Monday. 5pm. 7th Ave from clarkson st. We looooveeeeeee congestion pricing!
Energy Meteorology & Adventuring Yarmouth, ME | Boston, MA | Wherever it's snowing
2,667 followers 635 following 747 posts
view profile on Bluesky
Monday. 5pm. 7th Ave from clarkson st. We looooveeeeeee congestion pricing!
I like cold and snow and mountains. I do not like heat, humidity, and insane politics
Following up after a weekend of observing #Erin. The real track fell on the left side of the ECMWF Ensemble guidance envelope, but near a solid cluster of members. Only one deepmind member showed a scenario remotely similar to what actually happened.
What else would you be looking for?
Like what?
This morning's ECMWF Ensemble forecast scenarios for #Erin (left) vs Google DeepMind (right). Which do you think provides more useful information about tropical cyclone forecast uncertainty?
I’m glad I’m out of the (public) grand thought business haha
12z is also a bit of a jab at those confidently saying there’s absolutely nothing to worry about. But yeah lots of overconfidence in D7+ NWP output
Hardly even need the “P” based on satellite trends IMO
"Americans already understood Trump to be corrupt, and proved themselves willing to tolerate that. But now they are coming to believe that he is inept. In American politics, that is an unforgivable sin." www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...
It’s been a really beautiful stretch for S2S processes
This is an unprecedented time in our nation's history. Conspiracies, lies, and gaslighting are running amok. We need more scientists in Congress. I was born and raised here, and I am running to represent all Virginians from Chesterfield County to the Chesapeake Bay.
It is only a matter of time before this kills a lot of people
In 2028 my primary vote will go to whichever candidate promises the worst public humiliation for everyone involved in DOGE
Hey Sean Duffy the nyc subway works way better than this
Bowen ratio in disarray today @ KTPA
Florida is committing "enforced disappearance," a very serious violation of international human rights law. www.miamiherald.com/news/local/i... www.ohchr.org/en/special-p...
Haarp?!?
I mean insurance companies are the ones with the incentive to be honest about disaster risk and not succumb to “appeals” like this, but when they actually try to enforce the commensurate price, people get outraged
This isn’t really a partisan thing and it probably makes me more mad than any of the other TX flooding stuff. We are just far too accommodating of people in denial about reality.
This is such a critical point that can be tough to make without seeming to minimize the current disaster. This event had a very high death toll for a U.S. disaster and the impacts are severe but in terms of total number of people directly affected and the geographic scope, it’s on the smaller size.
people are making fun of this guy, but the challenge is legit. getting people to take weather alerts seriously is a real problem, and if you send out too many warnings, people will ignore them. of course, it looks awful here but I am sympathetic to the conundrum.
this tail event - 10-15" of rain in the upper Guadaloupe basin in 12-24hrs - was explicitly forecast by several high res models leading up to the event! I dont think it was literally impossible to forecast
Trying to figure out how to get (excellent quality) forecasts/warnings the last mile is tough, complicated, nuanced work without any easy scapegoat or fix. But once you burn enough tools to prevent the high-quality forecast, this kind of tragedy is going to happen way more often
They are simply not up to the task of defending the constitution and the people of this country. I haven’t gone this far yet on this, but I’m done. They have taken an oath and a responsibility and they’re willfully, even joyfully abdicating it.
Who will put up big signs in front of shuttered rural hospitals saying [GOP rep/senator’s name did this] and how can I donate to that effort
It is so hard to describe how sad I am to watch so much get blown up for the sake of the grievances harbored by so few. To all my Republican friends and family, if you want a forecast for a hurricane from now on, you’re on your own. You burned the tools I needed www.theatlantic.com/science/arch...
This is maybe the first weather data loss that I can say will, without any doubt at all, kill people. This is some of the core data we use to diagnose rapid intensification when visible satellite and/or hurricane hunter data isn’t available. Anyone on/near the coast just got a lot less safe
I for one am pro letting more supercells into our great nation. Thank you President Biden! Make rotating updrafts great again!
Follow me for more hard hitting critique of scientific field projects
Also how do they end up in front of the tornado of the day every day
How do these things retain any maneuverability in tornadic winds
I guess this one seems to come out the other side but like why doesn’t it get lofted as an essentially passive tracer into the mesocyclone
Genuine question do these guys go through like a dozen drones a week or do little drones actually survive flying through violent tornadoes
Happy “Portland is insufferable for locals season” to all who celebrate! Good luck to the businesses I will see you in October
FINALLY Democrats are putting out HARD-HITTING ads. WATCH AND SHARE: #MAGAKidnappers
Yeah man feels really freakin weird to be full send on abolish ICE but I am full send on abolish ICE after the last few weeks!!
Can we please decide once and for all whether longitude goes from -180 to +180 or 0 to 360???
Wow my life is changed
Whoaaaa laser guide lines?!?
The crowd in Portland Maine earlier today, shortly after we all sang the star spangled banner. Keep it up team 🇺🇸
the story today is of a profoundly low energy military parade being met with millions of americans in nationwide protests denouncing the dictatorial pretensions of the president
in nam3k and the stationary front we trust
This trend of “[x entity] performing better than the NWS after doge cuts” is really bothering me. The cuts are wrong and people will die from them. But none of the [x] entities have the long/detailed record to make verifiable claims on accuracy. All the examples are cherry picked n=1 or 2
W.E.B. Du Bois on Robert E. Lee: “Either he knew what slavery meant when he helped maim and murder thousands in its defense, or he did not. If he did not he was a fool. If he did, Robert Lee was a traitor and a rebel–not indeed to his country, but to humanity and humanity’s God.”
Enhanced/modified by outflow from those showers an hour or so ago?
Sea breeze front?
