It’s actually not statistically impossible. The same thing happened with Biden in 2020. Those precincts are comprised of ultra Orthodox Jews who practice what is known as bloc voting as instructed by their rabbis. It’s a well known situation in Ramapo where these districts are located.
Ultimately, they need recounts and frankly, it should have been done before the election was certified, but that ship sailed. With everything they knew about Musk/Trump, I was flabbergasted Biden didn't pursue it. The data findings show abnormality with the swing states and Texas.
IIRC counties in NY perform risk limiting audits as a normal part of post election management, but recounts require strong evidence of a problem. And at least in Rockland County it hasn’t risen to that level. The Senate candidate who filed the suit got less than .2% of the vote.
I thought the hand recount had been ordered...? What am I missing?
That source in particular (Marijuana Times) is AI driven crap. The NYSC judge simply advanced the case and did not actually order a full hand recount. The plaintiffs are asking for a full hand recount as a remedy, but no judge has approved that action.
More repackaging of the one remaining plaintiff's paid press release posted to newswires being regurgitated as news by these crap papers
And why should believe you that the case is weak (from another of your posts in that other thread)? Apparently a large number of the Independent votes don't show in the vote totals at all, why isn't that suspect?
I have no idea what you're talking about. A handful of Sare's neighbors told Sare directly they voted for her. She got statements from a few more than the county reported. Were they being truthful (or polite)? Large number?
My weak statement in addition to the challenges with these neighbor claims, I see "smart" elections misrepresent the case. Add crap statistics and other things in PR releases, not their court filings Big red flag. 3 of 4 plaintiffs dropped out, red flag bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
Then watching Lulu's interviews you see her shift expectations, create new vlaims and promote other grifts. Red flag, weak case bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
@livinginthepnw.bsky.social what exactly is your claimed statistical impossibility? Do you have a post with your math?
The candidate who is named in the suit captured 0.2% of the vote. Most of the precincts gave her vote totals in the single digits. There aren’t a large number of independent votes missing in any numbers that I’ve seen but I’d like to know what you’re seeing
Affidavits like this, where she got maybe five votes in total but seven people told her they voted for her, are automatically suspect because there’s an inherent pressure in people telling the candidate what they want to hear. Anything else included in the lawsuit is just static.
bsky.app/profile/r5-t...
If you look up the precincts in Orange County NY you’ll find the exact same voting patterns for Harris in precincts comprised of these Hasidic Jews.
Not that I doubt what you’re saying but frankly that makes no sense…Why would they support the down ballot Dems only to abandon the presidential ticket to Reps? You’re telling me hundreds Hasidic Jews are the *entire* bloc and they ALL vote exactly as the Rabi says? Seems a stretch.
I’ll let you look it up yourself so you don’t accuse me of linking you biased info, but simply look up “Orthodox Jewish Bloc Voting” and you’ll see everything I’ve said is true,
Oh I’m not doubting it entirely it just seems wild to me that the *entire* district are orthodox Jews. Like there’s not a single non-Jew Dem voter in these districts that would have voted Harris? In one district there was over 1000 votes counted and she literally got one vote. Very odd.
The precincts in Ramapo are pretty small but I’m guessing you’ve not been there before? The Hasidic Jews are a massive part of the population which is how they’ve taken over the school board and local elected offices.
Wow, interesting. No, never been there. If you’re correct guess it’s not impossible. There is still this business of a large % of voting machines given an unannounced “update” weeks prior to election though. Highly suspect IMHO. Thx for the dialog. www.msn.com/en-us/politi...
So will you be deleting your "statistically impossible" posts as it seems you did no statistics and just saw low vote totals for Harris. Now you do that old goalpost moving attempt bsky.app/profile/dbma...
You’re welcome. Let’s continue to keep discussing as the case gets heard in three weeks.