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abellia.bsky.social

@abellia.bsky.social

created November 15, 2024

75 followers 154 following 743 posts

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Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

That's not really the point, is it? Why not make it *more* accessible? You do you, but know that you're likely to turn off some would-be readers.

1/9/2025, 6:01:36 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Sortition? Can't have a discussion when you use words that 99% of people don't understand.

1/9/2025, 4:06:40 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Some rural hospitals are more important simply because other options are far away. It's not a cost/benefit thing.

30/8/2025, 3:06:40 PM | 12 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

This is a refusal to accept the reality of ego, the power of money and name recognition, the inevitability of decline and a longing for what was.

30/8/2025, 1:55:46 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Isn't this just more AI build out?

30/8/2025, 12:16:05 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

What is the reason to blocking instead of mute?

29/8/2025, 6:42:18 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Is the excitement because he's into Star Wars stuff? Or is it more than that?

29/8/2025, 2:39:28 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Aren't the emergencies justifying all these tariffs BS? If so, shouldn't we expect those tasked with enforcement to not follow an illegal order?

28/8/2025, 10:18:46 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

The game Monopoly gets really bad when it's clear that one person was lucky enough to land on the good properties.

28/8/2025, 7:43:53 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

State of nature? Such legal bullshit. Should you have to get a judge to say you can sleep in your own bed because someone says you can't? We have been wrecked by the law.

28/8/2025, 7:11:17 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

I think @ltremmick.bsky.social is right. People vote for the candidates they like. If they don't like someone they stay home or vote for the other person. People make this way too complicated. HRC wasn't well liked by many for various reasons.

28/8/2025, 5:22:29 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Is it really the right message when you've surrounded yourself with armed people? After a shooting?

28/8/2025, 1:44:47 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

The question was "what would you propose". Who knows if anything can get done by dysfunctional governments, so supporting hospitals may be an idea as moot as raising taxes.

28/8/2025, 1:11:57 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Like I said, raise taxes on those that have wealth.

28/8/2025, 1:01:10 AM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

There are plenty of rich people who can be taxed in all states to help with budget difficulties. They've been getting away with contributing too little for years.

28/8/2025, 12:59:07 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

This is pretty heartless. Some rural hospitals aren't that important, but some are. Not everyone who lives in such areas voted for Trump. ->

28/8/2025, 12:57:49 AM | 8 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Cool.

27/8/2025, 10:15:57 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

That said, we should have many more independent organizations making up government. There are better ways to organize things that could improve outcomes and prevent dictatorial tendencies.

27/8/2025, 9:48:48 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

"One of the most important decision-making bodies in the world" is quite a statement. This is part of what the group who makes the nominations want people to think, no? Do we really have great evidence that the world would be so much different if the interest rate were set 1% higher or 1% lower?

27/8/2025, 9:40:12 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Is she required to extend this out so far? Could she order him to be released?

27/8/2025, 9:13:29 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Sorry irony doesn't work well online.

27/8/2025, 6:49:00 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Vote blue no matter who.

27/8/2025, 6:43:25 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Imagine relying on semantics to analyze academic consensus.

27/8/2025, 3:13:35 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

"True" conservatives I know have pretty dismissive attitudes about the rest of us.

27/8/2025, 12:27:32 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Isn't this the bill that subsidized Teslas and rooftop solar for rich people?

27/8/2025, 12:24:10 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

As long as the National Guard does what he says, he'll keep pushing it. People have to refuse.

27/8/2025, 12:08:14 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social)

Much of Trump's power is about control of money. If rich, or semi-rich people were willing to put their money where their mouth was WRT supporting those who resist, we'd be much better off. If the rich can't put up, they aren't serious about opposing Trump.

26/8/2025, 11:47:49 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Maybe "relatable"? "Understandable"? Policy wonks only appeal to a relative few.

26/8/2025, 11:44:22 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

I don't think "candor" is the right word. People want a candidate who is understandable and relatable. This is the appeal of Mamdani. And Sanders, for that matter. People don't want to be confused with policy details (Warren/Clinton).

26/8/2025, 11:42:18 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

If the guys with the guns are with you, the courts don't much matter.

26/8/2025, 11:17:54 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

National Review. Hahaha.

