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Matt Waters

@mwwaters.bsky.social

created October 27, 2023

272 followers 280 following 1,152 posts

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Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

That link talks about a general decline in response and doesn’t address whether response rates suddenly shifted with one group in particular. It’s tough to take the immigrant numbers at face value since the overall job numbers wouldn’t be flat to increasing.

1/9/2025, 3:03:49 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture You Might Know Jack (@lessweirdjack.bsky.social) reposted

FSU getting banned by Twitter because they done killed DeBoer

30/8/2025, 11:27:28 PM | 69 13 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

SSNs being a tool at all kind of brought about the myth of “identity theft.” Not that I will broadcast my SSN, but in the end, if somebody else took out credit in my name using the SSN, why does that involve me? That was a thing done between two entities I had no relationship or contract with.

31/8/2025, 12:03:30 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Thinking of JD Vance getting news of Trump’s health like Selina Meyer hearing the President was planning on resigning.

28/8/2025, 11:12:40 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Of course, in criminal justice, the courts have overwhelmingly made elections the one place to unquestionably change things. 1983, FTCA and Bivens are highly limited, while Chevron got struck down.

28/8/2025, 12:00:26 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The US seemingly has far more legal review of permitting and government spending of various types than other developed countries. In addition to civil service protections, other countries seem to lean more towards elections as the main thing propelling, say, decent transit construction.

27/8/2025, 11:58:03 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Assuming Powell and others stay on, Trump won’t have a majority of the board during his term (barring Cook firing being successful). The FOMC itself is even weirder. It always includes NY Fed President and rotates other seats. But IOR and a lot of other policy is set by board only.

26/8/2025, 5:42:44 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I was hoping the $0.001 par value would become interesting.

22/8/2025, 11:02:29 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Trump tried to project that he didn’t leave peacefully on 1/20/21, but in the end he did. A true commitment to not leaving would have been sitting in the Oval Office at noon until security arrested him. The question is how far he’ll go and whether he’ll “get away with it.” (He didn’t in 21)

22/8/2025, 10:45:11 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Secretaries of States and other election officials create the ballots. Trump is one mortal human being and, while it’s possible that he could directly order people to commit unquestionable state crimes like B&E and kidnapping, doesn’t mean people with families and lives will follow it.

22/8/2025, 10:29:54 PM | 1 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

28 USC 566(c) may include this under “all necessary assistance,” but that clause seems to be inferior by its preface to the posse comitatus act.

21/8/2025, 5:36:45 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I think the author or Bessent is just being loose with bills vs notes vs bonds. They meant bills when they said bonds. Bills have a rate floor of the RRP rate up until the SOMA account runs out of repo-able securities.

20/8/2025, 1:27:24 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

A 1 month difference has it equal to a number of other terms. If you have a spike in a month and make that the base for the geometric average, it will look different. And while it may, at best, explain the feelings of voters, it’s wrong to say those feelings were correct.

20/8/2025, 1:09:01 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Honestly thought it was some UFC/wrestling thing in the oval.

20/8/2025, 12:18:25 AM | 10 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

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17/8/2025, 4:42:07 AM | 18 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

@edsbs.bsky.social

15/8/2025, 4:35:28 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I hope she and the worst person you know found true love.

14/8/2025, 4:41:24 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

As we speak, despite the SC sending it back down to disallow injunctions, class-wide relief is granted by a lower court against the birthright EO. The habeas cases I mentioned (as well as AEA cases outside of NDTX) were done by lower courts. Things aren’t good, but there’s still an effect.

14/8/2025, 4:37:06 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Scott Imberman (@imbernomics.bsky.social) reposted

People have to realize how abnormal this is. It’s extremely rare to see an economist surrounded by other people looking like he’s having a good time.

14/8/2025, 3:40:00 PM | 79 19 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Another AEA flight was stayed by the SC in the middle of the night and, well, it didn’t happen. Habeas was granted to noteworthy ICE detainees and they were released. There’s all this ambiguity being abused, but it still matters for what courts say outright in detention or asset seizure.

14/8/2025, 3:12:52 PM | 7 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

However much true it is, the idea that what’s ultimately a racism dial has to be turned just enough by Democrats in order to win feels fundamentally bad.

