clarissasorenson.bsky.social
@clarissasorenson.bsky.social
created October 19, 2024
112 followers 242 following 1,319 posts
view profile on Bluesky Posts
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
But its the position of this administration that belonging to the same nationality of a single actual criminal makes you also criminal if you aren't white, so all these ppl committed murder and rape by association
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
If they have a user in Mississippi, how they validate that user is subject to Mississippi laws, which is why Bluesky is blockong the state, your french server might want to too
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Picking Newsom as your avatar puts you on the transphobes side and makes American Keir Starmer the best we can hope for, and we can see how well thats going for not just transppl but many other vulnerable ppl
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, several congress people, a young Senator, and multiple centrist pundits are also saying the party should abandon trans ppl, and because we live in the anglosphere we can see what happens when the center left does that, meanwhile many of Trump's authoritarian acts based on transphobia
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
What do you think of going on far right podcasts to endorse the elimjnation of all trans rights and medical care? A policy you agree with or a major mistake and fumble that alienated many from the guy with supposedly superior instincts?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Cambodia and Thailand were at/about to go to war and we didn't hear it? Serbia and Kosovo were doing anything but hate eachoter? Ethiopia and Egypt had some harsh words?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
How many of these were like India Pakistan, where there was generally peace, some small shit happened leading to posturing, the countries talked it out like they usually do, a US ambassador might have talked to a guy once or twice- boom, war ended, because these others didn't reach that level
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
June 19th, I wonder which holiday he wants to get rid of here..., let me guess, there is no way to know which holiday in June this racist ass wants to end
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I firmly believe someone should be paying for more left of center content, but the DNC seems like an odd choice of last resort in terms of their institutional mission
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
There is 'for children' that means simplified craft/concept for developing brains and 'for children/young adults' that is relevent experiences depicted with advanced/adult level craft, and there is for adults which is experiences relatable for adults and for adults that is rather kids not see it
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Lee could very well have been the best general the confederates had (derogatory), but he didn't have a Vicksberg
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
We are letting speculation lead to an anticipation high, but he has genuinely had bad health signs and a couple days of no appearance with no scheduled weekend appearances
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I expect Republicans in Congress and on Scotus to declare laws and the constitution irrelevent and allow that they could surprise me
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm at thepoint where I need Congress or Scotus to assert that there are indeed three branches of government, law is not whatever the president feelsthat day and they are independent ppl and not a monarchist rubber stamp, I could be surprised but the decision thay would surprise the good one
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Voters under thirty have: experienced Republican politics as almost entirely Trumpist and not the restrained patrician of yesteryear and; Are much more digital native where the 4chan, neo nazi right is representativr
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Maine will be funded and supported regardless, the questionis what type of campaign gets moderates to see Susan Collins as another Republican
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
But Maine (a state where duplicating pres differentials gets dem a win) is not Kentucky (a state whose base partisanship is a high hurdle that modest improvements don't make it competitive)
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Some of it is using a study that says 'if you eat 50pounds of this a month bad things will happen' to try to disuade ppl from buying 1lb occassionally
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, if you'd say that you'll get a hammer from Trump who will support your opponent Trucknutz von Hitlerlover if he's running on a platform of obedience to Trump, the candidate needs an independent base of power, and outside of the Gov who but Ernst has it?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Like, either thay was intentional- in which case good job, or it was unintentional but the only read of the movie that makes it even approach good
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The feeling that there was a lot of depth just offscreen was partly as a critique of the 'story chasing' journalists, they are there to capture the war and tell the story, but seeing it through their eyes you can't figure out what the story of the war is
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Even if we could call a LLM sentience it's a brain in a bottle, relying on information fed to it and unable to find or make new objective information on its own. A person fed all the words on the internet, then answered questions with words patterned to resemble answers would be considered mad
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Ok, so you are using a broad personal definition of MAGA and not the obvious and wildly understood one of 'active supporter of Donald Trump and his politics' to make everything you say gibberish
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
And in terms of lifestyle, honestly, the one she lives is not all the different than Beyonce or say P!NK, but perception as the wholesome all american white girl has led conservatives astray
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Those are all either real bad indicators or perversely opposite indicators. This is a women with as many fuck you breakup songs as love songs, who won back the rights to her music from the labels. And oh yeah, she tells everyone to vote dem to the point of endorsing in midterm TN Senate races
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
That c) isn't actually doing anyone many favors, only validating and telling ppl look the GOP is right- which is the wrong message
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
My case also inclides the arguement that if passionate leftists bring up an issue dems are uncomfortable with and the options are a) coopt the part you do agree with passionately, b) ignore it and advocate another issue passionately or c) join the republican pile on and shit on them
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Like or dislike the protesters they were better advocates reaching the apathetic than the centrist and moderate Dems who only wanted to focus on one slogan they disliked and make it the focal point of conversation- how the protests were badwrong
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The one serious study showed that large BLM marches in focal point localities increased registration, increased voter participation and gained dems voters
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I mran, if I still believe in Blexas, or Iowa swinging back I can't give up on FL no matter how much my brain yells no
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Have no clue who wants it down there, the whole party is kinda lackluster, is Frost old enough?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Mood disorder
Constantine (@ajaxsinger.bsky.social) reposted
ICE took 2 firefighters OFF THE FUCKING FIRE LINE!?