26/8/2025, 10:24:50 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social)

A top-down government isn't good. The US and most other countries need to re-organize to create governments with limited power invested in individuals.

26/8/2025, 10:22:36 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

This happened before when people lost jobs and couldn't find decent new ones -- disability becomes and option. It would be interesting to know what happens if you disaggregate by state.

26/8/2025, 8:48:53 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

If you have guys with guns, the law really isn't all that. This is one reason why we should get rid of guys with guns.

26/8/2025, 12:49:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

How would this increase the cost of living?

26/8/2025, 10:18:43 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Agree. You said it more clearly.

25/8/2025, 6:36:21 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

It's great to debate policy, but this often devolves into overly complex argument and, when it happens, implementation. The academic/pundit class needs to realize that they can often do more by simplifying existing law/government than by heaping on more. Universalism is good.

25/8/2025, 4:12:58 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

I agree that policy positions don't matter much. But I think strong universal programs matter a lot. It has been so long since we have had any policy implementation that seemed genuinely positive for regular people -- that people could recognize as the government helping them.

25/8/2025, 4:08:17 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

This seems like a take unearthed from years ago.

25/8/2025, 3:25:08 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

What are "kitchen table" issues? Are we having some national problem with legs falling off while people are eating dinner?

25/8/2025, 1:42:02 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

They got cash from the government, so whether there was dilution or not depends on valuation.

24/8/2025, 9:50:54 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Who cares about fairness for crazy rich people? Just tax them. Didn't make it complicated.

24/8/2025, 9:27:34 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

We shouldn't normalize deploying the military at all.

24/8/2025, 7:48:32 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social)

We need to stop valorizing the military. We need to shrink our military and supporting organizations. We need to eliminate the national guard. It all leads to corruption, violence and death. Our nation is crumbling and we need to look forward, leaving our often sordid past behind.

24/8/2025, 5:05:10 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social)

Are we done with AI yet?

24/8/2025, 5:00:22 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Too much power at the top. Kept legislature. Need to do something different.

24/8/2025, 3:41:17 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Also, I believe the value of imports does not include tariffs.

23/8/2025, 12:35:08 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

It's a great system.

22/8/2025, 1:45:29 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Doubt we have it in us. Hope to be proven wrong.

22/8/2025, 1:42:48 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social)

Overheard a guy in the airport defending Trump to someone on the phone: "He's always negotiating. The chaos is strength in negotiations." This guy didn't even look like a rube.

22/8/2025, 1:38:42 AM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

They serve monied interests first. Always.

19/8/2025, 1:24:11 PM | 3 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Dems are Charlie Brown trying to kick a football.

18/8/2025, 4:21:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

He's gonna do what he's gonna do. Hard to say how law suits will stop him as people seem to accede to obvious nonsense like "national emergencies."

18/8/2025, 4:18:43 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

They may be accurate, but there's no reason to use them without a paper trail that gets counted simultaneously.

18/8/2025, 2:57:54 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

There are some difficult farm jobs that remain, but lots of "farmers" spend much time driving machines around.

17/8/2025, 12:37:15 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Why not just tax rich people?

16/8/2025, 10:02:49 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social)

I bet people in cities are more fearful of getting harmed than ever before courtesy of government.

16/8/2025, 5:11:38 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Bubblicious.

16/8/2025, 5:10:02 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Hmm. I didn't see much other than confusing talk rationalizing the complications of the system -- a system that mostly exists to maintain the status quo. For example, the notion that the Fed traded dollars for bonds isn't magic, it's just a purchase to support _the market_, not people.

16/8/2025, 3:19:41 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Defunct in what way?

16/8/2025, 2:30:06 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Maybe the entire concept is garbage?

16/8/2025, 1:34:14 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Build power?

16/8/2025, 1:29:00 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Also, Trump seems to generally adhere to court rulings and he keeps losing. Wonder how long that will last, especially if he loses Congress. Has Congress ever been so worthless? (real question)

16/8/2025, 11:05:57 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

This would seem to depend on public compliance and participation. I wonder how long that can last.

16/8/2025, 11:03:18 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

What is services inflation for capital goods investment? Can you share a representative example?

14/8/2025, 3:50:40 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Haven't the leading increases from service providers been in _financial_ services and _healthcare_? If so, how would tariffs impact these sectors?