14/8/2025, 1:08:08 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Kennedy wasn’t an arch-conservative on social issues to begin with. He voted for the ruling in Casey. Some cases may fundamentally threaten his Congress treats the court, but prospectively saying state law applies to gay marriage is probably not viewed in that way.

12/8/2025, 9:55:40 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

FAST Act has a $320 million liability limit in some cases, not Brightline, which requires insurance up that amount and somehow gets underwriting. I am curious how that underwriting works myself.

12/8/2025, 9:39:18 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I think a part of it is the debt has perfected security against past or future tort claimants, though this is junior to other debt. Equity is a different story, but it appears that the risk is insurable somehow, up to nine figure from overseas insurers.

12/8/2025, 9:36:16 PM | 10 2 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Group Policy Eats Man. Women Inherit The Earth.

12/8/2025, 3:13:38 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

What were his previous comments on the BLS? I saw somewhere he was a “BLS critic.” The comments are un-googleable though because all the results are now about his appointment.

11/8/2025, 11:34:35 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Oh yeah, definitely. When you boil down a lot of the ultimate roots, it’s kinda based some on showing ID in physical presence, maybe call backs to known numbers and maybe using US mail. All three use some form of physical location and retroactive criminal enforcement.

11/8/2025, 9:58:47 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I think it depends on whether 4 will grant cert. Push comes to shove, I’ve got a tough time seeing two conservatives doing a published 5-4 decision keeping it for future marriages, with based only on stare decisis.

11/8/2025, 8:27:48 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Coming from a computer background with its encryption and authentication, it’s odd how much of the law is based on pinkie swears (deeds, liens, etc.).

11/8/2025, 8:03:47 PM | 22 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Congratulations to the new UF head coach.

10/8/2025, 6:22:16 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

He took 10-15 paragraphs of this when he could have said “white.”

10/8/2025, 5:25:43 PM | 4 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I’m okay with a reasoned argument for not having any supermajority reqs for law. Internationally, some countries and some don’t. I do think it’s odd to see so many anti-judicial review arguments after bad rulings, when those rulings are *withholding* review.

10/8/2025, 2:29:26 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Maybe there’s some law of the jungle where people rise up against Congressional laws overriding natural rights. Or a majoritarian system like UK would be better even with that risk, with only law of the jungle constraints. I don’t see the constraints being better with law of the jungle though.

10/8/2025, 2:17:33 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

There’s Federalist Paper 78 plus state courts did review under state constitutions before Marbury. It seems like you have an odd stance with this and BOR limiting rights, but also having no legal avenue to restrict Congressional actions. Without review, Congress can cancel elections legally.

10/8/2025, 2:15:08 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The anti-BOR arguments were also wrong. Even within the boundaries of Congress’ original powers, Congress could have done trials without due process, star chambers, cruel and unusual punishment, etc. Maybe 9th and 10th are superfluous, but not 1-8.

10/8/2025, 2:02:00 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Habeas Corpus goes back much further and is ultimately statutory judicial review. The judge overrides the executive’s determination of somebody’s imprisonment based on how the judge reads the law. Constitutional judicial review is reading the constitution as “supreme law of the land.”

10/8/2025, 1:58:07 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The serving for life part is bad. The no judicial review ideas though are bonkers. Even the UK, with no constraints on parliament’s law, has judges do statutory review of executive actions. But no statutory review means exec only limited by morals or public revolt.

10/8/2025, 1:45:14 AM | 8 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I first looked to see if the Gregorian Calendar started at zero, but it started in 1582 not 1434.

8/8/2025, 10:31:11 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I’m not pro-AI at all, but I wonder about the philosophical question: Are my neurons, right now, doing autocomplete? It’s with trillions more “tokens” though at far less energy than AI models.

8/8/2025, 3:20:49 AM | 11 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s hard not to feel a thermostatic reaction when many of its proponents are cheering the idea of all the new theoretical productivity going to capital. If AI is more productive, we want the ideas to be diffuse to not get outsize return on capital, w/ ultimately higher living standards for most.

8/8/2025, 3:13:39 AM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The explanations are quite long, with cases linked and referenced in a central table of cases. If I was personally creating the web page once, I would just have static html. But there’s a publishing backend for the CRS lawyers who write the explanations. The constitution itself was folded into that

7/8/2025, 2:57:38 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

“pagination” functions available. If you’re creating a dynamic page which displays from a table with 100,000 entries, the templating language may not take all 100,000 by default. It may take a 100 and then there is a function to change the results to next 100.

