John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social)
My prediction: Dear Leader will pass away on September 3 to distract us from the Epstein victims press conference.
I used to be a student of literature, a lawyer, a real estate developer. Now I grow grapes. I haven’t shut off DMs but don’t expect an answer.
3,503 followers 5,862 following 1,965 posts
view profile on Bluesky John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social)
My prediction: Dear Leader will pass away on September 3 to distract us from the Epstein victims press conference.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Furthest I’ve been N: Reykjavik, Iceland E: Ljubljana, Slovenia W: Homer, Alaska, USA S: Oaxaca, Mexico
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Better (IMHO) is: Twenty-nine days Hey, hey, hey, hey Trump won’t give you Active pay
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
First, paella is only properly from Valencia, and, second, arroz de horno is the hotdish of Valencia
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I don’t think you’ll see much more anti-regime activity until most people are affected directly. It’s also hard to find useful actions when an authoritarian controls the military and law enforcement without restraint. There is more scope for resistance in blue states where control isn’t complete
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
If he’d only spend 100% of his time golfing it would be worth the money
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It will take decades to repair the harm. You’re right there.. But I’m not sure how much of the Republican Party exists outside of Trump any more. It might collapse after Trump is gone, although another right or right-center party would replace it. In any event the next few years will be terrible.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Once an autocrat gets control it’s very difficult to rid of them. I suppose we’re lucky in a sense. Our Dear Leader is not a young man and his health appears suspect. The record on passing control to a successor is pretty mixed, so there may be an opportunity to return to democracy relatively soon.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Ready to do what? Maybe all chip in and buy Justice Thomas a bigger motor home?
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Unfortunately the largest job market for geologists is with oil companies, so it may be better to stay an amateur
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m 72, and Eisenhower is just at the fringes of my memory
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
*Nobody is that stupid except Tommy Tuberville
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
More likely Mexico.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It’s wrong to blame Democratic politicians. The fault is in the voters. The fault is ours.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Because, of course, this administration doesn’t consider women to be “people”.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
But there are so many 🥺
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It won’t happen until most people feel the current regime’s policies are directly hurting them significantly. Not the way it should be but the way it is
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m afraid I have to rely on my lived experience
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I spent 20 years building housing for homeless people and, at least in Dallas, Texas where I worked, I can assure you that 99% of people only wanted homeless people out of sight, they didn’t care whether they were housed or not
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
If people actually cared about the homeless what you say might be right
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It’s less than 50 years since Franco died. People my age (72) must still remember. Here in the US, the last veterans of WWII are dying and their children are old. The memories of the horrors of that past are fading and the rise of Christian Nationalism and the path to a dictatorship are growing
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Don’t all authoritarian governments repress every opposition group and every center of power it doesn’t control?
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
The real point is that once an authoritarian gets in power it is really difficult to get rid of them. After all control of the armed forces and law enforcement without the constraints of the rule of law is hard to overcome. Look at what’s happening in Serbia, Georgia and Hungary now.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
The Spanish Republic didn’t “accept” authoritarian rule. It fought like hell and might have won if Franco hadn’t had support from Germany and Italy. China wasn’t a Catholic country when Mao took over. There’s no reason to believe that Hitler and Mussolini would have been deposed without the allies
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Franco ruled Spain until his death and Salazar did the same in Portugal. Once a fascist ruler gets in power his odds of staying in power for his lifetime aren’t that bad if he stays out of foreign wars.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
That was a rookie mistake by the prosecutors. They tried to indict the man who threw it rather than the sandwich
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
My Dad was, but he died in 2017
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It’s going to be really bad when trains start dropping out of the sky 😱
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
The commitment not to rendition Abrego Garcia is as worthless as any other commitment made by the current regime—good only as long as it feels like it
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
To preserve grounds for appeal
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m convinced. If we can’t have a democracy, then let’s make Travis and Taylor King and Queen!
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Not nearly as wild as when they opine that Texas’s redistricting is fine but California’s is unconstitutional
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I once deposed someone who bought 100 condos on the same day representing in each purchase that it would be his principal residence. He testified that he meant it each time.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
When I got the notification, I tried to reply that losing Fox was good by me, but it was a noreply email address 😢
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Looks pretty dangerous. You could slip on those rocks and hit your head and fall in the water and drown! I assume the National Guard will be acting as life guards?