14/8/2025, 3:29:00 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Where is the money for purchases going to come from? Sure, the rich will buy, but inflation should be self-correcting in the absence of other strong influence, no?

14/8/2025, 1:28:09 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

But Mad Libs.

13/8/2025, 11:42:17 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

What is the other side?

13/8/2025, 11:17:48 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Having to depend on such statistics to take care of people is a failure. Personally, I think we put way too much faith in interest rate changes to right the ship. We need stronger, consistent policies that individuals can rely on and limit excesses.

13/8/2025, 1:39:06 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Because the inflation isn't demand driven? How are higher rates going to reverse tariffs? How would higher rates help average people in the country?

12/8/2025, 11:43:25 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

I don't think I disagree, but I'm curious what you think the bad impacts would be.

12/8/2025, 6:45:18 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

People have been grasping at reasons to justify buying stocks for a while now

12/8/2025, 1:13:15 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

But rule of law!

11/8/2025, 11:42:26 PM | 2 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

It will even tell you that if you ask. It's captivating because it seems human, but if you ask some reasonable questions, the veil falls away. There's no denial of this on the part of the model.

11/8/2025, 11:26:34 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Just encourages China to work harder to make their own. Don't think for a second they can't do it.

11/8/2025, 11:15:03 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Aggregates aren't that helpful when there's bifurcation or similar.

11/8/2025, 1:54:20 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Being humble is a quality not often enough admired.

10/8/2025, 3:34:59 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Yes, but I'd prefer someone whose judgement is admired by OTHERS than one who thinks that of themselves.

10/8/2025, 3:33:55 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

The fraction of people who get into politics (or want to climb the corporate ladder) who aren't largely motivated by self-interest, is, I would guess, small.

10/8/2025, 12:50:03 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Well, saying that we don't understand human thought isn't crazy.

10/8/2025, 12:43:51 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

People who want to hold office are almost always unfit to do so.

10/8/2025, 12:40:43 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

All the useful cases I hear about are essentially "summarization", which is great, but also meh.

10/8/2025, 12:44:30 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

What are these productive use cases?

10/8/2025, 12:30:57 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Starving to death is a pretty low bar for "bad". You seem satisfied with a government that barely works for regular people. Or maybe I'm just not understanding because you're not being clear.

9/8/2025, 10:04:07 PM | 3 1 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Sounds like it would be great at p-hacking.

9/8/2025, 1:54:27 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

I never knew AI could make me laugh so hard. It's good for something after all.

8/8/2025, 11:49:36 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

I can't imagine it, but I'm glad it worked for you.

8/8/2025, 10:43:31 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Mostly this says to me that we're really bad about indexing academic papers. Letting the LLM do it is cool, but it's hard to know what, if anything, is missed. Anecdotes make great stories, but this application seems of limited utility (to me).

8/8/2025, 9:38:18 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

I have written code for decades and don't see the value, but I admit I can be a curmudgeon.

8/8/2025, 9:25:56 PM | 1 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

I was hoping for something showing that vibe coding was something other than BS.

8/8/2025, 9:05:56 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

What does "synthesizing impossibly large amounts of data" mean?

8/8/2025, 8:00:59 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Examples please.

8/8/2025, 7:56:11 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

How in the world does one measure such things?

8/8/2025, 7:09:24 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

With or without the "increased range", I would think the economic value of your work would be the same -- no change in GDP, right? But people need to document details and, generally speaking, they're lacking. Until there are details, I'm going to remain very skeptical.

8/8/2025, 4:07:20 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Obviously disagree, but I think those that claim great utility have to provide real cases where it's likely to make a difference. Software, for example, comes up a lot and it's something I know a lot about and I find the claim almost laughable.

8/8/2025, 2:13:01 PM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

What is the ECONOMIC value?

8/8/2025, 10:43:46 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

Irony can be hard to discern online.

8/8/2025, 10:42:52 AM | 7 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

So, it's going to replace the New York Review of Books? Such economic impact.

8/8/2025, 10:40:51 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view

Profile picture abellia.bsky.social (@abellia.bsky.social) reply parent

"Round candy may get stuck in your throat." Is that less scary?

8/8/2025, 10:33:34 AM | 0 0 | View on Bluesky | view