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Taniel

@taniel.bsky.social

Daniel Nichanian. Editor in chief of @boltsmag.org (follow us!). Elections, (local) politics, voting rights, criminal justice, and drag race.

created April 28, 2023

205,617 followers 362 following 6,868 posts

view profile on Bluesky

Posts

Profile picture Tim Muth (@timmuth.bsky.social) reposted

A good report about how the federal SCAAP program feeds data into ICE deportation machine. Some quotes from me about how we analyzed it in Wisconsin.

1/9/2025, 9:19:22 PM | 25 14 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

This November?

2/9/2025, 2:59:41 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

for people living many other places… this is probably a program where you live too

1/9/2025, 11:00:28 PM | 35 6 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

for Oakland residents: what’s being done in your county

1/9/2025, 10:52:43 PM | 114 48 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

A ballot measure in Maine that would add new restrictions on mail voting would have an outsize effect in this state, where the average age is the highest of any state in the country and there is a high incidence of disability.

1/9/2025, 5:30:11 PM | 85 41 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Jen Bendery (@jbendery.bsky.social) reposted

Photo passed along from a federal employee from inside the Dept of Labor building, where a giant Orwellian image of Trump's face is now draped outside. Big Brother is watching.

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1/9/2025, 6:56:58 PM | 3694 1052 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

Lorelei Cloud was born 3 years before Native Americans living on tribal lands in Colorado were guaranteed the right to vote. She is now vice chair of the Southern Ute Tribe. “I don’t want future generations to have to deal with any of what we’ve had to.”

31/8/2025, 7:00:14 PM | 243 69 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture The Associated Press (@apnews.com) reposted

Pope Leo XIV met with one of the most prominent advocates for greater LGBTQ+ inclusion in the Catholic Church. The Rev. James Martin said Leo told him that he intended to continue Pope Francis’ policy of LGBTQ+ acceptance in the church and encouraged him to keep up his advocacy.

1/9/2025, 2:00:18 PM | 2863 652 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Eric Umansky (@ericumansky.bsky.social) reposted

Federal agents in DC have been starting dangerous car cases for small stuff like tinted windows. The chases violate DC police policy. Out of 10 cases, six ended in a crash. One car had a minor in back. www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...

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31/8/2025, 7:31:32 PM | 814 355 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

how Mitchell describes the prior system that Trump wants to bring back: "You had Black folks being cycled through in shackles. You had prosecutors, defense attorneys, and judges speaking really quickly. We had people haggling about money. And again, the hearings would last about a minute."

31/8/2025, 5:37:01 PM | 91 34 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

When Philly’s reform DA Larry Krasner defeated challenger Pat Dugan in the May Democratic primary, it looked like he’d have no November foe. But Dugan is still running: He’ll be on the fall ballot as the GOP nominee.

31/8/2025, 2:30:00 PM | 59 17 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Daily Trix (@dailytrix.bsky.social) reposted

He might as well issue an Executive Order that says votes cast for Democratic candidates won't be counted.

31/8/2025, 4:31:14 AM | 164 20 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Note that voter ID tends to do well when put to voters… but sometimes it hasn’t: boltsmag.org/arizona-reje...

31/8/2025, 4:49:29 AM | 78 13 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

A piece from me a few months ago on what voter ID (when issued by state lawmakers) looks like in practice: boltsmag.org/indiana-bann...

31/8/2025, 4:31:23 AM | 125 25 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Trump said tonight he is going to issue an executive order purporting to require enforcement of voter ID rules: www.nytimes.com/2025/08/31/u... The president has no such authority to order how elections are conducted.

31/8/2025, 4:29:06 AM | 1659 428 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Ah, how was the experience of the exhibition? Apparently the movie is a different (and shorter) cut of the exhibition segments.

31/8/2025, 4:28:10 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

I realize all this sounds a bit like a fever dream.

31/8/2025, 4:24:02 AM | 56 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Also, those were were the creepiest puppets I've ever seen. For those for whom this'll mean something, the funeral dada scene, the alien ballet scene, & the Jim Jarmush classroom scene were real highlights.

