symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
unfortunate reality is for idealogical reasons difficult to see russ seeking to negotiate ever, this is not that kind of war, requires military victory, don't see them stopping until nato no fly zone or similar to stop their air power, and nato decision makers don't have that appetite for risk...yet
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
that's why you lose
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
think you're all missing the big picture, not an accident half of eu is looking at doing this, russia is very good at information warfare and they are preparing for a wider conflict with them, our information space is practically wide open, this is the first step in securing it
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
appreciate the reply, manosphere types do in fact say "men should be better at being attractive partners" they just have a different definition of what that is, and there is not much counter messaging targeting men feeling this way the, result of which is outcomes you probably don't like
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
because it appears to be politically potent and you want your side to win presumably
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
disagree, it is apparently a widespread feeling that your political opponents are using to gain followers, if you wanted to win rather than momentarily feel good you'd find a way to harness it
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
and while we're here, unpopular opinion: ST Enterprise is quite good
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
220m over 3 years meanwhile they get their 1.5B per year from the govt back, it's unclear what they're giving up lot's of it seem vague and undefined so maybe all symbolic and it goes through an independent mediator of some sort, might not be that bad
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
they appear to have gotten 95% of their money back in exchange for undefined symbolic concessions run through a third party intermediary, about as good as they could expect depending on how it holds up
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
needs to get to work on the epstein stuff
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
protest non voting for failed purity tests means you never win and never even start to approach whatever goals you have
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
and what happens if everybody does that on their personal pet issue?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
welcome back kotter on rewindtv currently
Wild Africa aims to “mainstream conservation” across the continent by using local ambassadors, pro bono media, and entertainment-based campaigns to build support for wildlife protection. Peter Knights believes that shifting cultural attitudes is essential to ensure lasting conservation outcomes.
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
prosecution framed the case poorly
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
not like they were hiding them...
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
because the reality is this plan of doing a couple strikes and then leaving never made any sense and is probably a prelude to a larger conflict
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
sure but this is because "the draft" has been a talking point in men's online spaces to attack establishment ideas like feminism and aid to ukraine, not sure how much counter messaging will actually help, worth a try I guess
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
fragmentalism, internet caters to bubbles, these bubbles rarely interact so when they do it is more extreme, once upon a time everybody watched one of 3 news programs and the local paper for information, caused moderation, now there are 1000s of sources
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
why are you trying to stop your opponent from making a political mistake?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
no expert but I read the mountains there have a number of tactical advantages, occupying it you remove radar blindspots
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
that's a shame
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
israel is past diplomacy though is the thing, so they can make a "deal" with the US but what good would it do
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
isr is attacking bc assad falling + rus busy gave them a strategic window, nuclear stuff is convenient cover, they are unlikely to stop, options are rein in your friend who has taken risk&rep hit to deal myb fatal damage to a regional enemy that is also to your strategic advantage in order to what?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
you are talking about things in the past not attached to the reality of the situation, they had no reason to trust a deal after the last one was ripped up and our deal maker in chief is not actually good at making deals plus the war has already started, a deal is a pipe dream, with a new govt maybe
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
loud mouthed and good at getting attention, those appear to be the most important qualifications
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
it's not attached to reality
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
really? don't like prognostication but the way I see it this is applying a cost to russia for their aggression, 2 longterm friendly regimes that pressure the west are going to topple because they can't afford to support them, could show china the utility of force but could also deter them
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
it's all the same conflict, iran aides russia, israel is able to do this because russia's partner in syria fell, the iran leadership falling will apply a cost to russia's aggression and possibly deter china from taiwan
Helping Paws, a local org that trains assistance dogs, confirms the Hortman’s family dog Gilbert died in the attack. Melissa was set to train him, but he became family instead. Helping Paws is starting a fund in their honor.
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
in fairness I've seen iranian opposition groups claim some of these online, some prisons have also been opened so there is destabilization stuff going on, though I'd expect these groups to be coordinating with isr intel
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
silver linings: will affect popularity, will occupy them, will divert attention from other potential military targets that don't serve our interest, may reduce russian influence in our politics, would apply more cost to russia and deterrence to china
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
that makes no sense, iran was known to have a large ballistic missile and drone capacity, they could not have expected to stop all of them, it was priced it
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
don't think he did, they were saying a couple weeks at first and that there would be "difficult moments" dealing with missiles, no expert but what I've read the plan seems like a flexible tree to me, use the window before iran can normalize with a deal or reestablish deterrence, no obvious end point
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
I'm no expert but I don't see why anyone thinks there will be a ceasefire at this point, the israeli leadership is against a nuclear deal in any form so what can be offered that would make them relent?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
exactly, everybody talking about deescalation and deals is paying lip service at best, to the point I suspect some are just giving narrative cover bc they can't possibly be so naive, it's very clear that this is not about deals it's about removing a perceived threat while the window is still open
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
yes, given the risks and backlash, this seems like a "go all the way" plan
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
it doesn't, it does say something about more asvab testing in schools though
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
there's not going to be a draft
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
unprovoked??
