penguins18.bsky.social
@penguins18.bsky.social
created December 18, 2023
212 followers 65 following 5,292 posts
view profile on Bluesky Posts
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
This means a lot less than people think. The vast majority of weapons the U.S. sells or gives to Israel are classified as defensive, and Israel can (and does) buy bullets and bombs from loads of places.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
He’s going to announce that the last seven months have been an elaborate piece of performance art and he’s firing his entire cabinet and staff and hiring normies. What I heard anyway.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
That’s … fiction
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Exactly the right response
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah actually you do. You win by carefully matching the electorate you’re running in.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
While true, that’s not why those banners are thrown up (I guarantee he personally has nothing to do with them). They’re done because it pisses off and triggers libs, and that outrage is the thing his base lives off. It’s their drug, and if the Admin stops manufacturing it they’re dead.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
This. So much of Trump’s political success will be written about in history as a curious ability to inspire his opponents to nominate horrible candidates against him, which we’ve now done three times in a row. Great public servants, objectively bad candidates.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I dislike Silver’s takes often quite intensively, but this is absolutely dead on. Especially his distinction between leftism and blueskyism.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
A close election anyway. The vast majority you can just put the right “D” or “R” next to your name and go on vacation to win easily.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Trump might not be President after "this week."
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Likely has nothing to do with the passenger on that plane. Russia's been doing this for a while now, more or less randomly.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
That's the entire point.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
That looks almost like performance art. Like someone's making a political point and it's not pro-Trump.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe because they’re terrible ideas.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
They could be related, now that I think about it. Domestic violence by motor vehicle is sadly not unheard of. They might have observed someone trying to run over a woman, stopped, and the girl piled into them from behind.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
A domestic violence incident on I-93? What the?
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
How infinitely perfect would it be if Lutnick got involved in Trump world entirely to pull a massive grift involving tariffs?
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
How incredibly sad is it that I don't believe a fucking word of that.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I actually don't care if you're right or wrong. I care whether we win. You'd rather believe you're right and lose than win power and implement what you think is right. Story of the Left since time immemorial. It's fucking pathetic.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Dude. Touch some grass and see a therapist. There is literally steam coming out of your head and no one wants anything to do with you, so you will never get what you want.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
The voters who decide close elections are apolitical and mushy. They don't care that much, but they LOATHE reflexive doomerism. Run the other way into MAGA's arms. We NEED to win the next two elections. We can win those voters, and thus elections, if we have some vision beyond the doomscrolling.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I would say you have been. Naivete isn't limited to unmerited optimism. Unmerited pessimism is also naive.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
The MLB owners are almost all richer than he is. That would be hard.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Are these citizens?
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Is Xi that much taller than Putin and Modi?
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
He’s not really “pulling” anything. It’s just a post on social media. He can’t do anything to implement it.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
That’s your (and my) interpretation of the Constitution they’re violating. But just our interpretation.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
A pretty good argument for why, strictly speaking, they aren’t fascist (aside from Miller, who clearly is). Trump isn’t organized militaristic or statist enough, not nearly. He’s a banana republic strong man cosplayer.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
No one in MAGA land is outraged about Cracker Barrel. As in quite a lot of their antics, it’s just theater and the audience is not them but you: The only point is to trigger us liberals, which their base laps up.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
National Guard are not law enforcement. Most of them aren’t trained in that and there’s no reason to be surprised they didn’t manage to nab this perp. Why the whole thing is just dumb.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Why are those recommendations “left”? I think you’re confusing ideology with style, rhetoric, and aggression, a confusion that is rampant these days.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
What “2024 Biden loss”?