31/8/2025, 4:23:31 AM | 34 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Totally real!

31/8/2025, 4:16:00 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Have people seen the movie Manifesto, where Cate Blanchett recites manifestos about art for 90 minutes? An odd one but parts of it are visually stunning, and (old news I know, but I just watched her for that long) but her screen presence is so captivating.

31/8/2025, 4:12:12 AM | 132 8 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture la-crystal.bsky.social (@la-crystal.bsky.social) reposted

My small subscription to Bolts is WELL worth it!

30/8/2025, 9:38:20 PM | 46 7 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Justin Levitt (@justinlevitt.bsky.social) reposted

“We’re not even a voting rights advocacy organization, but we’ve had to become one.” That refrain’s going to be awfully familiar over this next stretch.

30/8/2025, 3:24:45 PM | 139 38 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

"There is a very strong organizing community in this city and in this region, and I hope that you see from our legislative leaders a desire to not live in a tyrannical state." On Chicago. boltsmag.org/chicago-publ...

31/8/2025, 12:42:57 AM | 198 58 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Mathew Helman (@mathelman.bsky.social) reposted

Elections don't *just* matter - they are literally life & death determinants. And not just national elections - local, rubber-meets-the-road elections... like this:

30/8/2025, 7:54:23 PM | 71 25 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

No, not at all. It’s all about no one having anything close to a majority in parliament and disagreements over the debt and budget.

31/8/2025, 12:29:11 AM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Le Pen can’t run personally indeed but the stakes of that are more for the presidential election of 2027 (unless Macron resigns early)

30/8/2025, 9:56:03 PM | 8 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

(You’ll remember Macron stunned everyone by dissolving the Assembly in June of 2024 for no reasons whatsoever. It took a lot of alliances and strategic voting, fire against Macron’s wishes, for the left and center parties to prevent the far-right from winning — but the chamber ended up very split.)

30/8/2025, 9:48:22 PM | 78 5 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

The thing is: Macron, the president, has to decide whether to call early elections. And the collapse of his bloc to just 13.5% implies he could face a wipeout. So that really suggests he’ll try everything to not call elections. But the political crisis could escalate enough he feeels compelled to.

30/8/2025, 9:46:50 PM | 76 4 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Big Qs here are if left manages to ally again as it did in 2024 (definitely will be tricky), & if Macron’s party & the conservatives (who have been governing together) ally. The whole R1 stakes is to see who makes it to runoffs to face the far-right, which would be in a position to win again.

30/8/2025, 9:45:02 PM | 60 5 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

As a national poll of what’s a two-round system per district, it’s hard to project. But here’s what the poll shows: The leading far-right party at 31%. The Left Bloc’s two halves at 16.5% & at 10%. Macron’s party at just 13.5%. And the traditional conservatives at 10%.

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30/8/2025, 9:42:49 PM | 97 23 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

People who followed me in mid-2024 already know I follow French elections very closely; and it’s possible there may be new parliamentary elections this fall as the government is about to collapse next week. So we just got a first poll of a possible election… and it’s predictably messy. (1/?)

30/8/2025, 9:40:57 PM | 277 55 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

It's pretty clear that the state's Dem Party put more effort in defeating India Walton in 2021, than in finding a challenger to this GOP sheriff.

30/8/2025, 7:29:32 PM | 134 25 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Buffalo is the site of a human rights crisis — a constant stream of deaths in the local jails. The sheriff who oversees it (a Republican in a Harris-voting county) is up for reelection this year, but he is running entirely unopposed. We report here—don't look away from these spaces.

30/8/2025, 7:27:04 PM | 227 111 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

If you want a broader article on WHY these matter… rather than the more technical state-by-state guide…: here’s the accompanying article! boltsmag.org/what-to-know...

30/8/2025, 6:10:15 PM | 45 16 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

State supreme courts are so important right now. We put together a guide of every single high court: it answers 20 questions for each state! Crucial resource for people who care or work on this!