6/8/2025, 9:19:22 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The Explained part missing the same clauses, including latter clauses of Section 8, is what told me it WAS a coding error. As a programmer, I would guess the number of clauses that WERE shown was a round number. I’d guess the page-creating program took only 100 or so items by default, with…

6/8/2025, 9:17:27 PM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The original post had the New Deal and FHA in mind, which did have racial discrimination at the time. But nothing being done since the 50s isn’t true. Medicaid doesn’t discriminate on age either. I left out HUD, EITC, and other half-loaf measures, but they also exist.

6/8/2025, 9:10:52 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I need to pull up the adults per housing unit, but that is higher since 2000. Real support per student for public college was also higher. Near or over 100% of public tuition increase has been due to lower real support per student. There’s some real qualms even if garment rending is bad.

6/8/2025, 5:30:42 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Medicare and Medicaid, for one.

6/8/2025, 5:23:19 PM | 6 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Homelessness has gone up but is flat compared to 2007 and lower as a percentage of population compared to 2007. It’s real, but part of the solution is technocratic to get down the cost of building either market rate or government housing. That doesn’t fit in with the revolutionary ideas.

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6/8/2025, 5:22:44 PM | 9 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Then there was the 1960s programs, the ACA (as written, a 100% Medicaid expansion), the expanded ACA subsidies Trump is allowing to expire, even Part D.

6/8/2025, 5:16:59 PM | 8 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The web page could have been just a collection of static pages, but the explanations part has cross references based on cases which change. The changes could be on for the publishing end to make citations and such easier.

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6/8/2025, 4:17:38 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Part of Section 8 was also missing, starting with allowing Congress to create a Navy I think. Each clause is related to an explanation on the page. So something like leaving in “TOP 50” in a SQL query would have cut it off.

6/8/2025, 4:08:50 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Excel or Sheets RAND function with hitting F5 to re-randomize should work.

6/8/2025, 3:25:56 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The one time we really “defeated” inflation was 08-09. In practice, wages don’t go down in nominal terms and more people go out of work when nominal spending on things goes down. Demand going up at a regular rate, increasing both wages and prices, is much better than a 2008-09 demand decrease.

5/8/2025, 5:06:52 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Elizabeth Warren has said debarking can go up to some people with a criminal record not getting a bank account because of that record, and no other reason. www.banking.senate.gov/newsroom/min...

5/8/2025, 12:37:18 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

In extreme though, it’s pretty unclear where deputizing banks as law enforcement ends exactly. Operation Choke Point may have had crimes done by payday lenders and firearm dealers, but those can also be legal activities and beneficial ownership wasn’t hidden if prosecution was done.

5/8/2025, 12:34:28 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Juking CPI downward will also reduce Social Security payments compared to good data, as well as generally increase taxes through bracket cutoffs going up less.

4/8/2025, 7:07:48 PM | 7 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I like the quiet title action in GA called “Quia Timet Against All the World.” law.justia.com/codes/georgi...

1/8/2025, 9:20:27 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I think Obergefell will be overturned with some equitable reasons for not making it retroactive. I can only see the SC keeping it if 4 votes do not want to overturn it and then it’s quietly kept with denial of cert. If 4 exist to overturn, I don’t think the will exists for 5-4 decision keeping it.

31/7/2025, 7:20:00 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

In some sort of theoretical normal post-Jan-2029 world, the Trump Foundation should ideally see some huge IRS issues.

31/7/2025, 7:14:57 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I’m very, very confident even this court won’t deny an increase in SC size by ruling. The hypothetical is like other hypotheticals allowed by space and time. But both passing court packing and 5-6 of current justices writing no is extremely unlikely compared to, say, Trump disobeying court orders.

30/7/2025, 7:30:15 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Yeah, but that would be up to the newly signed in Senators and Representatives, with their blocks, to agree and not lie beforehand. It’s all theoretical. I think either a 200 judge court or Pack the Union would require more public animosity than currently exists.

30/7/2025, 6:04:43 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The idea in a student paper wasn’t to keep it as a 250 state regime but to quickly pass an amendment rewriting the US constitution as proportionate, amendable, etc. IIRC, I don’t think the paper addressed the DC block-states saying “ha ha, we rule now suckers.”