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
They’re in process but cannot change the districts until 2028.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Yeah that’s true, but there are a couple that have other requirements beyond a percentage of the popular vote. One (that I’m aware of) requires passage in two consecutive elections, and several require a certain total voter turnout.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
That provision on initiated measures exists in quite a few states I think.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
There normally is not “punishments” for when the courts declare a government action illegal. The action just gets vacated.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Wonder's who's gonna go for it on the R side. A lot depends on that. If it's a normie, we're gonna struggle, but I kinda doubt they do that sort of thing anymore.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Stop surrendering.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Murkowski isn't up, but I bet if the Dems take over the Senate she'll flip, at least to Indy.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Seems like a nice man.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm not sure you have much chance of anyone being named to the Senate (or winning in an election) who is much different than Joe on Israel.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Except for those of us cursed (or blessed) to react to everyone around us agreeing by assuming everyone's wrong.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Possibly. I've been told that the conversation with Neguse has already been had, that it's a done deal and there are people in CD2 who are already quietly lining up support to run for Joe's seat.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I think Neguse will be Senator if Bennet wins.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
No, but leaving aside the AI part, which is crapola of the first degree, prior approval for very expensive procedures has been needed for a long time.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I am SO tired of the “antisocial nerd in a black tshirt who got lucky once long ago giving a TED style talk about something he knows nothing about beyond what he read the night before on the internet” meme.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Difference between lying and bullshitting, technically speaking.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I really have no idea why this matters so much to you. Have a nice day and please touch some grass.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Lee’s canonization should be taught as the ultimate case study in the power of myth in service to a political goal that lots of people passionately support. But somehow it’s still too loaded a topic.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
He’s not personally, no (I know him and his family a little). But he has this simplistic tech-bro libertarian streak that pops up in certain areas, and vaccines is one of them. It’s almost like he has a couple token issues he does it on, but he’d never actually act on it if he had a chance.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
He isn’t running for anything in Colorado ever again. Can’t.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Polis is an odd duck in some ways, but it’s always predictably the same ways. He’s friendly toward fringe conspiracy types in health care and vaccines, even though he personally is anything but one. And he disdains that personality type in other contexts. Shrug.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Maine has high turnout because it has the oldest electorate in the country. Full stop.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Dude. I'm not even really arguing with you. Just providing some context. The internet was not entirely created by DoD, to say nothing of email, which was created by an engineer at Raytheon (paid for as a contractor by DoD). He never worked for the government.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
While the tech for the internet was developed by DoD, much of the more basic research was already done, privately, and the first four nodes of the "internet" which exchanged emails were universities.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Hell yes we do.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I can’t tell how many of the accounts flaming you in the replies are GOP trolls. I know some are, as I used to do that dark arts work for Dems. It’s rampant and it certainly does work to divide, distract, and extremify the enemy.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Never know whose parent is a $100m donor ...
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
yup.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
They're so talking about the 25th Amendment, aren't they? There are people (like tech bros, and probably Musk) who prefer Vance to Trump big time, and REALLY don't want a Dem elected in 2028.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Sort of. They paid for the initial research, but didn't set out to create "email".
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Email’s been great. So is wikipedia.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Shouldn’t the DoJ also know? Why would they bother filing?