John (@johngoodman.bsky.social) reposted
realistic Star Trek
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Blanket term for the class of drugs including Ozempic and those using similar compounds
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Republican still won there
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The CA runoff was in redder territory than IA and had a much more modest low single digits overperformance
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The dem scored low forties, the republicans split to lower each higher combined, GA is a 50%+1 win or top two runoff state, so goes to a R favored runoff
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm torn between the idea thatin an earlier time when law enforcement was under less scrutiny they regularly got assaulting an officer indictments for similar incidents or that the Trump loyalists are just so bad at this they can't upcharge in the way prosecuters formerly could
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Probably easier to fail the depression screening questions
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
This would sound trite from the parent but they've just experienced a tragedy so it would be allowed, if the priest said it permission granted for friends and relatives to punch the guys teeth out, a fox news personality from the other side of the country - teeth punching not enough
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Like both Murk and Sullivan voted for the budget, but there was hope Murkowski wouldn't so its easier to blame her
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The thing about Murkowski is that we know she is better than the rest of the Republican Senators, that she can pull out a brave vote against the party that matters and then most of the time she doesn't. I guess if there is no hope like with the rest of the party it isn't as dispiriting
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Fantasy got more female while sf stayed heavily male? Plus esp urban fantasy more welcoming to the internets diversity of sexual tastes?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The only poll thus far had her down 45-43 but the plains do have a history of these polling mirages, have to assume the 12% undecided are traditionally GOP
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Might be better ground than Ohio or Texas, Dems need to sweep defence, oust Collins in Maine, Cooper taking NC and then 2 more and there just aren't that many possibilities
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
History of GOP lawlessness with a throughline to Iran Contra and the Bush torture regime
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
And her opponent follows the Alan Keyes rules for how crazy you gotta be to win a GOP nom as a black person
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Spanberger is from the Richmond burns but she is a former spook
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Between West and Dickerson who's the unpopular POS?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
GA that goes to a runoff with the top 2 if you don't get 50%+1, very good performance but won't hold my breath
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The personI want to really look at this and the overperformances in Iowa this year (yeah, high engagement hugh enthusiasm is everywhere but Iowa keeps putting up huuuge numbers) is Joni Ernst, let her be scared and need to reach out to dems
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
A reservoir that did not drain to LA and was storing water to be used in the summer dry season was released to drown farmers fields and *tada* that fixed the LA wildfires according to Trump
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
You shouldn't call up the National Guard when there is nothing to do, the whole point of the national guard is that they are called when you need to do something
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
If reducing crime does not address crime fears and only sadistic racist punishment can do the trick I'm not sure why I should indulge these people, are you going to give them the city dwellers blood they howl for?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The time to talk about settling for the lesser evil is - after the convention to the election when the alternatives have narrowed, not before we even have midterms or know if we're going to get free and fair elections
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
It's more than three fucking years to the election, if we can't ask for better now and already settle we can never ask for better
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Crime has been dropping under democratic (largely black) mayors with policies that aren't the armed occupation of cities to seize black and brown ppl in the ritual humiliation of the urban by the righteous volk
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Conservative white rural ppl will contenance 'crime solving' for the cities and the minorities that they'd never allow in their own communities, even when those communities are less safe
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
A big thing about crime panic is that it focuses on other places and people to get rural/suburban white ppl to think crime is a city problem with ethnic minority criminals. If ppl can't stop obsessing on crime we need to highlight rural and white crime
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Very few ai safety features go beyond first ask, first answer
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I think enough so that upon the first question it will advise against, but with repeat asks for further clarifications or answers it will enter these types of spirals in the context of remembering and pleasing the user
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Now we are in an overcorrection where Labour got taken over by empty suits whose selling points were who they were not (Not Corbyn, Not Tories, Not Reform) who are now revealing themselves to be actually pretty awful ppl
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Core self-conception of party as an industrial working class party died around blair, struggled to find a new idea of themselves as an alliance of pluralism and professional class, backlash led to a leader who was way left of the electorate and whiffed Brexit in Corbyn
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
And, like, if you truly loved weightlifting and wanting more people to do it, ragging on casual ppl trying it for not impressing you is the exact wrong way to go
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Mamdani was visiting a festival/expo for exercise and gamely tried something that wasn't his thing, the implication that being bad at it in those circumstances and everyone needs to demonstrate buff manly manness and brag on him is pretty vile
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Go with the stupidest answer is likely true: They fired all the competent ppl and Trump thinks the world revolves around him, so they forgot timezones and Trump kept calling at 3am India time
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Brand =/= power, yeah DTrump has a bigger army than coke (so did Joe Biden and I think we can all say he sucked at being a brand), but the red and the font are still more of an icon
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
It's scrambling a local turf war and national ideological commitments so that only one pattern remains: Republicans oppose density, Democrats posittions depend on local networks
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I trust Australia here, actually
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Like, this is the inverse of the ADL and Isreali defenders insisting any action against Isreal is an action against Jews, that an action against any Jews is a blow to Isreal regardless of anything they actiually say or do
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I mean, unless the synagogue was a fucking IDF recruitment post, Iranian intelligence assets burning it down is about religion and having no seperation between Isreal the country and Judaism the religion
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Except Thomas Jefferson, is it wrong to think the most (or maybe second most after the Loiusiana Purchase) impactful thing he ever did was create the nations 1st real political party?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm expecting some wild indy stuff about the stuff beyond the preamble in the declaration, but how can the Trump stuff be anything but a dud
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm a little shocked that ppl don't remember controversy around calling up the guard to keep our european support bases running while the regular army invaded Iraq and Afghanistan, the controversy that Walz didn't tear up his long filed retirement papers when his unit got orders to Italy a reminder
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah, and that is such a departure from what the national guard selks itself as- a commitment to do 2-4 weeks training a year, being on call to support actual emergencies, and in peaceful calm times (ie most times) living a normal life
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
So, um, what specific thing is this referring to for someone with no clue?
