Tivoboy

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s classic trumpian conflation or yes, lack of STM or FD.. at some point someone has told him we’re “going to tariff $8T in imports over 3 yrs.” And that’s all he can remember..or “need to lower fed funds BY 3%” at some point some1 told him lower it TO 3%..about 125bps from here. #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

He’s regressing back to his youth and childhood. It’s a solid sign of decay. #onlymatteroftime

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

#predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

When he is sick with something they don’t let him do the weekend Botox. (You think I’m kidding)

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Stupid is as stupid does

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

The counter factual is their narrative weapon of choice mostly because it’s, well IMPOSSIBLE to ever prove

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

The chant they shld really do is "How. Dumb. Are you?" There clearly is inflation and it's coming out of a US bank account somewhere

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Ftr. When the universal tariffs were put into place I said they were unconstitutional but it was going to take time to make it through the courts. One more court but I’ll be very surprised if the SC overrules this appeals court. But I’ll eat a shoe if they do #thisoldshoe

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

GREAT album. How the heck old are you?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Most addicts do switch to the other hand after the veins in one start to collapse. Sadly (really?) this tends to lead to more systemic clotting. I’ve heard that is #bad

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

WINNING! #MAFGAB (make American farmers get another bailout) #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Thanks. I was trying to be facetious. I failed.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

#predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s probably ok. She told us she was packing.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Solar doesn’t work “it’s a scam”

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I”up and to the right. Isn’t that the desired directional change for these things?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

“There IS NO inflation!”

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Stupid is as stupid does. My momma always used to say.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

WINNING!!!

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

What happened to Two Weeks?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Let’s just call it like it is and rename it “Olypiastadion”. Oh and the banners need to be longer

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Probably not just signed but sealed and delivered. ;-).

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

What ppl aren’t really realizing here is that this is the next logical step on the path to PRIVATIZE AMTRAK (aka give it to his rich friends) Then comes the FHA then comes Social Security. It’s all in project 2025 folks. #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

It’s all about the Benjamins baby! Where’s that on your top 20 hits

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Only the best and brightest.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

And apparently inflation has fallen to “1.9%”. But those words came out of the sec of the treasury mouth. Where did they come from or was that a slip of this weeks report?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

The man CAN speak. I’ll give him that. And it’s not all full of polysyllabic words. Its words strung together so even ppl who can only remember three word sentences and slogans could grasp.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Wait till the tanks show up! I tell you the #OI is going to starve them of tax base. #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Is they why there was nobody. NO BODY in DC this past weekend?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Starve the city of tax revenue. Gotta take it over. #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Oil and gas industry. Duh. Most red states. Duh. Secretary of Energy. Duh. And it scares many away from making any investments in renewables now and in the future. Duh. #stupidisasstupiddoes #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Well at least we have a number now. Companies can start to shore up treasuries waiting for the govt to call

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

You give me 20 minutes (let alone 9 hours) with the audio file and I can make the entire conversation say anything you want. And neither party is going to say a word. She wants a pardon and trump and circus just want it all to go away. #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

And what again exactly is his history in business?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I remember this type of thing from my AP European history classes. What was it again. Hmmm??

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I’ve seen this movie before. As I recall act 3 has a bunch of books burning in the streets and a bunch of broken glass and shop windows. I wonder how they will update it for the 21st century. How quickly we forget

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Take 1.5-2m ppl out of the workforce and yep you’ll see wage inflation at the same time we have rising goods inflation - which then as well leads to more wage inflation. How quickly we forget.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Last day to sign up for Chase SR card with MASSIVE points bonus PLUS it will have Apple TV+ and Apple Music Subs for FREE. #rundontwalk

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

We knew that pretty quickly. 1-2 qtr at MOST companies would re-prioritize earnings and margins

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Yeah but how many of them are fed governers

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Welp it was a good 249 year run. We’ve now found the threshold.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

What a difference a week makes

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Every American needs to watch Wag the Dog. There’s for sure a Firefly girl in his past.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

This is construction not CONSTRUCTED. Makes total sense no?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

#sad #diss

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Ppl are going to LOSE THEIR MINDS when U3 hits 4.4 by October (maybe even Sept). LOSE THEIR MINDS! July was already close to rousing to 3 but it was rounded DOWN from 4.2479. New BLS head that they will start just reporting a single integer going forward.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Is it correct if they are SITTING on one of those rolly shop stools while servicing and repairing a Patriot missile battery?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

The term I developed for this post 2008/2009 GFC was the “doomsday put”. And I’ve been slowly adding them I. The past feed weeks as $VIX has dropped

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I love that you love this. ;-)

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I meant the #OI. Sorry. I should have said “he” got nothing. Naaathing.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