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Definitely. A lot less shrieking about slippery slopes, a lot more practical information about what’s actually happening.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I think that mitochondria are an obsession of the right wing section of the alternative health crowd, aren't they? Since mitochondria produce energy in cells, they feed themselves all sorts of temporarily energy enhancing substances and tell themselves everyone else has a "mitochondria" problem.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I know he likes to trigger a response from us, but in this case it is a crucial mental pill we all need to swallow. High turnout HURTS us. We are currently a party of high info voters who turn out. Republicans are a party of low info voters who don't always. Infrequent voters lean conservative.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
That article is so fucked up. Why do people think it's so important to issue alarms every five seconds? Do we all just want to be the one that issues THE alarm? Are we that egotistical? All it does is help Trump. Let's allow ourselves to be shocked, rather than always cynically unsurprised.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Other countries don't have the 2nd Amendment. And unfortunately, jurisprudence on the 2nd A is pretty locked in stone atm.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Oh that's a slimy move to release informed numbers only. Mills' bio is subtly negative (old, career public servant?) and there's no way Platner can communicate all that detail to the general public. A professional pollster would argue hard against this kind of release, for ethical reasons.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Why? Paper just kills trees. That's snarky of course but I really don't understand the fetish with reading on dried wood-paste.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Silly piece.Stop surrendering.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m not sure the story actually says the men are being directed by Trump. They could easily just be DOGE-style amateurs and Trump acolytes who want to impress the big guy. I honestly don’t think Trump remembers anything he said about Greenland.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
What part of it seems like it deserves more attention? The article is entirely about this Bondi underling in Nevada’s corruption. There are dozens like her in the Trump DoJ. Not prosecuting a foreign diplomat is unfortunately but necessarily also very common.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
You want every eligible voter, not every registered one, which favors the GOP.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Also, despite his carefully staged managed brand, Trump NEVER fires anyone personally. Afraid to. He will make almost anyone else do it.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
He’s probably the best hitter I’ve seen in the minors in 7, 8 years.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
If she has information about that, we have a very different story.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
If more had voted she would have lost probably. It’s a red district. As a general rule, waves happen because the losing (usually ruling) party’s voters don’t show up, not because the winning party’s voters overwhelm them in usually unfriendly districts.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Please book your tour, Dr. Monarez. We need to know more about how batshit crazy RFK is.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I think if the writers of the amendment had meant "allegiance," they would have written "allegiance," or another word that is similar. Allegiance and jurisdiction have completely different meanings. In some ways opposite!
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
They do 1 and 2 literally every fucking day. You’re so committed to this storyline but it’s so false. What you’re really upset about is their values often aren’t exactly yours, and their policies not your choices, but you hide it by claiming they don’t have any of either.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
How would this help Republicans? It’s certainly not obvious.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
More than two!
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Old people still lean right, and the Dem Party in Maine is better organized and funded. Wonder how or why he thinks this will help his team?
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
One of the reasons why I think the invasion actually has little to do with conquering or dominating Ukraine, and mostly to do with domestic Russian politics. Meaning it doesn’t end until Putin dies or is disempowered by his own elites (which could happen).
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
50 years from now someone exploring the Glades will find the remnants of that thing, like some Mayan temple.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Cool. More of this please.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe not expect to be paid, but to build a portfolio of bylines.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm guessing you understand this, but for others, a reminder that they only do stuff like this to piss you off. That is literally the only point. That's because their base lives off of our outrage, like Voldemort only drinking the blood of unicorns in the Forbidden Forest.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
When isn't it? I'm just begging lefty activists (love em!) to recognize that normie apolitical voters don't care enough about ICE and creeping totalitarianism, or fired federal workers, to do the right thing in the voting booth. But the key to release nonetheless is right in front of us to grab.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Worth noting the difference in the results last night. In Cali, Republicans ran a normie, a sitting city councilor with little MAGA content who emphasized her "practical" style and seems straight out of Mitt Romney era conservatism. She did fine. Nominated a crazy in Iowa and got stomped.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Except not civilian.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
How about fists?
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Not sure where these particular guards are, but if on Park Service grounds, the only reason the mulching needed doing is because the regular, much cheaper groundskeepers got laid off.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
I should say that, for all its faults, DC is among the cleanest (in the literal sense) cities I've ever seen outside of, like, Switzerland. Especially the touristy areas.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Depends on what the object is. A hand grenade or a machete? Sure. A sandwich? Less clear. One of those "know it when you see it" legal standards.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
They've been there 16 days now and have produced only 69 arrests, none for violent offenses. Wow.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Who made that suggestion? Dems have just had three terrible presidential candidates in a row, that’s all.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
So so many mistakes were made. You’re right, they treated Trump as if he were a first time candidate.
penguins18.bsky.social (@penguins18.bsky.social) reply parent
Probably pretty close to the result. Certainly the Repubs knew, based on how the race went in the final weeks. They obviously were very worried about their side’s turnout, rightly so.