Why does Ukraine fight alone? Why did the US bomb Iran? Why does Europe need the US? Why did the US promise security? Why does the West appease russia? It's the nukes stupid. It's the answer to almost any question that's puzzeling you.
Replies
I think people disregard nukes because acknowledge their existence freaks them out.
aug 28, 2025, 9:04 pm • 2 0 • view
Why does Iran call the US before launching ballistic missiles at their base in Qatar? Why does the US restrict Ukrainian weapons usage into russia? Why does the US restrict targeting (Tu-160 not allowed)? It's the nukes the stupid.
aug 28, 2025, 9:10 pm • 2 0 • view
"nukes" is certainly a significant part of it, but it is not "only nukes". trump is harming US security and power much more than iranian nukes ever could. We'll see this once china decides to make its move. "Let them hate, so long as they fear." is not a good strategy long term.
aug 28, 2025, 9:17 pm • 0 0 • view
Notice how I didn't bring up individuals once. Just pure power politics. Strategic interests. Pure realism. No fronts. No fiction.
aug 28, 2025, 9:19 pm • 0 0 • view
I did of course, that's "real politic", but it is only one way of looking at things, but it is not the only one.
aug 28, 2025, 9:21 pm • 0 0 • view
Iran would nuke Israel. The US would have to retaliate. It would be a mess. Very dangerous for the US.
aug 28, 2025, 9:25 pm • 0 0 • view
China wants russia to last against Europe until they move on Taiwan, as an insurance. The war weakens and distracts the US ofcourse and makes China alot of money, but it also insures the US can't go nuclear first, because not only China but also russia will simply go nuclear in response.
aug 28, 2025, 9:28 pm • 0 0 • view
I do not believe this. Israel has own nukes, and iran is a rational actor. They would live like Pakistan and India. I believe bombing iran was a major misstep in US policy (real politic wise). It tells every nation: build a nuke and us won't touch you. It was in the short term interest of Natanyahu.
aug 28, 2025, 9:28 pm • 0 0 • view
Clearly Israel and the US think differently.
aug 28, 2025, 9:32 pm • 0 0 • view
I'll actually concede this point. I too don't believe Iran would simply first strike Israel. But you can look at North Korea and see how it would change everything. Like russia, Iran would use its nuclear shield to cover its offensive operations.
aug 28, 2025, 9:49 pm • 0 0 • view
I do believe russia committed a suicide with this war, so I do not think this is a good example to follow.
aug 28, 2025, 9:55 pm • 0 0 • view
Israel Iran is different. They don't border and Iran extensively deploys proxy forces. Israel and the US wouldn't be able to strike Iran directly if it had nukes. Iran would be emboldened. And we know what they want.
aug 28, 2025, 9:58 pm • 0 0 • view
What I tried to bring up with trump is that human emotions (especially when it is an autocrat like trump or putin) influence the policy and future of the state quite significantly. I'd even argue much more than nukes.
aug 28, 2025, 9:25 pm • 0 0 • view
They're fronts. Actors. Literal tv personalities. Expendable. Insignificant. Grow up. Trump is the perfect president to appease Putin with.
aug 28, 2025, 9:31 pm • 0 0 • view
I'm being strict with you because you're so close and I believe in you.
aug 28, 2025, 9:33 pm • 0 0 • view
Your view can drive the policy if enough people in power believe in it, I'll give you that.
aug 28, 2025, 9:37 pm • 0 0 • view
Everyone believes in survival.
aug 28, 2025, 9:42 pm • 0 0 • view
If that was the case the government wouldn't be gutting CDC and denying climate change. "Everyone believes in what they believe increases their survival chances" is a more nuanced way of looking at this. "Letting russia fail" -> "Nuclear war" is not a guarantee, it is a probability based on beliefs
aug 28, 2025, 9:48 pm • 1 0 • view
Probabilities. Calculated risks. The US intends to win WWIII first. No use in funding research that won't complete before China invades Taiwan.
aug 28, 2025, 9:51 pm • 0 0 • view