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m refusing to play the point for the Dallas Mavs this year, but it’s because I am still mad over them trading Luka😡
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
To the contrary, the problem is that someone let him out of the locker
Joshua J. Friedman (@joshuajfriedman.com) reposted
Judge Xinis: Your clients are *absolutely forbidden* from removing Mr. Abrego from the continental United States. You understand this? DOJ: Yes.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes, but it doesn’t really matter. When the Regime chooses, it will find the provocation it wants
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
When they are ready; when they are confident in the loyalty of the armed forces; when everyone who isn’t a sycophant has been purged; an excuse for violence will be found.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
One third of voters support him. One third couldn’t be bothered to vote. Out of the remaining third many have to concentrate on work and taking care of their families. Others of us are old, disabled or isolated. Many people are scared. I have run into a lot of people who have quit watching the news.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
A lot of it is meaningless, but he’s already compromised the press, law firms, universities, and corporations and controls Congress and the Supreme Court. Currently they’re purging the leadership of the Armed Forces and law enforcement. The final step is to make elections a meaningless farce.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes you could. That’s why you don’t bother look both ways before crossing the street. Denying reality isn’t helpful. It’s why people keep believing the Courts or Congress or the Military’s Oath will save us. Only understanding the actual situation we are in is a guide to necessary action
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Not THIS Supreme Court. So it doesn’t count
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m sorry but y’all don’t seem to understand the role of a minority leader. They are technicians, vote counters, immersed in the minutiae of parliamentary procedure. We don’t want Jasmine Crockett (My Congressperson!) or AOC or anyone similar wasting their time in that way.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Only if you consider Unconditional Surrender a negotiation
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes. It’s clearly time to reimpose Reconstruction.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I assume you were properly armed for such a risky expedition
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Nothing. The criminal referral on Whitewater was improper from the beginning
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
No. I saw the movie 🤮
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Stephen Miller would be my malevolent toaster. Sometimes it burns the toast; sometimes it doesn’t toast it at all; sometimes it won’t pop up; and other times it flings the toast completely across the room. The entire time I believe it is laughing at me. I would throw it away but I am scared of it.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m waiting
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It shouldn’t be, but so far Trump’s action only affect a small percentage of the voting population. The plurality of people who didn’t even bother to vote last November certainly won’t be stirred to action until they are affected personally and most of his supporters will never change their minds.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
My neighbors fly Trump flags and one has a portrait of Trump painted on his truck. A constitutional amendment requires approval of 2/3rds of the House and Senate, which are both controlled by the GOP and ratification by 38 states. 23 states have governments completely under GOP control.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Respectfully, I am not sure that you understand the political sentiment in rural Texas where I live. My senators are Ted Cruz, which should be enough said, and John Cornyn, who is currently running as far to the right as possible because he’s being challenged by Ken Paxton, our insaely rightwing AG.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Nothing wrong with it except I don’t see any way to get there from where we are now.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I assume the next article coming out will be “Why we should work with the Vichy Administration”.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
That’s less than 90 per state. Makes even less sense than I would have imagined. Do they have any idea just how big Texas alone is?
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
We can’t even keep masked, unidentified people from snatching other people off the streets. We’re a long way from being able to adopt an entirely new constitution. An idea isn’t a solution if there’s no way to adopt it.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes. There really isn’t anyone, right or left, that strongly supports Bolton. Many of us will be outraged on principle, but who’s going to hit the streets in support of John Bolton? Get us used to these retribution raids before hitting the people we might really care about
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
As a racist warmonger, Bolton is several steps up from the current regime. Bolton, at least, believes in Democracy, more or less
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Maybe he could start with bringing grass back to the Rose Garden?