30/8/2025, 5:59:14 PM | 241 92 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

A Maine ballot measure restricting mail voting could have an outsize effect on older folks. “We’re not even a voting rights advocacy organization, but we’ve had to become one,” says the director of the Maine Council on Aging.

30/8/2025, 1:00:21 PM | 158 60 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Dylan Hayre (@dylanhayre.bsky.social) reposted

Few people have a greater degree of influence or more direct control over your local #criminaljustice system than your elected #DistrictAttorney. These #elections define so much about who we are as a country. Thank you, @boltsmag.org for pulling this info together. boltsmag.org/2025-prosecu...

29/8/2025, 11:23:07 PM | 49 26 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Thank you for sharing!

30/8/2025, 2:07:43 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

A Democratic candidate for prosecutor in Virginia wants lawmakers to ban ICE agents from operating while masked or while concealing their identities; she says she’d then prosecute those who don’t comply.

29/8/2025, 10:00:00 PM | 1569 286 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

big news out of Missouri

29/8/2025, 11:30:00 PM | 96 41 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

don't sleep on what's happening in prosecutor races!

29/8/2025, 11:29:29 PM | 386 93 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

"We are well suited to resist this. We have the experience of fighting misinformation around 2023. There is a very strong organizing community in this city and in this region... ... and I hope that you see from our legislative leaders a desire to not live in a tyrannical state."

29/8/2025, 9:06:52 PM | 85 28 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Though it's not really overstated since it specifically says "Democratic-appointed justice" rather than "Democratic justice"

29/8/2025, 9:05:04 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

thanks :)

29/8/2025, 8:29:46 PM | 25 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture KMG365 (@starbucksgirl51.bsky.social) reposted

Conservatives in Maine have placed a measure on the Maine ballot *this* November that'd restrict the ease of voting in a lot of ways,most notably, with new barriers to voting by mail. (The rules would be in place by next year's key Senate race) boltsmag.org/maine-questi...

29/8/2025, 5:43:43 PM | 18 17 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

People discovering me through this thread since it was uplifted... ... welcome to lots of coverage of local politics & democracy! ... make sure to follow @boltsmag.org too! we have a cool newsletter where you'll learn a lot: boltsmag.org/newsletter

29/8/2025, 8:29:02 PM | 95 9 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Molly Jong-Fast (@mollyjongfast.bsky.social) reposted

I follow @taniel.bsky.social for his excellent state level analysis on elections

29/8/2025, 6:01:51 PM | 1034 147 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

A Michigan Republican justice retired earlier this year, to be replaced by the Democratic governor, & comparatively so much less!

29/8/2025, 4:51:57 PM | 112 6 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

I'm convinced Wisconsin's supreme court gets more attention than all other state supreme courts combined. A justice announced she won't seek reelection in 9 months and we have dozens of articles pop up in one hour. What other state would get this?

29/8/2025, 4:51:30 PM | 215 23 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

For those who are new to the Wisconsin supreme court, a reminder of the high-profile race that liberals won in April: boltsmag.org/wisconsin-su...

29/8/2025, 4:49:15 PM | 140 13 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Bradley says she is retiring because being on the court is not "the best path to rebuild the conservative movement," which feels like quite a thing to say outloud as a sitting judge. (Though not surprising.)

29/8/2025, 4:41:22 PM | 566 58 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

More retirement news: Conservative Wisconsin justice Rebecca Bradley will NOT seek reelection next spring. Liberals (as you all know now) have a 4-3 majority on this high-stakes supreme court. This is their shot to go up 5-2, in April.

29/8/2025, 4:40:06 PM | 1078 214 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Credit to @the-downballot.com's amazing tracking for those legislative shifts!

29/8/2025, 4:37:58 PM | 228 17 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Iowa Senator Joni Ernst is not seeking reelection in 2026: www.cnn.com/2025/08/29/p... Iowa swung hard to the right starting in 2016, but the 3 special elections that have happened in Iowa so far in 2025 have swung toward Dems by 22, 24, & 26 percentage points. Two seats have flipped blue.

