aviation
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
My dad gets legitimately cranky about this "how much money are we wasting on sheriffs and county boards for counties with like 2000 people!?"
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
So we could toss some helicopters at least? Or can those hand F-35s?
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
No carriers? what are we going to drop into the ocean as our sacrifice to Poseidon if not F/A-18s?
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
“What if the Romanovs made Rasputin everyone’s doctor?”
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
The use of these logistics UGVs has the potential to save thousands of lives and change the dynamics of supplying the front line dramatically I think
Ihar Filipau (@ifilipau.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
TL;DR: Lithuania knows this. The actual worst-case scenario isn't herds of Shaheds (that's 2nd worst), but (since LT is relatively small) it's a quick dumb rush to occupy LT within few days. And after that russia might say "deed is done. it's only LT. do you really want WW3 over LT?".
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
Politicians praying is almost always an excuse for inaction - see Utah’s governor calling on the state to fast and pray for rain but refusing to limit alfalfa irrigation
SarcasmoDeTACO (@sarcasmodemiami.bsky.social) reposted reply parent
Even without factoring in the importance of holding the majority, the difference between a ‘centrist’ Democrat and a ‘centrist’ Republican is absolutely massive.
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Or at least tried to hold back Austria a little
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Isn’t he like Australian or something
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Mearsheimer is somewhat right about this one: the problem wasn’t the alliance systems, it’s that their extent and level of reciprocity were unclear to outside parties
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social)
This is partly due to our poor teaching of the Great War tbh
Sheryl Weikal, still wishing ill on JK Rowling (@leftistlawyer.com) reposted
If you're arrested in Illinois protesting the planned ICE HQ in North Chicago, I can represent you pro bono. Email me at sheryl@weikallaw.com. As always, I will take as many cases as I can.
Matthew Downhour (@matthewdownhour.bsky.social) reply parent
Indeed every non-Russia state should fear the U.S. exiting NATO, since it probably holds back our belligerence more than it encourages it