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
If you forced me to make a choice today it's the Khan of the Great Plains, but I know it has about as much predictive power as fancasting Tilda Swinton as James Bond
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Like, stop saying dems would be better off if they did the things they actually do, the problem is the right can convince ppl (including you) of the opposite of reality
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm sorry, that's not a counterfactual, thats what actually happened and police budgets went up under Biden, under democratic governors and under democratic mayors. Maybe they'd have been better off defunding because actual actions and rhetoric didn't change the view of rightwing dipshits at all
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I get it, you are so transphobic an actual issue trans people face is unworthy of an answer even if its complete denial
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Praising Reagan isn't even good soulless strategy, the youngest voters in an election ran in are in their fifties, and any fan if his that was gonna turn would have much earlier into Trump. Meanwhile it pisses off core dem voters
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
If you had responded that you think pregnant transmen should be legally mothers and retain benefits because that is the most important part, I might have considered *you* a serious person, but the idea that even considering them made me unserious betrays the lie this is about language, not policy
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
I have no fucking idea what you want, you don't want to use a term that came from a debate on how to deal with a situation, don't provide alternative terms or policy for the situation and then state the only course of action is surrender to transphobia because other ppl chose it
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
He just fundamentally doesn't get how independence creates credibility and confidence, whether in economy or law the things the government does look increasingly less legitimate because the only guiding principle is working to Trump
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
US markets are in after hours trading, already trending down, and the open asian and australian markets as well as foreign exchange dropping
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
They'd impeach before that, congress is allergic to governing authority
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
IE: As the money from selling stock to the next buyer become greater and more important than the money received from dividends, the ability of the stock market to reflect and efficiently manage the economy declines
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
The stock market increasingly is severed from the underlying economic activity of the company and is instead a casino predicting other buyers hoping to make money from selling
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Once you take it away it becomes about symbolic freedom triumphing over actual freedom in a pyrhic victory
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
He's a moderate, but because he's VA and MD and VA dems have usually been pro statehood I don't think this is a change in position so much as volume, opposition stronger for dems for whom DC is a far away place
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
We've had a national underreaction to things like DeSantis removing elected officials and Abbot dissolving the elected Houston school board, the idea that no city has any degree of self rule is an unstated core GOP principle
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Y'know, if you are trying to negotiate an alliance between two countries to combat a third country, but the cultural memories of one country putting women from the other into sex slavery is still strong, you shouldn't be so glibly dismissing it and demanding they get over it
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
It's also noteworthy that this is the *second innaugural* Americans had been making great sacrifice for the cause for the last 4 years, the war was still not won and the opposition were for peace at any price, he couldn't say these things b4 the war
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
That said, of the specials we've seen this cycle Iowa has had some wild 20+ point swings blue, the idea something is happening under the surface specifically here has some backing
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Ernst has little personal loyalty and needs voters who will default to the party to come home in the end, but on the plains they usually do. If it is gonna hapoen this is a good start, but if we're seeing it this time next year this pattern makes her heavily favored
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Is it as low as 70% among Republicans ie the only Americans he thinks matter even slightly
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
It's sad that of the 4 major candidates Silwa is the one with the second most dignity- that guy
clarissasorenson.bsky.social (@clarissasorenson.bsky.social) reply parent
Sure looks like the polling and other feedback he's been getting tell him hedging on behalf of Cuomo was a losing proposition not doing him any favors
Mike Black (@mikeblack114.bsky.social) reposted
definitely don't google "andrew cuomo seniors" to find out more