29/8/2025, 4:37:21 PM | 4293 866 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Chicago's chief public defender on what bail hearings looked like before Illinois abolished cash bail a few years ago. if you missed it: Trump is now blackmailing Illinois to end this reform or lose federal funds. boltsmag.org/chicago-publ...

What were the motivations for Illinois ending cash bail? Back when it required cash payments pretrial release, what were the effects? When I worked on criminal justice policy, one thing I would do sometimes is court watching: I would take concerned members of the community to 26th and California [a courthouse], and we would watch court. And it was always fascinating to see people who were not lawyers; the way some people described it, it looked kind of like a slave auction. You had Black folks being cycled through in shackles. You had prosecutors, defense attorneys, and judges speaking really quickly. We had people haggling about money. And again, the hearings would last about a minute.
29/8/2025, 4:01:06 PM | 123 58 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

NEW: Trump this week issued an order to withhold federal funds from cities & states that restrict the use of cash bail. Illinois has fully ended cash bail, & Chicago's public defender responds to Trump: 'this is tyranny 101." He explains why cash bail was a disaster. Well worth reading:

29/8/2025, 3:31:06 PM | 291 131 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

So, New Hampshire's only Democratic-appointed justice is retiring. Ayotte has nominated his replacement, a lawyer with ties to GOP politics. www.nhpr.org/nh-news/2025...

29/8/2025, 3:21:49 PM | 112 45 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture TrumpsTaxes (@trumpstaxes.com) reposted

There will be a crucial voting rights referendum on the ballot in Maine this November in what will be the first true test in Trump's war on mail voting. EVERYONE IN MAINE needs to be made aware of 'Question 1'. Here is a @boltsmag.org deep dive on the subject. boltsmag.org/maine-questi...

29/8/2025, 2:28:15 PM | 51 33 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture The TRiiBE (@thetriibe.com) reposted

NEW — Black organizers and elected leaders gathered today to denounce Trump’s threats to send military forces to Chicago. They are developing a 30-day emergency response plan, which includes establishing mutual aid hubs and Know Your Rights training sessions. thetriibe.com/2025/08/blac...

28/8/2025, 10:54:07 PM | 907 335 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Lucy Parsons Labs (@lucyparsonslabs.com) reposted

Evanston has confirmed that it is deactivating its Flock ALPRs after many reports IL police were illegally sharing data with ICE and other federal agencies. content.govdelivery.com/accounts/ILE...

27/8/2025, 12:34:10 AM | 390 120 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

for freelance reporters!

29/8/2025, 1:03:38 AM | 109 44 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture lombos.bsky.social (@lombos.bsky.social) reposted reply parent

Maine has a very accessible election procedure and it shows: the state is always one of the highest for turnout. That's wht he R's want to restrict voting. I've volunteered in every presidential election for 40+ years and most state-level, and got qualified to handle absentee ballots.

27/8/2025, 11:46:44 PM | 65 5 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Alex Burness (@burness.bsky.social) reposted

Maine has the oldest population of any state and a high rate of disability. Question 1, on the November ballot, figures to make voting (especially by mail) much harder for many, and particularly for older folks and people with disabilities. New in @boltsmag.org: boltsmag.org/maine-questi...

27/8/2025, 2:20:47 PM | 242 114 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Gulley Jimson's Sense of Decorum (@proteanme.bsky.social) reposted

Maybe I'm blinkered, but shouldn't mail-in ballots be postage paid? Isn't requiring a stamp technically a poll tax?

28/8/2025, 4:50:44 PM | 123 27 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

Michael Broadway died from an asthma attack on a scorching day inside an Illinois prison. Witnesses said a nurse didn't want to climb the stairs to his cell. A friend in a nearby cell put it plainly: “staff in these prisons DO NOT see us as human beings.”

