Two jackdaws peering over the chimney pots like lords in a castle #FirstBirdOfMyDay
Adventurer, passionate about wildlife, photographer and wildlife cinematographer usually found looking through a viewfinder for long periods.
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Two jackdaws peering over the chimney pots like lords in a castle #FirstBirdOfMyDay
Its my field but definitely will give it a read. A lot of animals that are thought of as daytime predators in fact hunt mostly at night with superior senses
Congrats I'm sure will be a big success. Who doesn't love nocturnal animals.
But then you'd still have to go in to hand back security passesad not have the opportunity to raid the stationery cupboard
Epping is only about an hr from the sea IIRC so not that far... that's a hell of an analogy for how stupid these people are.
He claimed he was in Afghanistan and Iraq and that he was defending Britain for veterans... so served pizza in Bastion and has had to many shandies trying to find a website that would let him in without age checks. Republicans would buy your used unwashed insoles so maybe go a merch sideline
Jesus I'm ringing Mastercard and challenging the payment now 😆 Although there was a throbber attacking Dan K about asylum seekers who was angry he couldn't post with a VPN so you might have a potential customer i him
As long as no feet pics
No worries mate thanks for doing the charity trek
A mate and his daughter are on a train back from Chester and 3 Welsh women are banging on about Ilona Maher apparently being 'an obvious trannie'. There is so much ignorance about its unreal.
Jusr seen this fella - feel completely same and have to be more than just tourist funds or visiting for work and then disappear. Always try and fill a second case of stuff, find a local charity or help local filmmakers. Good luck chief
Regularly find paw prints on the garden bench when the adults have needed a break from cub chaos
Bickering goldfiches sat on the washingline arguing over who gets to go next to the feeder #FirstBirdOfMyDay
If I remember correctly Trotsky was one of the people who tried to justify the reprisals an purges. He was then urged himself later
You've attracted another weirdo first poster there Dan. Apparently he wants to fight Islamic 'fundamentals' so presumably he means Zakat as he's also against helping asylum seekers...
You are talking shite and seeing as your posts are all hate and actually insults about me calling me a cowardly C!!T ( and that's sir btw) you can Foxtrot Oscar you muppet. You want Twitter you seem to be lost. Now I'm going to report and block you as evidently you are desperate for attention
Bollox talking rightwingers who target vulnerable squaddies and wind you up and tell you that you are special and need to save the country. Now I did a lot of work trying to stop that targetting as do many ex services because you are being used and they play on your inability to transition
Oh fuck off you're not the only one who got a George Bush sunshine tour of the middle east and Asia sunshine. You are clearly back in civvie st wishing you were back in the DPM days and for the love of god it is 'fundamentalist'. You are not saving your country you've been brainwashed by
Yes I have and you are again conflating asylum seekers with Islamic fundamentalists and talking utter bollocks. Put down the phone and have a tab you're talking shite
You can normally find more muppets than that in Hanley most days so this really kicks the racists idea 'they are the voice of the people'
Veteran card holder and actively have worked to help veterans as well. @dankaszeta.bsky.social statement is factual and you are making a BS sideshow from a brand new account. Veterans and asylum seekers getting help is only a one vs other in your head
Mountains, fjords, forests, lakes and waterfalls, waterholes and great plains, wildlife, wild trails and sundowners. That is what life is all about. That and family
Samoa scoring some points is the feelgood the weekend needs. Well done a richly deserved reward #RWC2025
Whatever happens Samoa deserve massive plaudits for self-funding and being here. Be great if more funding went to all the teams after this WC is over. #RWC2025 #ENGvSAM
It is a balrog, a demon of the ancient world. This foe is beyond any of you... run!
Al the infrastructure left behind when it goes. Please read
No I'm not I think it is absolute crap and the fact its effectively nicking other people's wrk to produce worse versions says its crap. If you read what I wrote the Dotcom blow up of crap companies paved the way for something more useful. Hopefully the AI cack will die and we can properly use
Nope there was a lot of uploading of copyright material illegally via P2P.
