Hi all, I published my latest newsletter earlier, where I provide a technical analysis of the 9M729 to show that even without access to classified information it's clear that Russia has been lying. Access the post via this link: missilematters.substack.com/p/the-morat... Short summary below. 1/7
Buddy, dont let that russian simp Pavel Podvig see this. Dude is going to go balistic.
Too late 🤣🤣🤣🤣 bsky.app/profile/russ...
Homie couldnt hold back, had to simp.
THE WORTHLESS RAT IS ON THIS SITE TOO!?!?!? ISN'T HE BUSY SIPPING MARGARITAS IN GENEVA AND TALKING ABOUT "LEGITIMATE RUSSIAN SECURITY INTERESTS" HE HAS TO FUCK MY DAY UP WITH HIS CONTINUED EXISTENCE HERE AS WELL???
Dude, newseek just asked for a comment from Dmitry Stefanovich, whos twitter bio contains the words "Odessa will be free". Hes also on here. bsky.app/profile/tava...
Surprise, surprise. Russia treaty malfeasance is as predictable as the sun rising in the east and setting in the west. That is why the proverb “Trust but verify” is really Russian in origin. After all they suspect everyone else also exploits advantage and obfuscates in any agreement like they do.
Russia is talking = Russia is lying
Russia has announced it will no longer abide by its self-imposed INF moratorium. Of course, it was never in a position to credibly claim adherence in the first place, given its continued deployment of the 9M729 cruise missile, which exceeds the INF range limits. 2/7
Russia has vehemently denied this, but even using open-source information, including the diameter and length figures Russia has itself provided, it is clear that something is deeply amiss with the missile. 3/7
My analysis suggests that a conservative estimate of the 9M729’s characteristics, particularly the size of its fuel tank, indicates a range of 1,400 to 1,700 kilometers, well above the 500-kilometer limit. 4/7
This analysis is robust. In fact, the only way the missile’s range would remain below the 500-kilometer threshold is if it carried a very small fuel tank relative to its overall size and/or if its efficient turbofan engine were replaced with a much less efficient turbojet. 5/7
Russia has not credibly demonstrated that either of these conditions applies. Therefore, the only prudent conclusion is that the missile’s range greatly exceeds the INF limits. 6/7
The U.S. decision to withdraw from the INF Treaty in 2019, after years of Russian noncompliance, was therefore entirely correct. Likewise, refusing to engage with Russia on its moratorium proposal has been the only reasonable course of action. 7/7
Tell me you have no idea how things in Russia work without saying you have no idea...