28/8/2025, 2:30:05 PM | 477 196 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

Bolts is always seeking to work with freelancers to report on critical voting rights and criminal justice stories across the United States. If you have a story that you think would fit Bolts, here is how to pitch us:

28/8/2025, 4:00:05 PM | 38 22 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

A brand new email I woke up to this morning: "I’d like to pitch a story for Bolts on how county jail policies in [County/State] are quietly disenfranchising legally eligible voters."

28/8/2025, 1:54:01 PM | 41 3 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture The Downballot (@the-downballot.com) reposted

Essential deep dive into an under-the-radar, but important, election this fall in Maine.

27/8/2025, 3:53:03 PM | 115 53 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Aaron Reichlin-Melnick (@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social) reposted

🚨Border Patrol arrested two firefighters who were actively fighting a wildfire at the time. When the other members of the crew asked for a chance to say goodbye, a Border Patrol agent told the crew member “you need to get the f*ck out of here. I’m going to make you leave.”

28/8/2025, 2:51:50 AM | 5962 3335 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

This is the coalition fighting to protect mail voting in Maine: it’s formed in the context of the upcoming ballot measure that’d kneecap that option. We covered the fight today at Bolts: boltsmag.org/maine-questi...

28/8/2025, 12:55:26 AM | 124 45 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

Manhattan’s Democratic DA, Alvin Bragg, brought Donald Trump to trial last year. This fall he faces two challengers who oppose his policies to reduce jail time and low-level prosecutions.

27/8/2025, 5:30:00 PM | 60 21 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

More info down in the thread!

27/8/2025, 9:25:19 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Corey Frayer (@csfrayer.bsky.social) reposted

Here's what the third day of elementary school looked like in Mount Pleasant, Washington DC.

27/8/2025, 8:22:22 PM | 5349 2632 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture zenmuppet (@zenmuppet.bsky.social) reposted

Maine folks, take note.

27/8/2025, 2:17:24 PM | 68 25 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

it's very frustrating!

27/8/2025, 4:57:47 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

I long had no idea what is going on here, but lately there's been some news about several publications retracting articles they'd published upon suspicion that there were AI written. So clearly there's a cottage industry of fake pitches where people presumably expect to be paid? Very odd.

27/8/2025, 4:43:25 PM | 135 10 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

At Bolts, we are sometimes submerged with evidently fake pitches from evidently fake writers, where the email is evidently written entirely by AI. One email we just got includes the sentence: "This story is locally grounded in [specific county or city]."

27/8/2025, 4:42:25 PM | 206 16 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

@burness.bsky.social reports on how this would greatly affect people with disabilities and older voters. My favorite quote: boltsmag.org/maine-questi...

“We’re not even a voting rights advocacy organization, but we’ve had to become one,” Jess Maurer, executive director of the Maine Council on Aging, told Bolts.
27/8/2025, 2:15:21 PM | 65 20 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

NEW: Conservatives in Maine have placed a measure on the Maine *this* November that'd restrict the ease of voting in a lot of ways — notably, with new barriers to voting by mail. (The rules would be in place by next year's key Senate race.) Learn more:

27/8/2025, 1:59:10 PM | 429 218 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Bolts (@boltsmag.org) reposted

New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy in December granted clemency to three incarcerated women who were survivors of abuse. Lauren Gill reports on the long advocacy that went into his decision:

26/8/2025, 10:00:05 PM | 286 65 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Yonah Freemark (@yonahfreemark.com) reposted

Arizona's new law allows property owners to request a refund if they claim that homeless people have caused costs to them. But not all cities are responding by penalizing homeless people. In South Tucson, the city council is fighting back with measures to expand support for them.

24/8/2025, 11:10:49 PM | 134 31 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Two former police chiefs ran for mayor in August. Both lost. In fact, neither even made the runoff. In Detroit, James Craig (the only Republican in the race & a frequent fixture on Fox News during the BLM protests) got 5%. In Mobile, tonight, Paul Prine finished third, a year after he was fired.

27/8/2025, 3:28:03 AM | 414 67 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

UPDATE: The fist batch of results have the GOP candidate leading 54% to 46%. This is over 53K votes already; roughly 59K were cast in the June primary, so I wouldn't expect a ton more—this is looking like a GOP hold.