30/7/2025, 5:59:41 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I mean, maybe it’s fine in theory to have an exponentially compounding Supreme Court size. But also in theory, we could just rewrite the whole damn thing with 200+ DC states.

30/7/2025, 5:51:12 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Then the response from Democrats to a 23 person Supreme Court would be around a 40 person Supreme Court. The SC granted class-wide emergency habeas in the middle of the night where 5th circuit did not. Sticking one’s neck out for the middle 3 is rough, but there is a difference.

30/7/2025, 5:46:25 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I’ve supported court packing when I’ve been angry at the SC, but I don’t see the great way around 10+ Judge Hos and Boves then being added by GOP. Or if everything constitutional is on the table in next trifecta, do the 200+ DC state plan to rewrite the creaky constitution.

30/7/2025, 4:00:54 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Why would this be any different? Judges wouldn’t be around long before their clock runs out. They filled all the executive branch positions they wanted. Maybe only the crazy US Attorneys would benefit from recess appointments, if Acting shenanigans are not blessed.

30/7/2025, 3:27:43 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

If nothing else, I don’t get how the “all pain” economic model doesn’t backfire electorally. Not just ACA subsidies, but also Part D premiums will go up substantially.

30/7/2025, 2:56:25 AM | 9 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Article III is, in particular, badly worded. Judges simultaneously given too much (lifetime appt) while in theory too little (jurisdiction stripping, court packing, maybe removing courts like midnight judges). In some sane politics, some amendment would be negotiated.

30/7/2025, 2:39:44 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

A majority of the House for impeachment. A GOP majority in the Senate can scuttle a trial, but a Democratic majority will get the contempt in the open with a trial.

30/7/2025, 2:13:41 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The fact that Prop 13 basis is inherited (up to a discount of “only” $1 million IIRC) is insane. Landed Gentry. This is on top of no tax on the gains in the house if inherited and estate less than $15 mil/$30 mil.

29/7/2025, 10:29:06 PM | 10 2 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Is lack of access to counsel new?

29/7/2025, 4:24:43 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I have had a thought that MAHA is similar to Dave Ramsey for finances and how the harshness justifies regressive financial policies. The personal responsibility angle is slightly different from a pure Nazi culling. That gives it more staying power.

26/7/2025, 6:51:49 AM | 10 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

There are reasons that we won’t have the doomer scenario of not making it to Nov 2028/Jan 2029 with a relatively regular election. But this story and the Vermont school admin make me question it.

26/7/2025, 5:06:36 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

My belief is the files were edited around BOP’s screw ups after the suicide. A premeditated murder conspiracy involving high turnover BOP guards, based on things and contacts outside the jail…well, I don’t believe that.

26/7/2025, 3:54:44 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Oh yeah, the terms quoted in the opinion with “100%” make it impossible to “win,” at least if taken as a layperson. Nothing is literally 100% certain.

24/7/2025, 11:35:58 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s like if the contract said “prove car is red” and the arbitrators said “all red cars are Mustangs.” I don’t know, there were other cases cited where arbitrators acted outside of the contract. I don’t know how much “arguable” means any arbitration decision whatsoever.

24/7/2025, 10:55:18 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

From a software engineer’s perspective, the arbitration decision is in fact utterly mystifying. Lindell is a bad person, but I can think of large amounts of data related to an election that are not Internet packets.

24/7/2025, 10:52:19 PM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

24/7/2025, 9:46:55 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I’ve got a different response: the general ideas of fraud, such as phishing or wire transfer fraud, wrongly put the onus on the less powerful (with some caveats). Non-KYC crypto can be made illegal. Wire/ACH/Zelle can confirm payee, as UK has done. Non-phishable logins are available.

22/7/2025, 11:48:44 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Do I didn’t know or just forgot Bill Barr said the SDNY prosecutor, appointed by judges, “stepped down” and then Berman said “no I didn’t.” Barr accused Berman of creating a “public spectacle” and when Berman said he resigned (because Barr appointed his deputy), Barr still falsely said he was fired.

22/7/2025, 10:17:05 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

If any homes or businesses are inherited, up to $15M/$30M of gains are totally tax-free.