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
the israeli jets doing laps through iranian airspace unmolested while they pick off every target they want disagrees with that
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
see I think involvement here would make Greenland less likely
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
it's been reported the 10/7 attack was planned with hezbollah's help for years, this Israeli assault is all still part of the same thing
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
can't really say that when they've been attacking through proxies for years and their worst attack ever came from an attack planned with their proxy
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
you think they called the Voice of America Farsi speakers back just for some Israeli airstrikes?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
1 bc they suspended their nuke program in 2002/3, 2 no because the Iran leadership right now is aligned with China and Russia 3 you are not using enough imagination, you think they called back the Voice of America Farsi speakers just for Israeli airstrikes? Rs have wanted an iran war for decades
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
if what they're doing is successful it will be very strategically beneficial to the west so we're inclined to help yeah
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
because one side creates narratives and enemies and the other doesn't, it just reacts, they have no initiative
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
you will not achieve your political goals without people you consider to be problems
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
purity testing like this is why the left lose, you're snapping at someone on your side
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
because it's strategically advantageous
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
at minimum strike the underground nuclear facilities that (from what I've read) they don't have the capability to hit, but imo they would like boots on the ground, could also just be they didn't like the direction of the talks and decided chaos is better than the possibility of a deal
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
which is why none of this makes particular sense without an invasion and I think their ultimate goal is to entice this US admin into helping them with that, though I suppose if you didn't like the direction of the current talks then chaos is better than a deal
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
seems to me the number 1 idea is to get the US to help them, I don't see any other way this "works" in the long term
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
1 removing regime does probably help geopolitically long term 2 will keep these jokers busy and reduce amount they do to us 3 will probably make them very unpopular eventually
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
drank the aftershave
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
from what I've seen there have been labor strikes in iran this week which now seem suspiciously timed
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
they are supposedly in the middle of widespread protests from teachers, water workers etc that now seem suspiciously timed
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
why should? I've seen others say this, in your thinking these strikes will spur iran to pursue nukes faster and a nuclear capable iran would be another obstacle in tensions with russia and china, won't they want to prevent that?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
which you then use as a motivator to get other partners to join you in greater action
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
how will it be nuclear when iran doesn't have nukes?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
israel is doing it for the obvious reasons and a number of allied parties are cool with it because a nuclear armed iran would be very inconvenient for any future great power tension with china, russia, etc
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
a number of parties don't want iran to get nukes, the rest is theater
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
this was already true after Ukraine
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
right, because part of iran's capacity is underground and not strike-able (as far as I've seen, I'm no expert) so if you actually want to stop that possibility permanently your most obvious option is regime change
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
iran has been close to being nuclear capable, this is an existential threat to israeli grand strategy and they're going to go pretty far to try to prevent it, people have been saying this for years, decent chance there will be US boots on the ground
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
I mean the realpolitik is that they/we don't want iran to be nuclear capable for a variety of reasons and if this lessens the chance of that then they'll support it, everything else is theater
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
short answer: no
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
neither you get that they're trying to drag us into it
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
what does that have to do with the matter at hand? enemy of my enemy is my friend
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
a small dedicated group and 50.5% of the electorate you mean? the reality is if you are purity testing for any issue other than the issue at hand then you are not maximizing your chance of success
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
stop the circular firing squad, you think this is going to be solved with zero anti-choice people on your side?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
this was started by a guy from border patrol, what legal authority does border patrol have to remove people from press conferences?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
think the broader point is if they wanted him there he'd still be there, this went forward because that wasn't the case
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
see what I'm seeing is the left needs more churches, cult leads to culture
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
fight against what, what is the theory of victory
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
the optics argument is not for him it's for checked out onlookers
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
seems you're wrong, yougov polling this morning is showing ~20% of respondents "don't know how to feel" about marines being deployed for protests, that's a sizeable amount of swayable people
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
but the checked out people you should be trying to win over don't know that, that's the point, do you want to win or do you want to feel good?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
Iron Blooded is next level
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
I mean a lot of people are self-righteous and detached from reality imo but just ignore or block them
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
first dem to do their best dice clay impression on stage wins
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
this is a strawman, for the major accounts I've seen doing anything like this 1) it wasn't their first instinct it's been 2 days of this 2) are criticizing so the protests are more likely to have their desired effect and not help people they oppose
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
the many people who don't even know anything like that is happening..
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
that you think these things are related is the whole problem, this is not about forces on the ground at all, it is about what a checked out person on the sideline takes away, and the message is more likely to be the one you want if protestors are holding american flags, this is obvious
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
if you believe saying US flags would be better at a US protest is racist...then you are detached from reality
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
that's more a statement about you in this moment than them then..
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
people were looking up if biden was still running after the election...you have no idea how checked out many people are, if you're seeing this stuff on bsky you are in the 99th percentile of informed people
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
which was stolen from the kizh and cahuilla...
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
are there national reports of "rioting" by an invading army on st. patrick's day?
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
it is the attention economy effect, outrage triggers eyes and reaction more than sense and decency which rewards media targeting the lowest common denominator and basest instincts
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
it's pointless to talk to these people Tom, they just want to feel self-righteous
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
not about them, about everyday folks at home wondering how to feel
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
without AI their bubble will burst, the reality is tech is a legacy industry now just like the IBMs of the world they originally disrupted in the 90s, social media and the like are hitting diminishing returns, there is no more up to go to without this
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
waving American flags if you're trying to garner support from fellow Americans is obvious stuff
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
to show that you're red blooded americans being abused and not invaders like your political opponents say you are which is the entire justification for their actions in the first place, this is obvious stuff
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
governor is much different than senator for that issue
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
but the feud started publicly over the bill, they're all related things
symbiocracy.bsky.social (@symbiocracy.bsky.social) reply parent
doesn't have the charisma to hold that circus together