Or that she was guilty of endorsing the brand on it and demanding an inquiry for 'conglict of interest'.
So was much of dotcom pure garbage
You are hardcore your other half is veteran he will tell you if they cut off tea and boiled sweets we'd cosider surrender and sell out the country for a bag of Yorkshire Tea 😁
You to bother to read Prospect Theory properly and realise it is just a model, read the much newer critiques and realise it does not actually always apply nor is it a constant. But people who do not know any better often cite it as if it is a universal law.
Now I really really cannot be bothered entertaining this nonsense anymore so as you have claimed it is about numeracy, then isn't about numeracy and now is back to being about numeracy I'm going to save both of us wasting time on your blackhole and block you for both our sakes. I can only implore
Go and read John List's Neoclassical vs Prospect Theory ( 2004). We built a thoroughly object algo to try and beat the biasrs of Prospect Theory. It beat Blue Buttons ( new traders) but could not outperform experienced traders except on reaction times. Because of the very thigs List talks about
I also didn't say 'argue with me orI'll block you' so please try harder to read things or we will get back to you denyong saying what uou then now say you are saying again... I said I could happily block you as you were trying to be a jerk
They passed GCSE maths which includes probability and percentages... they have certificates that literally say they are numerate... its bollocks to say mostly innumerate. You just said it wasn't numeracy and now you are back again claiming it is. Prosect Theory is about personal gain / loss
TBF similar happened in dotcom bubble but the infrastructure and rock bottom prices for otherwise expensive hardware helped actual people with a clue start useful companies rather than eyeball seekers. Here's hoping
Or I can add you to block for being patronising now given you yourself are steping away from 'people are mostly innumerate' having argued they were all day
You haven't you hae just clearly spent severalposts saying something you clearly now say is false yourself
Gillian Tett, is complete bollocks
Flips and people become less risk averse - its how con artists capture a mark. It is also documented the more experoenced someone becomes with the risk / reward scenario the more rational and objective they become. You literally blindly repeated 'people are mostly innumerate' which to paraphrase
You specifically said people are motly innumerate - that is what I pulled that risk manager apartat and what Prospect Theory never says. If you follow through on Prospect Theory ( and I did I studied it as part of work in The City) you will see if prospective gains are large enough it completely
Oh dear that blows that Reform BS line www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Its bad that I'm now conditioned to first think that it will end in the back of a BTR... Lovely location fella
Sadly he doesn't have to be honest he just has to be loud
3 flags lying in road on bridge over M6. They weren't torn down by people - the wind and rain tore them off. If they had been put the other side of the railing they'd fall into the M6. Peopleliterally driving over the flags is the result of this daftness
Sigh Prospect Theory does not say what you think it does and the follow ups show that the more someone is exposed to the scenario the more they learn. Because people are not mostly innumerate they are just being swung by external stimulas. I give up that you believe people cannot count
Quite frankly would be impossible. To say people cannot count, add up, subtract, multiply or divide things is bonkers and notborne out by even the worldwide grades in said subject. Re-read the Nobel Prize work again
Not function. What that article explains is actually what happens - that in a risk reward scenario people who are completely numerate act like they are not through temporary inhibition. You can deny it but without the majority of folks having basic understanding of maths everything around you
A senior risk compliance guy at financial services company tried this tack - he couldn't then explain why everyone in the room could do basic maths and most people have accreditations saying they can do basic numeracy or better. If you truly believe people are mostly innumerate then the world would
What you are trying to use is a psychology definition of numeracy instead of an actual definition of numeracy. Most people can do basic maths and arithmetic all day long but psychologists try and skew that definition by adding risk / reward or other factors. That conflates a whole swathe of things
Numeracy. This is akin to saying people are mostly illiterate because they don't read Chaucer.
That is not even close to 'most people are inumerate' that is at best showing financial illiteracy, which is something completely diferent and largely by desogned obfiscation and the impact of perception of loss and how gambling is so successful at keeping folks hooked Nothing to do with basic
But that is a bitlike saying people are mostly inumerate when that is demonstrably false and undermines the case. Just like numeracy has negligible impact on most risk calls people make in their daily lives unless doing paper exercises. This is why I say agree to disagree
May appear irrational from one PoV but the person doing said act is making what they believe to be logical and rational decisions based on what they know at the time.