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Attempted breaking and entering. They are as inept at that as anything else
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
No crows. Lots of vultures
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Ready or not, here it comes
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I live in rural Texas. That ain’t happening.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
That was the original bargaining position of the slave states
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
You need at least one black person to use that narrative
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Sort of turned against him. If he was running against a black woman again, he’d have a majority
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Under your Duster. —A Texan
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
1. Black lady; 2. One more appointment could give him a compliant majority on the Fed
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
They are legislators and they are doing the best they can as a minority in the legislature. Chuck Schumer is not Che Guevara. Professional politicians don’t lead protest movements. Not the Civil Rights movement, not the movement against the Vietnam War, not the Women’s or Gay rights movements.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Among the problems with the Democrats doing so is that they are in the minority so they can’t actually do anything and it’s a “weak” party in the technical sense so nobody has the authority to dictate official policy on behalf of the party.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
But that was just stochastic terrorism, only encouraged, not directed, by the regime, so it barely counts
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
My home state. But don’t disregard arresting the Mayor in New Jersey and charging a Representative there, a judge in Wisconsin and handcuffing a Senator.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Go gaslight someone who might fall for it
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
No. They were recycling that very tired fake leftist position that there is no difference between the parties. As are you.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
So you think if Harris had been elected President you think: UDAID would be defunded? CPB would be defunded? Masked men would roam our streets seizing whomever they like? The EPA would end environmental protections? Ukraine would be be sold out to Russia? Or a host of other things?
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
The classic next move in a coup would be to seize the leadership of the opposition party on some criminal charge. We’ll see what happens when the Congress returns to DC.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
We’ll know when the Congress returns to DC. The best way to carry out a coup is to grab the entire opposition at once.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It could. I am afraid the only way out relies on Trump’s age and health
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social)
I believe my health has improved by 40%. Now only three vultures circle overhead when I go out in the fields. Last year it was five.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Seems more like a coup to me. So far the military occupation hasn’t faced serious opposition.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes. Many people are. I have had several people tell me lately that they have quit watching the news entirely because they found it so depressing that they couldn’t both stay informed and continue managing the rest of their life
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It can’t be much redder than Central Texas. I figure if you don’t have a significant leadership position and none of your neighbors have a special grudge against you, then you’re likely ok. Still I don’t talk politics here, no yard signs or bumper stickers. OTOH, 10 seconds on google . . .
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I’m sure all of the world’s leaders are sick to their stomach at what they have to do to deal with Trump, but unlike our current leader they are willing to do whatever they have to for the sake of their country and our world.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Catch 22. Goes well with Brave New World, 1984, A Handmaid’s Tale, etc. Let me know when we get to Logan’s Run.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
That would require the Democrats to hold all of the 13 seats up for election in 2026 as well as winning 20 of the 22 Republican seats to get to the 67 Senate seats required for conviction after impeachment. Including Idaho, Wyoming, South Dakota, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Oklahoma, etc.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Texas Republicans don’t quite understand The Handmaid’s Tale but they’re doing the best they can.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Just scoping things out to prepare for global warming making Wisconsin subtropical
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
The Texas Supreme Court is composed of nine very conservative Republicans. It would ultimately decide on whether such a suit could go forward. Short answer: No way in Hell.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
You’re still thinking in terms of a free democratic country. They don’t care what you say, except to use it against you if they decide you’re worth the effort. Rule is now based on 1) control of the state repressive apparatus; and 2) fear of what they can do to you
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
The documentation wouldn’t matter. The Supreme Court would find a way to decide in favor of the Republicans in the Texas Legislature. Red States are now under a full authoritarian regime. Our federal system still puts some roadblocks in the way of complete control in blue and purple states. For now.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Yes. But even if you call them out, it will all continue.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
I rather think you haven’t spent much time in Texas or you would know already what the response of law enforcement would be
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
Don’t encourage violence! You will only put yourself at risk. On the other hand, to believe the Regime won’t find a way to provoke violence if it wants to, perhaps through agents provocateurs, is simply naive. Remember the Gulf of Tonkin.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
States don’t pay federal taxes, individuals do. What you suggest isn’t possible. Withholding goes directly from the employer to the federal government.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
It will happen when it’s time. Agents provocateurs are easily available
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social)
If you live in a completely Republican area where everyone already does whatever the Regime wants then you don’t have to worry about martial law, right? And if I use the self-checkout at the grocery store and pay at the pump, I never have to talk to my neighbors. I need a dog in the worst way.
John Greenan (@vigneron.bsky.social) reply parent
But some of my best friends. . .