Would love to be at that one (for many reasons) but alas
Leaving aside what you think of the protests* this is a great case study in how dataviz can shape the narrative. The same data could be used to tell very different stories based on what the author set for marker_width *I am in favor and plan to attend
The worst person alive is not Trump or Elon though I’m no fan of either. It’s this guy, by a lot
The Declaration of Independence specifies 27 grievances with King George III, and I count at least 15 of them that Donald Trump has also committed in whole or in part. Particularly notable right now: "He has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures."
cant forget about spruce budworm at least in far northern maine
Publish more negative results in science and politics and everything. Signed, a guy who devoted a ton of hours to writing votefwd letters in 2020 and 2024 (and bugged several of his friends to as well)
Reminder: Please call your House Representative and ask them to cosponsor and vote for HR 3816, the Weather Workforce Improvement Act. www.govtrack.us/congress/bil... If you've been in an area impacted by severe weather recently, tell them what a difference NWS warnings make.
forbidden romance = thinking the NAM model has nonzero value in some circumstances
Wow someone’s been looking at my list of most visited websites
TFW the wfo is forced to close because the green screen’s hard drive is on the fritz
“Hard drive computers” and acting as if each wfo a) has a green screen and b) needs it to issue core products This guy doesn’t know shit about NWS
Dude thanks!!! This is great!
This kind of clear, direct explanation of what’s happening is basic journalism and yet it’s surprising to hear it stated so forthrightly in this mealy-mouthed era.
For all the jokes about "meteorologists can be wrong half the time and still get paid" I would definitely not be paid very much if I couldn't correctly forecast what already did or did not happen last week
Let’s do it I’m getting married in October at a little cabin on a lake in Maine. There will be a formal reception the next day but for the ceremony I want something rustic but also put together. Full suit feels too formal. Khakis too preppy. Jeans+flannel (my everyday outfit) too casual. Thoughts?
The flip from “take me, as a HS/college kid with no formal training seriously over 10000 PhDs” to “now I have a DEGREE so watch TF out” is really funny
The profiles modeled over central KY were not verbatim very dangerous but if you slightly modify the low to mid level thermo profiles, you rapidly ramp up the tornado risk given strong low level shear
if you wanna tell a story about the importance of having in-situ obs between 925-500mb, this morning provides a pretty good case study IMO
Waking up to America the Beautiful being played on the chimes of the church in my small town on this sunny Memorial Day morning was a more emotional experience than I expected tbh. 🇺🇸 is worth fighting for, even (especially!) now
lol if you want to fix the reproducibility crisis why not stand up a National Reproducibility Lab and fund it generously
Pinkham Notch #NHwx snow 5/23/25
I’ve had this take for a while and I’m glad Matt expressed it more eloquently than I ever could. I cringe a lot watching these streams, but they’re not aimed at me and I really think they’re expanding the universe of people getting >0 weather info
Good luck in the jungle everyone
Well that was a pretty freakin cool first (5) tornado(es)
5E Higgins #TXwx looking west
TCU 👀 #OKwx
Here we go. 10S Canadian looking SW #TXwx
Southwest was dead to me for a while when they didn’t post fares on Google flights so I haven’t flown them much
Seems like the proximate cause there was the compressor stalling not taking off overweight but yeah no good to dump fuel. Mostly just stupid to put too much on to start. Like someone is supposed to figure this out!
AIRLINE TAKES American uniquely awful in flight experience United uniquely stupid operations crew that results in stupid delays stupidly often JetBlue often delayed because of stupid scheduling dependency on NY/BOS and bad landing slots Guess we fly delta now
Maybe the only thing I miss about twitter is when you had a few followers and had a uniquely horrible brand experience you could @ them and they’d dm you and try to figure it out
Cannot say enough negative things about United airlines for giving this plane too much fuel its overweight and then leaving the equipment needed to fix that situation an hour away on the other side of the airport
We’re planning on Gilman
"Masked security forces captured an opposition leader in the coastal province of New Jersey as regime officials continue their months-long crack-down against pro-democracy elements in the embattled United States. The arrest comes as the regime issued calls for summary detentions without trial."
Pretty sad that the 9/11 attacks essentially succeeded in their stated mission of dramatically reducing American freedom it just took a little while
This is the kind of highly positive ROI that happen(ed) so often with a functioning American science apparatus. Guess that's too much winning for the current admin though!
Back in 2019, I took the Unidata Metpy 101 course, and in 2020 slowly but surely taught myself python primarily by watching MetPy Monday videos and modifying their example code. By 2022, that python skillset enabled me to get a well-paying job that directly produced (quite a bit of!) tax $
Every day I thank my lucky stars I got out of college before chatgpt nymag.com/intelligence...
I would read a paper on why the Pine Barrens burn so much (this is an abnormally intense fire, but fires happen often here) relative to much of the rest of the northeast, which also has a lot of pine trees that get dry in the spring
That's amazing
Busy Easter Sunday at the local fast charger. We need more!
I would like to sincerely apologize for any snark I gave anyone at any point for saying abolish ice
The storm near Beaver OK around sunset ended up being the only thing remotely worth seeing, but man the heading east option had a lot of cam support and ended up burning a bit of time near coldwater as a result
Never give up?
That was the best. Wandered out for a little shower just to see a cumulus cloud and then … that happened
What are we doing here
Barring some mesoscale surprise on wednesday I will soon be extending my three-year streak of tornadoless chasing on the great plains. Please clap!
The founders would be so, so disappointed with congress. The only ambition they are showing is who can suck up the most
This will go a long way towards breaking the cult
I really hope the reckoning at the end of all this includes a return to the framers’ very limited view of the presidency
Yo #EnergySky my mom needs to replace her gas boiler soon and I need a good source of pro heat pump propaganda. Specifically any information on how heat pumps perform in larger spaces