LOSERRRRRRRR! Ya got nothing. Naaaarthing! Geez.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

What it tells ME is that he is clearly not competent or capable of sitting alone with Putin and not sucking on his toe (his own) and babbling during the meeting and his administration knows it and is trying to minimize damange.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

That it EVEN has to be SAID is ridonculous

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

This too will be “structural” and not cyclical. Sadly.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

When more than half the youngest generation Zeds has no interest in alcohol you know you’ve got a structural problem.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Wasn’t this movie called RED DAWN

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Clearly you’re not buying the bread in the household. Prices are up ~ 15%

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

For coffee. You have to be on the lookout for ANY sales and buy volume at the time. Then put it in a zip lock and in the freezer

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I caught that one too! But what was it? Certainly it can’t be the import price in NAFTA so it must be domestic labor costs due to “self deportation” ???

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

“I’m gonna make you an offer you can’t refuse”. Said in my best Tony Soprano voice

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

How much $trump coin maybe?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

TACOOOOOOOOOOHOOOHOOOHOOOO!

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social)

@carlquintanilla.bsky.social “when did you change your mind about the veracity of the data?” That’s the line of the century. (Wait a minute while I search for the clown emoji) I’ll just put this one in as a placeholder while I search 👊🇺🇸🔥

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

“THESE ARE FAKE NUMBERS!!!!!” THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I wish they had this chart back to 2008-2009

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Trade is happening everywhere - except the USA

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Rich get richer. #BBB

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

There’s going to be some GREAT buying opps here come December / January.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Do you think he’s read the congressional STATUTE and DIRECTIVE on this. Here’s what 29 U.S.C. § 2 states: “The Bureau of Labor Statistics shall also collect, collate, report, and publish at least once each month full and complete statistics of the volume of and changes in employment…”

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

“STOP THE TESTING”. No testing. No cases!

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

How much $trump coin was he required to buy? #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

First of all we’re only taking about about $80-90B at this point. By EOY it wouldn’t be more than ~ 260-270B. Not going to break anything and going back into the pockets of business or consumers would be MASSIVELY stimulating - hey maybe that’s the play here

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Everyone at the CBO has been fired!

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I told you WEEKS ago. 19th amendment is next.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Maybe he meant “I can see a Russia from Alaska!”

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Only question I have is just how much $Trump coin are they required to purchase

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Pardon my weekend French. What the actual F is this? Is there any precedent for this type of greenmail? #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

How’s that maternity leave going? Maybe a bit less coffee? ;-)

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Wait till they ship everything by boat. If the CANADA EU trading agreement starts to include Mexico, Well you can count on never having guacamole ever again.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

He’s giving Elon a run for his money but EM still wins with a 1000x return on capital employed. 250m deployed. 250 BILLION mkt cap increase

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

P A T H E T I C

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social)

@carlquintanilla.bsky.social how long does your time out last this time?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Is he going to replace her with Rubio?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

He’s just itchin’ to tweet “DEFCON”. Makes him feel potent. In the know and all that. I’m going to put a betting page up on a wager site.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

And don’t forget the BLS ALSO publishes the CPI data so if one is going to put in a yes man (and clear evidence it will only b a white male) they can fake the biggest two numbers there are right now.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

STOP TESTING! Remember that one?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Trust me. He and his cabinet have puts much lower than here for today’s opex

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Clearly the orange idiot and his friends have puts for today’s OPEX at lower levels. #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Pretty soon he’s going to let slip that we don’t really need the 19th amendment

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

This totally missed the news cycle yesterday and I’m not sure why. The HHS announcement by the OI were pretty significant.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social)

@stevekovach.bsky.social really liked that jacket you had this morning at the spaceship. DM me the detes pls.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I already started on this trade LAST WEEK! #predictthegrift

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

The brilliance in their plan execution is that well north of 90% of Americans either don’t care outright or have forgotten everything that happened more than 10-14 days ago.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

I wonder if he even understands that tariffs don’t shrink a TRADE DEFICIT

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Two weeks is just code for TACO. I’m still wondering how many more 24 hour periods it will take to end the war in Ukraine.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

“Two weeks” is just code for T.A.C.O. It’s also the amount of time it takes for an Israeli f-35 fighter pilot to get rated for a B2 bomber.

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Couldn’t they just buy some $trump coin and call it a day? I can just see how the Witcoff discussions will go. “So Steve just how many $trump coin is this going to cost us?”

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Does this flagpole make my hands look tiny?

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social)

“Come on Arkansans get out there and pick some tomatoes!”

Tivoboy (@tivoboy.bsky.social) reply parent

Up and to the right. Isn’t that what the market wants?