I don't think it's irrelevant at all, as evidenced by the fact that Newsom has signed pro-trans legislation repeatedly and has taken no material actions against trans rights even after that podcast.
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he's also doubled down on this take even given that record so obviously we can't trust that he has good enough Instincts that he won't believe going after trans people will be to his benefit even though it objectively would not be
aug 15, 2025, 5:08 pm • 10 0 • view
I'm not going to tell anyone they should trust Gavin Newsom. Abstaining in 2028 is a disaster though. That's surrendering on *every* issue. I understood doing it over Gaza. Tens of thousands of people were dead. I don't really get doing it over a podcast.
aug 15, 2025, 5:19 pm • 1 0 • view
I suspect most of the people announcing that they would abstain in 2028 for reasons xyz are bullshitting though.
aug 15, 2025, 5:20 pm • 1 0 • view
I think people won't have to because he won't actually be the nominee I think if you're worried at all you should join in on the Newsom hate mob just to make double sure he *isn't* the nominee
aug 15, 2025, 5:23 pm • 11 0 • view
It's hard for me to see him losing the primary if he personally erases 4-5 GOP House members tbh. I hate on Newsom plenty, I just don't have to do it on here because everyone here hates him too lol.
aug 15, 2025, 5:29 pm • 0 0 • view
I'm sure in the 3 years we have between now and the primary this will not matter because other people who are very much planning to run are also clearly planning to do their own gerrymandering
aug 15, 2025, 5:31 pm • 6 0 • view
Pritzker doesn't really have much juice left, IL is already quite gerrymandered. New York iirc has some pretty bad procedural obstacles (even more than CA) that makes it impossible for the lines to be changed until 28 (and I don't think Hochul is a serious threat to Newsom anyway).
aug 15, 2025, 5:43 pm • 0 0 • view
Shapiro and Whitmer have split legislatures with GOP control. Walz doesn't have control until Hoffman's seat is filled, by which point it will probably be too late. Wes Moore can do one, but he only has one R to eliminate.
aug 15, 2025, 5:49 pm • 0 0 • view
alternatively: The GOP is so turbo fucked in the next midterms that Newsom's extra CA seats don't make that much of a visible difference alternatively alternatively: It's 2 years from the midterms so it doesn't matter
aug 15, 2025, 6:11 pm • 2 0 • view
I'm sympathetic to that view but this is going to get a ton of media coverage because of the referendum component. Polling suggests it's gonna be competitive.
aug 15, 2025, 6:14 pm • 0 0 • view
I will certainly be paying close attention to how he addresses the issue in the future though.
aug 15, 2025, 5:04 pm • 0 0 • view