Well we will have to agree to disagree because as rich as Nick Taleb and co have got telling people they are crap at assessing risk it ignores that risk is sn entirely personal metric and things that look foolhardy from the outside may in fact be mitigated and properly assessed. Same as something
Only ask you consider that 'people are terrible at risk assessing' may not be the universal truth and starting from that is in fact applying a bias to risk.
An individual because they don't instantly sign up to the conventional Rolls-Royce standard of risk mitigation. In the software world password managers may be a gold standard but they don't work for everyone. But taking any mitigating step is better than none and if it works that is success I can
But the whole 'people suck at assessing risk' in itself is a massive cognitive bias by risk professionals. In fact there is a middle ground between 'we know best' and 'blind faith in the individual assessing right'. In fact one of the worst things in the world is a risk professional talking down to
But crucially he identified the danger from day 1. It was justthe hubris of thinking due to false information and recent experience that he had mitigated it. At no point did he stop thinking the cobra was a risk
Oh I know we have a capacityto be truly irrational or lottery tickets wouldn't sell. But in most cases we see the danger, but we find a way to not heed the danger. Seeing a risk but then acting irrationally / ignoring it / believing we've covered it off is our irrational selves at work
Say you are wrong just that it is more nuanced than humans are blanket crap at it. We'd be extinct as a species if we were
A few weeks later from a true bite but happily sat in the house apparently rubbing his wound with a tatty bit of false promise from a street hawker. Prior to that 'cure' he would have been straight to hospital and not as gung-ho about deady cobras. But I realise this is your job so not trying to
Indian police officer I met while filming wildlife. He had been told a special 'snake stone' prevented cobra venom working. He handled dozens of deadly cobras ad got bit once and thought the stone saved him. He told all the other officers and they bought them too. It was a dry bite. He was dead
Where it all goes to ratshit is false 'knowledge', expediency, inhibition or peer pressure. Ask most people if drunk driving is a terrible idea. Ask again after they've had a drink, with their mates and need to get home and voila some will say it is ok just this once. I always tell the story of a
Risk is highlighted but doesn't materislise the more complacent people become and believe they are immune. See computer backups and tales of woe. Then there is false sense of security the mitigation not checked brings -backup corrupted and only one copy But everyday stuff most folks do ok on seeing
The you also know the more layers of risk mitigation the more complacent people become the risk no longer exists Military was full of that - gaffer tape as good as a weld, etc... People do risk management every day of their lives subconsciously. They'd be dead if they didn't. However the more a
I do tech diving, same thing exists there the protocols and ability to walk away all well ingrained. Then you read person X died on a recreation dive because they saw an issue, flagged it to their buddy and uttered something like 'last dive of holiday will be ok'. Its not the seeing its the heeding
Part of my job is risk mitiations, we are great at identifying them trust me People will spend hrs documenting it all, then we will read up how someone somewhere else knew all these risks and went 'it will be ok this once' for expediency Folks lie to themselves as our brains are tuned for confidence
We are actually pretty good at it but also better at ignoring said risk or convincing ourselves its fine
With Reform UK saying it would be reasonable to pay the Taliban to return migrants to Afghanistan, how many Britons this would be acceptable? Acceptable: 17% Unacceptable: 61% % acceptable by party Reform: 35% Con: 23% Lab/Lib Dem: 7-13% yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
I also imagine debusing this thing in a hurry with those two front hatches is going to be hell. The tank absolutely has a place on the modern battlefield, just we are again in the evolutionary phase
I'm just an ex-snail but I know tech fails, especially when you need, doubly so in FIBUA. If you are going remote why not strip it back to bare minimum needed for protecting main arm and mag and go lower profile so the crew have greater all round vis. Can see this thing being blind behind.
With 2 crew isn't there an inherent overworking of the gunner / aimer / cmdr as there often is with Russian tanks using 3 man crews. An autoloader jam without crew access also renders the whole thing redundant doesn't it?