27/8/2025, 3:13:48 AM | 125 16 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Krasner is facing a Democrat-turned-Republican-nominee in the general election *this* November, btw. (boltsmag.org/2025-prosecu...)

27/8/2025, 3:02:17 AM | 281 66 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Election night isn't over yet: there's also a special election in California. This (state Assembly) district is even redder than the Iowa one, and looked harder to flip for Dems based on the primary results, but polls just closed & we'll have early returns soon enough.

27/8/2025, 3:01:20 AM | 595 82 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture The Downballot (@the-downballot.com) reposted reply parent

The four IA specials this year have been in eastern Iowa and western Iowa; rural Iowa and urban Iowa; Dem districts and Republican districts. And they've all seen very similar overperformances: 22, 24, 25 & 26 points. This is not good news for the GOP's hopes of holding #IAGov & #IASen.

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27/8/2025, 1:56:21 AM | 570 142 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Folks, my usual election night post: if you appreciate our coverage of these local elections at Bolts, … consider becoming a donor or subscriber to support it! boltsmag.org/donate … & even if it’s not the right time for that, sign up for our free newsletter to be informed: boltsmag.org/newsletter

27/8/2025, 2:21:37 AM | 153 44 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

Woodbury County, the Iowa county in which district that flipped tonight is entirely located, split roughly evenly in the 2008 & 2012 presidential races. Then, huge swing: Trump won it by 17% in 2016 & 23% in 2024. The district, about half of county, swung 21% to Dems today compared to last year.

27/8/2025, 2:14:58 AM | 572 118 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Argh, my apologies for the typos in the first post: Her name is Catelin Drey, and Democrats flipped a state Senate SEAT. (My sense is this is clear enough from the context and people’s replies… but I can delete if that feels unclear.)

27/8/2025, 2:10:33 AM | 235 27 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

More context here… bsky.app/profile/tani...

27/8/2025, 1:38:44 AM | 232 31 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

NEW RESULT: Democrats have flipped a state Senate in Iowa. This was a seat Trump carried by 11%, but Democratic nominee Catherine Drey has just won it by 10.4%. This is the second legislative flip by Dems in Iowa this year. It also means the GOP loses its supermajority in Iowa’s senate.

27/8/2025, 1:35:54 AM | 6097 1171 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

More info here: bsky.app/profile/tani...

27/8/2025, 1:30:01 AM | 105 13 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Democrat Barbara Drummond & Republican Spiro Cheriogotis will face off in late September.

27/8/2025, 1:19:34 AM | 395 43 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

ELECTION RESULT from Alabama: Paul Prine, the former police chief of Mobile who was fired last year while facing a damning report about his department’s use of force against Black residents, has lost the mayoral race. He came in third, and will not move forward to the September runoff.

27/8/2025, 1:17:49 AM | 9854 1625 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social) reply parent

Bartiste withdrew in June!

27/8/2025, 1:15:28 AM | 17 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

RETURNS: it’s a very close race for the second runoff spot in Mobile. Drummond, the only Dem in the race, is ahead with 34% of the vote with half of vote in. For the second spot, the conservative former police chief, Prine, is at 23%, right behind Republican Cheriogotis 24%.

27/8/2025, 12:47:13 AM | 156 21 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

The first public poll of Ohio’s Senate race is from Emerson, and it has has Sherrod Brown, now a challenger rather than incumbent, down 6%. Vivek leads a governor’s race by 10. ohiocapitaljournal.com/2025/08/26/o...

27/8/2025, 12:34:25 AM | 124 31 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

I feel like I haven’t had to keep an eye on election returns from Alabama since that night in 2017, arguably the wildest election night / result in the last decade

26/8/2025, 11:44:07 PM | 185 25 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture Taniel (@taniel.bsky.social)

this is a 🔥 quote from a local city councilor in Arizona who faced, *and survived,* a recall effort for lifting up mutual aid efforts rather than policing

26/8/2025, 11:16:15 PM | 244 74 | View on Bluesky | view