22/7/2025, 7:59:34 PM | 4 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Also BBB extended maybe the second worst provision of the tax code, 199A. You pay lower tax rates as long as you’re a rentier and don’t work for the income. The worst (besides gaming of gift valuations) is the sky-high estate/gift exclusion.

22/7/2025, 7:58:40 PM | 5 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Erm, meant that to be in reply to the “telephone system” post. I’m also thinking about the prosecution declinations on Purdue and subprime MBS prospectuses. It’s almost odd now how post-Enron prosecutions happened. I guess losses becoming widespread enough actually has things happen.

22/7/2025, 7:53:41 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

On these, the big thing is non-KYCed digital bearer instruments. Obviously crypto/stable coins but also gift cards with digital codes.

22/7/2025, 7:49:06 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

The sheer size of the wires in the SARs according to Wyden changed my mind. I kind of think Glonzo exists in some form now.

17/7/2025, 10:24:04 PM | 70 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

If it happens, I think renumbering or clearly doctoring the files will be badly done and leaked about.

17/7/2025, 2:30:08 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Thinking a bad thought, of a pro-civil-service-law “history and tradition” argument that Congress didn’t allow black mail carriers to be hired by law in 1810-65. Thinking about this because apparently 1886 for US v Perkins is not close enough historically.

17/7/2025, 1:35:37 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Besides Trump’s trial balloon popping, these kind of scenarios make me believe truly utter and continuing contempt of the SC won’t happen (as opposed to neener neener contempt Bove has tried). With an SC order in hand, would Fed staff or anyone in gov with guns try to enforce Trump’s order?

16/7/2025, 4:41:25 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

In the history and tradition of the first amendment, light bulbs weren’t invented for a century and candles were dangerous.

16/7/2025, 4:20:18 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I’ve been kinda surprised about TACO working out, since Trump’s Miller side doesn’t need or care about markets, corporations or rich people. The only real stick they have is in theory removing Congressional support, and that seems unlikely. But I guess Trump cares about their soft power.

16/7/2025, 4:07:24 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social)

There should be a law against assets that are digital bearer token based. The biggest of these is crypto, which has bankrupted banks through scams. But digital gift cards are also cumulatively big. At least they should have low limits per card.

16/7/2025, 12:48:13 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

There’s at least a majority of minority vote with Tesla’s investment, which I assumed wasn’t the case reading the headline.

14/7/2025, 11:15:53 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social)

Putting this in terms of “experts said” is simply the 1984 quote: “The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.” The 14th says what it says. O’Donnell was born on US soil under US jurisdiction. That’s it. End of story.

12/7/2025, 9:52:15 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s different getting a direct court order to affirmatively spend something and a court order to not detain somebody or send them to a third country. The latter can happen within the contours of space and time, but the administration has also released many people under habeas.

12/7/2025, 9:44:31 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I wonder if any switches have a similar mechanism of pulling out and moving them. Also, could anything but human action could change the switches’ position?

11/7/2025, 10:07:08 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

So is the contempt proceeding still stated by the MAGA DC Circuit panel?

11/7/2025, 1:32:32 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Fair. Changing AH Capital Management’s LLC charter from Delaware to Nevada is indeed useless. Do LPs have any say over reincorporating portcos? NV corporate law also appears badly written, at least based on NRS 78.139 and 78.140.

10/7/2025, 12:46:28 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

I believe the portfolio companies have to be incorporated for the expansive small/new business tax credit.

10/7/2025, 12:26:48 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Occam’s razor may say that the fact it ends 12:00 AM means they did a bad job editing two daily videos together. But who knows if it’s something they didn’t want out, not necessarily murder.

8/7/2025, 4:35:30 AM | 10 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

There wasn’t some huge ring, who all knew each other, and Epstein committed suicide. But the Big Three (or just one of them) did try to blackmail Ralph Nader with prostitutes. Kushner’s relative (his dad? I forget) went through such a blackmail attempt.

7/7/2025, 3:18:17 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Matt Waters (@mwwaters.bsky.social) reply parent

Other replies blamed gerrymandering and voter suppression. I don’t know. A lot of things suck, but it seems like the actual people who voted for the GOP, who voted 3rd party or who didn’t vote are WAY down the list of things to blame for bad things happening, as if they lack agency.

6/7/2025, 1:34:24 AM | 8 1 | View on Bluesky | view