Just to add it is not the fault of many of these people they repeat the 'paid in to fund' believe as that was the design, otherwise gov would have had to explain paying in with zero guarantees.
They won't think that far ahead and Farage and co will make something up they will nod at. I am still repeatedly told despite debunking the myth of a pot 'they paid in all their lives' to the state penion / services. Farage will claim young Brits will do like a national service or AI or some such BS
If you are in mid 60s now saying something will happen in 2050 will have no resonance with them. Same reasn many of them refuse even mild measures on climate change that might inconvenience a tiny bit. To them there is no pay-off. It is why politicians are afraid of touching triple lock
Most of those whoback Farage are either retired or rapidly approaching retirement. They will already be well protected from the issues created as was case of Brexit.
Neutral - camo balanced by hi-vis
The Athenian 30 tyrants who claimed every action was 'for the good of the people' but really to ensure their power backed by Sparta broke democracy and brought in oligarchy springs to mind.
For him it was time for something completely different
Also woryh noting how fishermen fared when Farage promised them the Earth about bosts coming from France... once he got what he wanted from them ( years of gravy train for doig nowt, then a Brexit vote) they were just cast aside and indeed as will be the veterans they profess to care about
Sound like yu accidentally walked into Wetherspoons instead of Waterstones
The snake oil salesman got his way once - the result was a disaster. Don’t let him do it again
And when the witchfinder gets to the end of the present list of witches, they will expand the definition of the witch to find new witches
No worries its often case people try and paint asylum seekers as 'illegal' when there is no such thing, asylum is a legal process in itself. Farage types will go there next if their 'small boats action' gains traction
AI isn't going to produce terminators and wipe out humans because it will not achieve the hyped sentience. It will result in deaths because it is guessing as if the world is predictable, as if its source of data isn't flawed and because people will blindly trust it as if it is sentient and expert
And when they cannot find 600k of asylum seekers for their quotas it will be legal migrants who become the new target then anyone they can scapegoat. They will need a scapegoat as nobody whose lives are promised to improve by this woll see improvement
It isn't about being thick when they are continually told by certain folks unchalenged their lives wouldbe better but for X. If people are unhappy and struggling it is an easy sell. It may pull on an existing prejudice or just play on something they are not informed about
To tar these people as if they are criminals. They may obtain a visa to visit family, they may even be studying here when their country has a change of regime / civil war or some other circumstance making return dangerous The small boats is just a focal device for the RW to abuse
Some people can come as tourists. What you have to realise is many in th boats have legitimate claims but no route to make them. Those that can come under their own steam and have legitimate claims often do and it should not prejudice their case. It isn't 'come todo care work' you seem awfully keen
Farage can't negotiate a milkshake free walk
Because most can't as they cannot qualify for any form of visa which would grant them entry to subsequently claim asylum. There were many more asylum claims last year than there were small boats asylum seekers. Look it up we had asylum claims before the small boats issue even existed
There are other asylum seekers than those making the crossing, there are those already here or those making an aylum claim after flying in on another type of visa or method of entry.
Perfect example is Yaxley-Lennon.In his mind it was not his fault he was sacked by an airport for having a criminal record it was the 9/11 terrorists making the gov change rules Same Farage spent years blaming feckless 'spongers' on dole, now magically wants to help them but for those asylum seekers
And when the small boats is 'fixed' and no change in people's lives is seen it will moveon to all asylum seekers, then all immigrantion and then anyone not fitting an ever smaller group of 'in people' in the eyes of those pushing this. Change to those complainings lives will be 0
Hate to add to the woes but also workplace pension age access is going up from 55 to 57 too and possibly again before most forty-somethings get there...
This sounds like the stepping stone to Pen-y-Fan and chippy tea sessions
Isn't this the plot of Amandaland?
No need to apologise this is the polite social media. I think he thought that treason applied only within Britain and Empire and his crimes were actually in Germany. Its the famous 'hung on a comma' case rather than 'not his subject' style defence History often treads similar paths though as you say